Bulgaria · First League · Regular Season - 15

Spartak Varna

8º · 1.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 22d 0h

–

Cherno More Varna

9º · 0.92 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 19d 0h

Stadion Spartak·Varna·Bulgaria·12,000

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Spartak Varna and Cherno More Varna meet in the First League 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Spartak Varna have recorded 8 wins from 22 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Cherno More Varna have won 41% of their 29 matches, with 1.24 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 34%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 38%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Spartak Varna and 1.35 for Cherno More Varna. The models give Spartak Varna a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Cherno More Varna win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 53%.

Season Statistics

Spartak Varna

—

Cherno More Varna

8º

Position

9º

1.00

PPG

0.92

23%

Win %

23%

0.92

Goals / game

1.08

1.77

Conceded / game

1.69

45%

BTTS %

34%

27%

Clean sheet %

38%

41%

Over 2.5 %

41%

4.0

Avg corners

3.8

10.3

Avg shots

9.3

3.7

Avg shots on target

4.0

2.0

Avg yellow cards

3.1

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

45.8%

Avg possession

47.3%

Home vs Away

Spartak Varna

Home (6)

—

Cherno More Varna

Away (6)

1.00

PPG

0.33

17%

Win %

0.83

Goals / game

0.67

1.00

Conceded / game

1.83

60%

BTTS %

42%

20%

Clean sheet %

33%

30%

Over 2.5 %

50%

4.0

Avg corners

3.8

10.3

Avg shots

9.3

3.7

Avg shots on target

4.0

2.0

Avg yellow cards

3.1

45.8%

Avg possession

47.3%

Goals Scored

	Spartak Varna	Home	Away	Cherno More	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	64%	70%	58%	69%	65%	75%
Over 1.5 Scored	32%	30%	33%	31%	35%	25%
Over 2.5 Scored	18%	10%	25%	14%	12%	17%
Failed To Score	36%	30%	42%	31%	35%	25%

Goals Conceded

	Spartak Varna	Home	Away	Cherno More	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	73%	80%	67%	62%	59%	67%
Over 1.5 Conceded	32%	20%	42%	28%	29%	25%
Over 2.5 Conceded	18%	10%	25%	17%	12%	25%
Clean Sheets	27%	20%	33%	38%	41%	33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Spartak Varna	Cherno More
Over 0.5	91%	97%
Over 1.5	59%	59%
Over 2.5	41%	41%
Over 3.5	32%	28%
Over 4.5	23%	14%
BTTS	45%	34%
BTTS & Win	18%	7%
BTTS & Draw	18%	17%
BTTS & Over 2.5	32%	24%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	9%	17%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Spartak Varna	Cherno More
Win 1st Half	27%	31%
Draw 1st Half	41%	28%
Loss 1st Half	32%	41%
Scored 1st Half	41%	38%
Conceded 1st Half	36%	45%
Win 2nd Half	27%	34%
Draw 2nd Half	36%	41%
Loss 2nd Half	36%	24%
Scored 2nd Half	36%	45%
Conceded 2nd Half	50%	34%
Over 0.5 HT	64%	76%
Over 1.5 HT	32%	28%

Recent Venue Form

Spartak Varna (H)

Lokomotiv Sofia0–1

CSKA Sofia1–1

Ludogorets1–1

Septemvri Sofia0–1

Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–0

CSKA 19482–2

Cherno More (A)

Marek3–0

Ludogorets0–5

Arda Kardzhali1–1

Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–1

CSKA Sofia1–3

CSKA 19481–4

Number of Corners

10.8

Corners / Match

6 games

League Avg

9.2

43 games

7.8

Corners / Match

6 games

Match Corners	Spartak Varna	Cherno More	League Avg
Over 6	83%	50%	79%
Over 7	83%	33%	72%
Over 8	83%	17%	56%
Over 9	67%	17%	42%
Over 10	67%	17%	35%
Over 11	67%	17%	26%
Over 12	17%	17%	14%
Over 13	17%	17%	12%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Spartak Varna	Cherno More
Corners Earned / Match	4.0	3.8
Corners Against / Match	6.8	4.0
Over 2.5 Corners For	67%	67%
Over 3.5 Corners For	33%	33%
Over 4.5 Corners For	33%	17%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	100%	83%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	83%	67%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	83%	33%

Head to Head · 7 matches

Spartak Varna

14%

Draws

43%

Cherno More

43%

71%

Over 1.5

5/7

43%

Over 2.5

3/7

29%

Over 3.5

2/7

43%

BTTS

3/7

26/07/26

Cherno More Varna

0–3

Spartak Varna

07/02/26

Cherno More Varna

0–0

Spartak Varna

16/08/25

Spartak Varna

1–3

Cherno More Varna

08/03/25

Cherno More Varna

1–1

Spartak Varna

22/09/24

Spartak Varna

0–2

Cherno More Varna

07/05/23

Cherno More Varna

3–2

Spartak Varna

22/10/22

Spartak Varna

0–0

Cherno More Varna

First League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	12	10	2	0	+20	32
2	CSKA Sofia	13	9	4	0	+20	31
3	Ludogorets	12	9	2	1	+15	29
4	CSKA 1948	13	9	1	3	+17	28
5	Botev Plovdiv	13	7	1	5	+2	22
6	Arda Kardzhali	13	6	3	4	-1	21
7	Slavia Sofia	13	2	7	4	0	13
8	Spartak Varna	13	3	4	6	-11	13
9	Cherno More Varna	13	3	3	7	-8	12
10	Dunav Ruse	13	3	2	8	-7	11
11	Botev Vratsa	13	2	4	7	-12	10
12	Lokomotiv Sofia	13	1	6	6	-10	9
13	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	13	2	3	8	-11	9
14	Septemvri Sofia	13	2	2	9	-14	8

Team Insights

Spartak Varna

●Spartak Varna have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
●Spartak Varna have lost their last 2 away matches.
●Spartak Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
●Spartak Varna have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
●74% of Spartak Varna's goals conceded were conceded away.

Cherno More

●Cherno More Varna have won their last 2 matches.
●Cherno More Varna have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
●Cherno More Varna have won their last 2 home matches.
●Cherno More Varna have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
●Cherno More Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Cherno More Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
●Cherno More Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
●Cherno More Varna have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
●71% of Cherno More Varna's goals have been scored at home.
●83% of Cherno More Varna's points have been earned at home.