Bulgaria · First League · Regular Season - 16

Botev Vratsa

9º · 0.82 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 41d 4h

–

Ludogorets

3º · 2.60 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 42d 1h

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Botev Vratsa and Ludogorets meet in the First League 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Botev Vratsa have recorded 5 wins from 22 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Ludogorets have won 73% of their 22 matches, with 2.41 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 41%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Botev Vratsa and 1.65 for Ludogorets. The models give Botev Vratsa a 29% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Ludogorets win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.

Season Statistics

Botev Vratsa

—

Ludogorets

9º

Position

3º

0.82

PPG

2.60

18%

Win %

80%

0.82

Goals / game

2.10

1.82

Conceded / game

0.70

59%

BTTS %

55%

18%

Clean sheet %

41%

50%

Over 2.5 %

64%

4.0

Avg corners

6.3

10.3

Avg shots

15.0

5.3

Avg shots on target

6.7

2.5

Avg yellow cards

2.0

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

41.3%

Avg possession

60.3%

Home vs Away

Botev Vratsa

Home (5)

—

Ludogorets

Away (4)

1.00

PPG

2.50

20%

Win %

75%

0.40

Goals / game

2.00

1.00

Conceded / game

1.00

50%

BTTS %

63%

33%

Clean sheet %

25%

33%

Over 2.5 %

63%

4.0

Avg corners

6.3

10.3

Avg shots

15.0

5.3

Avg shots on target

6.7

2.5

Avg yellow cards

2.0

41.3%

Avg possession

60.3%

Goals Scored

	Botev Vratsa	Home	Away	Ludogorets	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	68%	67%	70%	95%	100%	88%
Over 1.5 Scored	27%	25%	30%	73%	71%	75%
Over 2.5 Scored	5%	0%	10%	36%	36%	38%
Failed To Score	32%	33%	30%	5%	0%	13%

Goals Conceded

	Botev Vratsa	Home	Away	Ludogorets	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	82%	67%	100%	59%	50%	75%
Over 1.5 Conceded	50%	25%	80%	36%	29%	50%
Over 2.5 Conceded	9%	8%	10%	5%	7%	0%
Clean Sheets	18%	33%	0%	41%	50%	25%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Botev Vratsa	Ludogorets
Over 0.5	91%	100%
Over 1.5	77%	86%
Over 2.5	50%	64%
Over 3.5	23%	41%
Over 4.5	9%	27%
BTTS	59%	55%
BTTS & Win	14%	32%
BTTS & Draw	32%	23%
BTTS & Over 2.5	41%	45%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	9%	18%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Botev Vratsa	Ludogorets
Win 1st Half	10%	50%
Draw 1st Half	57%	27%
Loss 1st Half	33%	23%
Scored 1st Half	24%	64%
Conceded 1st Half	38%	45%
Win 2nd Half	29%	55%
Draw 2nd Half	48%	32%
Loss 2nd Half	24%	14%
Scored 2nd Half	62%	73%
Conceded 2nd Half	62%	41%
Over 0.5 HT	48%	82%
Over 1.5 HT	24%	55%

Recent Venue Form

Botev Vratsa (H)

Spartak Varna0–1

Levski Sofia0–0

Botev Plovdiv1–0

Slavia Sofia0–3

Cherno More Varna1–1

Arda Kardzhali1–0

Ludogorets (A)

Beroe3–0

Lokomotiv Sofia2–1

Spartak Varna1–1

Cherno More Varna3–2

Dunav Ruse2–0

Hapoel Tel Aviv0–2

Number of Corners

10.0

Corners / Match

4 games

League Avg

9.3

29 games

9.3

Corners / Match

3 games

Match Corners	Botev Vratsa	Ludogorets	League Avg
Over 6	75%	100%	76%
Over 7	75%	100%	69%
Over 8	75%	100%	62%
Over 9	75%	33%	45%
Over 10	50%	0%	34%
Over 11	25%	0%	28%
Over 12	25%	0%	17%
Over 13	25%	0%	14%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Botev Vratsa	Ludogorets
Corners Earned / Match	4.0	6.3
Corners Against / Match	6.0	3.0
Over 2.5 Corners For	75%	100%
Over 3.5 Corners For	25%	100%
Over 4.5 Corners For	25%	100%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	75%	33%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	75%	33%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	75%	33%

Head to Head · 19 matches

Botev Vratsa

Draws

Ludogorets

95%

84%

Over 1.5

16/19

63%

Over 2.5

12/19

42%

Over 3.5

8/19

37%

BTTS

7/19

02/08/26

Ludogorets

2–1

Botev Vratsa

30/11/25

Ludogorets

2–0

Botev Vratsa

25/07/25

Botev Vratsa

0–1

Ludogorets

23/04/25

Ludogorets

2–0

Botev Vratsa

10/04/25

Botev Vratsa

0–1

Ludogorets

15/03/25

Ludogorets

3–0

Botev Vratsa

29/09/24

Botev Vratsa

0–2

Ludogorets

03/12/23

Ludogorets

5–0

Botev Vratsa

05/08/23

Botev Vratsa

0–5

Ludogorets

08/04/23

Ludogorets

8–1

Botev Vratsa

11/09/22

Botev Vratsa

0–4

Ludogorets

07/03/22

Botev Vratsa

1–2

Ludogorets

26/09/21

Ludogorets

3–1

Botev Vratsa

29/11/20

Ludogorets

2–1

Botev Vratsa

08/08/20

Botev Vratsa

3–1

Ludogorets

15/02/20

Ludogorets

6–0

Botev Vratsa

01/09/19

Botev Vratsa

0–1

Ludogorets

03/03/19

Ludogorets

2–0

Botev Vratsa

07/10/18

Botev Vratsa

1–4

Ludogorets

First League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	10	9	1	0	+19	28
2	CSKA Sofia	11	8	3	0	+18	27
3	Ludogorets	10	8	2	0	+14	26
4	CSKA 1948	11	7	1	3	+8	22
5	Botev Plovdiv	11	6	1	4	+3	19
6	Arda Kardzhali	11	5	2	4	-2	17
7	Spartak Varna	11	3	4	4	-4	13
8	Slavia Sofia	11	2	5	4	0	11
9	Botev Vratsa	11	2	3	6	-11	9
10	Dunav Ruse	11	2	2	7	-8	8
11	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	11	2	2	7	-8	8
12	Lokomotiv Sofia	11	1	5	5	-7	8
13	Septemvri Sofia	11	2	2	7	-11	8
14	Cherno More Varna	11	1	3	7	-11	6

Team Insights

Botev Vratsa

●Botev Vratsa have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
●Botev Vratsa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Botev Vratsa have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
●Botev Vratsa failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
●Botev Vratsa have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
●78% of Botev Vratsa's goals have been scored away.
●75% of Botev Vratsa's goals conceded were conceded away.