Cherno More Varna vs Botev Plovdiv — First League
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Cherno More Varna and Botev Plovdiv meet in the First League 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Cherno More Varna have recorded 10 wins from 27 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 1.22 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 37% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Botev Plovdiv have won 73% of their 26 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 31%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 58%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Cherno More Varna and 1.69 for Botev Plovdiv. The models give Cherno More Varna a 37% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Botev Plovdiv win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cherno More | Home | Away | Botev Plovdiv | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 75% | 88% | 100% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 33% | 25% | 58% | 58% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 13% | 17% | 35% | 32% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 40% | 25% | 12% | 0% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Cherno More | Home | Away | Botev Plovdiv | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 67% | 67% | 42% | 32% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 33% | 25% | 27% | 16% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 13% | 25% | 12% | 5% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 33% | 33% | 58% | 68% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cherno More | Botev Plovdiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 59% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 12% |
| BTTS | 37% | 31% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 4% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 26% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cherno More | Botev Plovdiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 58% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 62% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 19% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 37% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 26% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Cherno More | Botev Plovdiv | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 25% | 80% | 77% |
| Over 7 | 25% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 25% | 60% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 25% | 20% | 47% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 20% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 0% | 27% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 0% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cherno More | Botev Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 25% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 60% |
Head to Head · 26 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | +18 | 27 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +14 | 26 | |
| 4 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +12 | 25 | |
| 5 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 19 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 17 | |
| 7 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 | |
| 8 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 11 | |
| 9 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 | |
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 | |
| 11 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 | |
| 12 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 | |
| 13 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 8 | |
| 14 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Cherno More Varna have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Cherno More Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Cherno More Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Cherno More Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Cherno More Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Cherno More Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Cherno More Varna have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Cherno More Varna's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Botev Plovdiv have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Botev Plovdiv have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Botev Plovdiv have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Botev Plovdiv have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Botev Plovdiv have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Botev Plovdiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Botev Plovdiv have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Botev Plovdiv's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Botev Plovdiv have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.