Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna — First League
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Stadion Lokomotiv·Plovdiv·Bulgaria·13,800
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Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Spartak Varna meet in the First League 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Lokomotiv Plovdiv have recorded 8 wins from 19 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 0.89 goals scored and 0.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 26% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 11%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Spartak Varna have won 40% of their 20 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.37 for Spartak Varna. The models give Lokomotiv Plovdiv a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Spartak Varna win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Lokomotiv Plovdiv—
Spartak Varna11º
Position
7º
0.73
PPG
1.18
18%
Win %
27%
0.55
Goals / game
1.00
1.27
Conceded / game
1.36
26%
BTTS %
45%
42%
Clean sheet %
30%
11%
Over 2.5 %
40%
3.3
Avg corners
3.8
8.0
Avg shots
10.5
3.0
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.7
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
42.3%
Avg possession
46.0%
Home vs Away
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Home (5)
—
Spartak Varna
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
1.40
40%
Win %
40%
1.00
Goals / game
1.20
1.00
Conceded / game
1.80
40%
BTTS %
30%
50%
Clean sheet %
40%
20%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.3
Avg corners
3.8
8.0
Avg shots
10.5
3.0
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.7
Avg yellow cards
2.0
42.3%
Avg possession
46.0%
Goals Scored
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Home | Away | Spartak Varna | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 80% | 44% | 65% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 30% | 22% | 35% | 30% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 10% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 20% | 56% | 35% | 30% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Home | Away | Spartak Varna | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 50% | 67% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 10% | 33% | 25% | 20% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 10% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 50% | 33% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 | 11% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS | 26% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 11% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 37% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 21% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv (H)W
Arda Kardzhali2–0
Arda Kardzhali2–0D
CSKA Sofia1–1
CSKA Sofia1–1W
Cherno More Varna1–0
Cherno More Varna1–0LArda Kardzhali0–1
Arda Kardzhali0–1L
Dunav Ruse1–2
Dunav Ruse1–2W
Septemvri Sofia2–1
Septemvri Sofia2–1Spartak Varna (A)W
Etar Veliko Tarnovo4–2
Etar Veliko Tarnovo4–2W
Botev Vratsa1–0
Botev Vratsa1–0D
Slavia Sofia0–0
Slavia Sofia0–0L
Levski Sofia0–6
Levski Sofia0–6L
Botev Plovdiv2–3
Botev Plovdiv2–3WCherno More Varna3–0
Cherno More Varna3–0Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
4 games
League Avg
9.3
29 games
12.0
Corners / Match
4 games
| Match Corners | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Spartak Varna | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 100% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 100% | 69% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 100% | 62% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 75% | 45% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 75% | 34% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 75% | 28% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 25% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 25% | 14% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Spartak Varna |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.3 | 3.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.8 | 8.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 25% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 100% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
3
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
43%
1
Draws
14%
3
Spartak Varna
43%
71%
Over 1.5
5/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
03/08/26Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1–0Lokomotiv Plovdiv21/02/26Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1Spartak Varna30/08/25Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1–2Lokomotiv Plovdiv07/04/25Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–2Spartak Varna23/10/24Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1–0Lokomotiv Plovdiv28/04/23Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
3–1Spartak Varna10/10/22Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
0–2Lokomotiv Plovdiv| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  Ludogorets | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +14 | 26 |
| 4 |  CSKA 1948 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 17 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -11 | 9 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 |
| 12 |  Lokomotiv Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Cherno More Varna | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
Team Insights
Lokomotiv Plovdiv- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●87% of Lokomotiv Plovdiv's points have been earned at home.
- ●Lokomotiv Plovdiv have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Spartak Varna- ●Spartak Varna have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Spartak Varna have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Spartak Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Spartak Varna have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Lokomotiv PlovdivDALokomotiv Sofia1–1
Lokomotiv Sofia1–1DHCSKA Sofia1–1
CSKA Sofia1–1LABotev Plovdiv0–2
Botev Plovdiv0–2WHCherno More Varna1–0
Cherno More Varna1–0LACSKA 19480–2
CSKA 19480–2LHArda Kardzhali0–1
Arda Kardzhali0–1–HSlavia Sofia24/10
Slavia Sofia24/10–ABotev Vratsa31/10
Botev Vratsa31/10–HLudogorets07/11
Ludogorets07/11Spartak VarnaWABotev Vratsa1–0
Botev Vratsa1–0LHLokomotiv Sofia0–1
Lokomotiv Sofia0–1DASlavia Sofia0–0
Slavia Sofia0–0DHCSKA Sofia1–1
CSKA Sofia1–1DHLudogorets1–1
Ludogorets1–1LALevski Sofia0–6
Levski Sofia0–6–ADunav Ruse24/10
Dunav Ruse24/10–HArda Kardzhali31/10
Arda Kardzhali31/10–ACSKA 194807/11
CSKA 194807/11Top Scorers
Lokomotiv PlovdivC. Itu2 ⚽
C. Longville2 ⚽
Ryan Leijten2 ⚽
A. Velev2 ⚽
J. Lamy1 ⚽
P. Umarbaev1 ⚽
Spartak VarnaG. Stojanovski5 ⚽
O. M. Chidera2 ⚽
Bua2 ⚽
G. Trifonov2 ⚽
Boubacar Hanne2 ⚽
P. Prindze2 ⚽
Cards Given
Lokomotiv PlovdivLucas Ryan3 🟨
P. Umarbaev3 🟨
I. Ivanov3 🟨
J. Lamy2 🟨
C. Longville2 🟨
E. Ali2 🟨
Spartak VarnaAngel Granchov3 🟨
A. Granchov3 🟨
V. Oliveira2 🟨
D. Yordanov1 🟨
D. Valverde1 🟨
Boubacar Hanne1 🟨