Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948 — First League
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Cherno More Varna and CSKA 1948 meet in the First League 2026 season on 13 February 2027. Cherno More Varna have recorded 12 wins from 30 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. CSKA 1948 have won 50% of their 32 matches, with 1.94 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 69%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Cherno More Varna and 1.43 for CSKA 1948. The models give Cherno More Varna a 33% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an CSKA 1948 win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Cherno More Varna—
CSKA 19489º
Position
4º
0.93
PPG
2.07
21%
Win %
64%
1.00
Goals / game
2.36
1.57
Conceded / game
1.14
33%
BTTS %
63%
40%
Clean sheet %
25%
40%
Over 2.5 %
69%
4.1
Avg corners
4.6
9.9
Avg shots
12.4
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.9
2.9
Avg yellow cards
1.9
0.0
Avg fouls
12.0
49.0%
Avg possession
47.7%
Home vs Away
Cherno More Varna
Home (7)
—
CSKA 1948
Away (6)
1.43
PPG
1.33
43%
Win %
33%
1.43
Goals / game
1.50
1.57
Conceded / game
1.33
29%
BTTS %
54%
41%
Clean sheet %
23%
35%
Over 2.5 %
54%
4.1
Avg corners
4.6
9.9
Avg shots
12.4
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.9
2.9
Avg yellow cards
1.9
49.0%
Avg possession
47.7%
Goals Scored
| Cherno More | Home | Away | CSKA 1948 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 65% | 69% | 81% | 89% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 35% | 23% | 59% | 68% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 12% | 15% | 31% | 37% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 35% | 31% | 19% | 11% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| Cherno More | Home | Away | CSKA 1948 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 59% | 62% | 75% | 74% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 29% | 23% | 28% | 26% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 12% | 23% | 6% | 11% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 41% | 38% | 25% | 26% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cherno More | CSKA 1948 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 34% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 19% |
| BTTS | 33% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 23% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cherno More | CSKA 1948 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 52% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 39% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Cherno More (H)W
Botev Vratsa1–0
Botev Vratsa1–0W
Septemvri Sofia2–0
Septemvri Sofia2–0L
Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–1L
Levski Sofia0–2
Levski Sofia0–2W
Dunav Ruse1–0
Dunav Ruse1–0D
Lokomotiv Sofia2–2
Lokomotiv Sofia2–2CSKA 1948 (A)D
Ludogorets2–2
Ludogorets2–2W
Neftochimic Burgas4–0
Neftochimic Burgas4–0W
Slavia Sofia2–1
Slavia Sofia2–1LLevski Sofia0–1
Levski Sofia0–1LSeptemvri Sofia0–1
Septemvri Sofia0–1WLokomotiv Sofia3–1
Lokomotiv Sofia3–1Number of Corners
7.9
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.2
48 games
10.1
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Cherno More | CSKA 1948 | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 57% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 43% | 80% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 14% | 70% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 14% | 60% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 14% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 11 | 14% | 40% | 25% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 40% | 15% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 20% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cherno More | CSKA 1948 |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.7 | 5.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 71% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 43% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 29% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 57% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 29% | 70% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
6
Cherno More
40%
6
Draws
40%
3
CSKA 1948
20%
60%
Over 1.5
9/15
40%
Over 2.5
6/15
27%
Over 3.5
4/15
40%
BTTS
6/15
14/08/26Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
4–1Cherno More Varna15/04/26CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
0–4CSKA 194809/11/25Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
0–1Cherno More Varna24/11/24Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
0–4Cherno More Varna19/07/24CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
0–0CSKA 194815/03/24CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
2–1CSKA 194822/09/23Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
1–1Cherno More Varna20/05/23CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
1–1CSKA 194830/04/23CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
0–0CSKA 194809/10/22Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
0–0Cherno More Varna06/12/21CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
2–0CSKA 194821/08/21Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
2–3Cherno More Varna26/06/21CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
1–0CSKA 194816/04/21Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
0–0Cherno More Varna30/10/20CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
1–2CSKA 1948| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 32 |
| 2 |  CSKA Sofia | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 31 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +17 | 29 |
| 5 |  Botev Plovdiv | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Arda Kardzhali | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 |  Spartak Varna | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 13 |
| 9 | Cherno More Varna | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 13 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | Septemvri Sofia | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -13 | 11 |
| 13 | Botev Vratsa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -13 | 10 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -11 | 9 |
Team Insights
Cherno More- ●Cherno More Varna have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Cherno More Varna have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Cherno More Varna have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Cherno More Varna have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Cherno More Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cherno More Varna failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Cherno More Varna's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of Cherno More Varna's points have been earned at home.
CSKA 1948- ●CSKA 1948 have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●CSKA 1948 have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●CSKA 1948 have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●CSKA 1948 have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●CSKA 1948 have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●CSKA 1948 failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●CSKA 1948 failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●CSKA 1948 have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●CSKA 1948 failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of CSKA 1948's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Cherno MoreDASlavia Sofia0–0
Slavia Sofia0–0WHBotev Vratsa1–0
Botev Vratsa1–0WHSeptemvri Sofia2–0
Septemvri Sofia2–0LHLevski Sofia0–2
Levski Sofia0–2DAArda Kardzhali1–1
Arda Kardzhali1–1DHLokomotiv Sofia2–2
Lokomotiv Sofia2–2–ASpartak Varna21/11
Spartak Varna21/11–HBotev Plovdiv28/11
Botev Plovdiv28/11–ALudogorets05/12
Ludogorets05/12CSKA 1948DALudogorets2–2
Ludogorets2–2WHSpartak Varna6–1
Spartak Varna6–1WHBotev Plovdiv4–0
Botev Plovdiv4–0LHCSKA Sofia2–3
CSKA Sofia2–3WASlavia Sofia2–1
Slavia Sofia2–1WHDunav Ruse2–1
Dunav Ruse2–1–ABotev Vratsa22/11
Botev Vratsa22/11–AArda Kardzhali29/11
Arda Kardzhali29/11–HLokomotiv Sofia05/12
Lokomotiv Sofia05/12Top Scorers
Cherno MoreG. Lazarov4 ⚽
D. Teles2 ⚽
D. Zaimov2 ⚽
J. Padilla2 ⚽
P. Andreev2 ⚽
celso sidney2 ⚽
CSKA 1948A. Iliev9 ⚽
Frederic6 ⚽
E. Franco5 ⚽
G. Rusev5 ⚽
B. Sobrero4 ⚽
Atanas Iliev4 ⚽
Cards Given
Cherno MoreL. Squadrone4 🟨
Ertan Tombak4 🟨
Asen Donchev3 🟨
D. Teles3 🟨
Zhivko Atanasov3 🟨
Christian Tomov2 🟨
CSKA 19483 🟨
Emerson3 🟨
H. Cuellar3 🟨
Hector Cuellar2 🟨
Diego Medina2 🟨
Elias Correa Franco2 🟨