Vardar Skopje vs Bashkimi Kumanovo — First League
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Vardar Skopje and Bashkimi Kumanovo meet in the First League 2026 season on 1 December 2026. Vardar Skopje have recorded 10 wins from 26 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Bashkimi Kumanovo have won 30% of their 20 matches, with 1.25 goals scored and 2.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.22 for Vardar Skopje and 0.87 for Bashkimi Kumanovo. The models give Vardar Skopje a 71% win probability, with a draw at 19% and an Bashkimi Kumanovo win at 10%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Vardar Skopje—
Bashkimi Kumanovo3º
Position
9º
1.91
PPG
0.64
55%
Win %
18%
1.55
Goals / game
0.91
0.82
Conceded / game
2.91
50%
BTTS %
50%
27%
Clean sheet %
15%
50%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Vardar Skopje
Home (5)
—
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Away (6)
2.40
PPG
0.50
80%
Win %
17%
2.00
Goals / game
0.67
0.60
Conceded / game
3.00
44%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
10%
33%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Vardar Skopje | Home | Away | Bashkimi Kumanovo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 78% | 65% | 65% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 56% | 47% | 35% | 50% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 11% | 29% | 15% | 20% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 22% | 35% | 35% | 30% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Vardar Skopje | Home | Away | Bashkimi Kumanovo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 67% | 76% | 85% | 80% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 44% | 41% | 55% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 22% | 29% | 45% | 40% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 33% | 24% | 15% | 20% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vardar Skopje | Bashkimi Kumanovo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 35% | 25% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 35% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vardar Skopje | Bashkimi Kumanovo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 65% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 55% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Vardar Skopje (H)L
Tikveš1–3
Tikveš1–3W
Shkëndija Haraçinë2–0
Shkëndija Haraçinë2–0W
Aresimi2–0
Aresimi2–0W
Sileks4–1
Sileks4–1L
Shkendija0–2
Shkendija0–2W
Bregalnica Štip2–0
Bregalnica Štip2–0Bashkimi Kumanovo (A)LTikveš1–3
Tikveš1–3L
Gjilani0–3
Gjilani0–3D
Drita1–1
Drita1–1LShkendija1–4
Shkendija1–4W
BVK Konjari5–0
BVK Konjari5–0W
Skopje2–1
Skopje2–1Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Vardar Skopje
50%
2
Draws
50%
0
Bashkimi Kumanovo
0%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
25%
Over 2.5
1/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
25%
BTTS
1/4
12/09/26Vardar Skopje
Bashkimi Kumanovo
3–3Vardar Skopje02/05/26Vardar Skopje
Bashkimi Kumanovo
0–2Vardar Skopje21/02/26Bashkimi Kumanovo
Vardar Skopje
1–0Bashkimi Kumanovo29/09/25Vardar Skopje
Bashkimi Kumanovo
0–0Vardar Skopje| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shkendija | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +14 | 24 |
| 2 |  Struga | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 23 |
| 3 | Vardar Skopje | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | Tikveš | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +15 | 20 |
| 5 | Sileks | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +8 | 16 |
| 6 | Shkëndija Haraçinë | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 7 | Bregalnica Štip | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 8 | Aresimi | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -14 | 10 |
| 9 | Bashkimi Kumanovo | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -22 | 7 |
| 10 | Skopje | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -16 | 3 |
Team Insights
Vardar Skopje- ●Vardar Skopje have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Vardar Skopje have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Vardar Skopje have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Vardar Skopje have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Vardar Skopje have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Vardar Skopje have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Vardar Skopje have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of Vardar Skopje's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Vardar Skopje have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Bashkimi Kumanovo- ●Bashkimi Kumanovo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Bashkimi Kumanovo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Bashkimi Kumanovo have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Bashkimi Kumanovo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Bashkimi Kumanovo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Bashkimi Kumanovo failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Bashkimi Kumanovo have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Bashkimi Kumanovo have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Vardar SkopjeDAShkendija0–0
Shkendija0–0WABregalnica Štip1–0
Bregalnica Štip1–0WASkopje2–1
Skopje2–1WHShkëndija Haraçinë2–0
Shkëndija Haraçinë2–0DABashkimi Kumanovo3–3
Bashkimi Kumanovo3–3WHAresimi2–0
Aresimi2–0–HStruga02/11
Struga02/11–ASileks07/11
Sileks07/11–HTikveš21/11
Tikveš21/11Bashkimi KumanovoLATikveš1–3
Tikveš1–3LHSileks0–3
Sileks0–3WHStruga2–1
Struga2–1LAShkendija1–4
Shkendija1–4DHVardar Skopje3–3
Vardar Skopje3–3WASkopje2–1
Skopje2–1–HAresimi02/11
Aresimi02/11–HBregalnica Štip07/11
Bregalnica Štip07/11–AShkëndija Haraçinë21/11
Shkëndija Haraçinë21/11Top Scorers
Vardar SkopjeG. Zakaric9 ⚽
A. Omeragic5 ⚽
E. Spahiu4 ⚽
B. Nikolov4 ⚽
D. Babunski3 ⚽
D. Danev2 ⚽
Bashkimi KumanovoL. Ribeiro3 ⚽
H. Saiti2 ⚽
A. Da Silva Sanca2 ⚽
F. Ismaili2 ⚽
B. Limani1 ⚽
A. Murati1 ⚽
Cards Given
Vardar SkopjeNemanja Bosančić3 🟨
3 🟨
D. Babunski3 🟨
E. Spahiu3 🟨
A. Omeragic2 🟨
F. Najdovski2 🟨
Bashkimi KumanovoM. Januzi7 🟨
G. Tenlep5 🟨
A. Murati3 🟨
B. Iseni2 🟨
Y. Fawzi2 🟨
B. Limani1 🟨