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Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda — Eerste Divisie

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Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 11
Helmond Sport
Helmond Sport
17º · 0.90 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 0h
vs
–
–
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
5º · 1.70 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 0h
GS Staalwerken Stadion·Helmond·Netherlands·4,200
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Helmond Sport and NAC Breda meet in the Eerste Divisie 2026 season on 16 October 2026. Helmond Sport have recorded 3 wins from 16 matches this season (19% win rate), averaging 1.19 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 6% of games. NAC Breda have won 50% of their 16 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 6%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.06 for Helmond Sport and 1.79 for NAC Breda. The models give Helmond Sport a 40% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an NAC Breda win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 71%.

Season Statistics

Helmond Sport
—
NAC Breda
17º
Position
5º
0.90
PPG
1.70
20%
Win %
50%
1.60
Goals / game
2.00
1.90
Conceded / game
1.90
69%
BTTS %
75%
6%
Clean sheet %
6%
56%
Over 2.5 %
75%
3.9
Avg corners
6.5
11.7
Avg shots
20.6
4.1
Avg shots on target
6.4
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.8
15.1
Avg fouls
10.7
43.1%
Avg possession
56.6%

Home vs Away

Helmond Sport
Home (5)
—
NAC Breda
Away (5)
1.80
PPG
1.60
40%
Win %
40%
2.20
Goals / game
2.00
1.40
Conceded / game
2.00
60%
BTTS %
88%
10%
Clean sheet %
0%
50%
Over 2.5 %
88%
3.9
Avg corners
6.5
11.7
Avg shots
20.6
4.1
Avg shots on target
6.4
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.8
43.1%
Avg possession
56.6%

Goals Scored

Helmond SportHomeAwayNAC BredaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored75%70%83%81%75%88%
Over 1.5 Scored25%30%17%69%50%88%
Over 2.5 Scored13%20%0%19%38%0%
Failed To Score25%30%17%19%25%13%

Goals Conceded

Helmond SportHomeAwayNAC BredaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded94%90%100%94%88%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded69%60%83%63%88%38%
Over 2.5 Conceded19%10%33%19%25%13%
Clean Sheets6%10%0%6%13%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Helmond SportNAC Breda
Over 0.5100%100%
Over 1.594%88%
Over 2.556%75%
Over 3.538%50%
Over 4.513%31%
BTTS69%75%
BTTS & Win13%44%
BTTS & Draw25%13%
BTTS & Over 2.550%75%
BTTS No & Over 2.56%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Helmond SportNAC Breda
Win 1st Half13%50%
Draw 1st Half44%6%
Loss 1st Half44%44%
Scored 1st Half63%63%
Conceded 1st Half63%69%
Win 2nd Half19%19%
Draw 2nd Half38%44%
Loss 2nd Half44%38%
Scored 2nd Half38%44%
Conceded 2nd Half63%63%
Over 0.5 HT75%100%
Over 1.5 HT63%44%

Recent Venue Form

Helmond Sport (H)
DHeracles2–2
WJong PSV U213–1
WVVV Venlo4–2
DWaalwijk1–1
DDe Graafschap1–1
WSt. Truiden1–0
NAC Breda (A)
DVitesse2–2
WDe Graafschap2–1
LWaalwijk2–4
DRoda2–2
WFC OSS2–1
LBolton0–1

Number of Corners

10.2
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
10.2
100 games
9.8
Corners / Match
10 games
Match CornersHelmond SportNAC BredaLeague Avg
Over 690%100%92%
Over 780%80%83%
Over 870%70%73%
Over 950%60%52%
Over 1030%30%38%
Over 1130%10%26%
Over 1230%10%21%
Over 1320%10%15%

Team Corners

Team CornersHelmond SportNAC Breda
Corners Earned / Match3.96.5
Corners Against / Match6.33.3
Over 2.5 Corners For50%80%
Over 3.5 Corners For40%80%
Over 4.5 Corners For40%70%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%60%
Over 3.5 Corners Against90%40%
Over 4.5 Corners Against70%20%

Head to Head · 12 matches

3
Helmond Sport
25%
4
Draws
33%
5
NAC Breda
42%
58%
Over 1.5
7/12
42%
Over 2.5
5/12
33%
Over 3.5
4/12
42%
BTTS
5/12
26/01/24
Helmond Sport
1–0
NAC Breda
27/10/23
NAC Breda
1–1
Helmond Sport
13/01/23
Helmond Sport
2–2
NAC Breda
05/08/22
NAC Breda
1–0
Helmond Sport
18/03/22
Helmond Sport
4–0
NAC Breda
27/11/21
NAC Breda
1–0
Helmond Sport
12/03/21
NAC Breda
3–2
Helmond Sport
06/09/20
Helmond Sport
0–2
NAC Breda
10/01/20
Helmond Sport
0–0
NAC Breda
16/08/19
NAC Breda
5–1
Helmond Sport
14/04/17
Helmond Sport
2–1
NAC Breda
28/11/16
NAC Breda
0–0
Helmond Sport
Eerste Divisie
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Heracles10811+1925
2Almere City FC10712+1522
3VVV Venlo10703+1221
4Emmen10613+419
5NAC Breda10523+117
6Roda10442+216
7MVV10514-716
8FC Volendam10505+515
9Waalwijk10352+414
10Vitesse10424014
11Jong AZ10415+413
12Jong PSV U2110343-213
13FC OSS10406012
14Den Bosch10325-411
15FC Eindhoven10325-711
16De Graafschap10325-1011
17Helmond Sport10235-39
18Jong Ajax10226-128
19Dordrecht10226-148
20Jong Utrecht10217-77

Team Insights

Helmond Sport
  • ●Helmond Sport have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Helmond Sport failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
  • ●Helmond Sport have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Helmond Sport have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Helmond Sport failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Helmond Sport have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Helmond Sport have lost their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Helmond Sport failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Helmond Sport have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Helmond Sport failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Helmond Sport failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Helmond Sport have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●69% of Helmond Sport's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●100% of Helmond Sport's points have been earned at home.
  • ●Helmond Sport have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Helmond Sport have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
NAC Breda
  • ●NAC Breda have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
  • ●NAC Breda have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
  • ●NAC Breda have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●NAC Breda have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●NAC Breda failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●NAC Breda have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●NAC Breda have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●NAC Breda failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●NAC Breda failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●NAC Breda have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Helmond SportHelmond Sport
LAFC OSS13º1–3
LAFC OSS10º1–3
LAFC OSS10º1–3
LAFC OSS10º1–3
LAFC OSS13º1–3
DHHeracles1º2–2
DHHeracles16º2–2
DHHeracles16º2–2
DHHeracles16º2–2
DHHeracles1º2–2
NAC BredaNAC Breda
WHMVV7º1–0
WHMVV8º1–0
WHMVV8º1–0
WHMVV8º1–0
WHMVV7º1–0
DAVitesse10º2–2
DAVitesse15º2–2
DAVitesse15º2–2
DAVitesse15º2–2
DAVitesse10º2–2

Season Schedule

Helmond Sport
LAFC OSS1–3
DHHeracles2–2
LAMVV0–2
LADen Bosch1–2
WHJong PSV U213–1
WHVVV Venlo4–2
–HNAC Breda16/10
–AJong AZ23/10
–HFC Eindhoven30/10
NAC Breda
WHMVV1–0
DAVitesse2–2
WHFC Eindhoven4–2
WADe Graafschap2–1
LHJong Utrecht2–3
LAWaalwijk2–4
–AHelmond Sport16/10
–HHeracles23/10
–AJong PSV U2102/11

Top Scorers

Helmond Sport
Tarik Essakkati2 ⚽
Mauro Lenaerts2 ⚽
Livio Cicero2 ⚽
H. Ingason1 ⚽
L. Bajrami1 ⚽
Joep van der Sluijs1 ⚽
NAC Breda
Charles-Andreas Brym5 ⚽
P. Reulen4 ⚽
P. Gladon4 ⚽
M. Soumano2 ⚽
Mohamed Nassoh2 ⚽
Paul Gladon2 ⚽

Cards Given

Helmond Sport
Sem Dekkers3 🟨
Tarik Essakkati3 🟨
D. Huiberts2 🟨
Mauro Lenaerts2 🟨
Brian Koglin2 🟨
Pol Llonch2 🟨
NAC Breda
J. Van den Bergh2 🟨
F. Jensen2 🟨
Jan Van den Bergh2 🟨
Mohamed Nassoh2 🟨
Imran Nazih1 🟨
I. Nazih1 🟨