Jong Ajax vs Vitesse — Eerste Divisie
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Jong Ajax and Vitesse meet in the Eerste Divisie 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Jong Ajax have recorded 2 wins from 11 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 2.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Vitesse have won 36% of their 14 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Jong Ajax and 1.71 for Vitesse. The models give Jong Ajax a 33% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Vitesse win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Jong Ajax—
Vitesse18º
Position
10º
0.80
PPG
1.40
20%
Win %
40%
1.30
Goals / game
1.50
2.50
Conceded / game
1.50
55%
BTTS %
57%
18%
Clean sheet %
14%
64%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.0
Avg corners
5.6
14.4
Avg shots
16.0
5.4
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.1
14.6
Avg fouls
12.9
51.7%
Avg possession
47.3%
Home vs Away
Jong Ajax
Home (5)
—
Vitesse
Away (5)
0.80
PPG
1.20
20%
Win %
40%
1.40
Goals / game
1.40
2.60
Conceded / game
1.40
40%
BTTS %
40%
20%
Clean sheet %
0%
60%
Over 2.5 %
40%
5.0
Avg corners
5.6
14.4
Avg shots
16.0
5.4
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.1
51.7%
Avg possession
47.3%
Goals Scored
| Jong Ajax | Home | Away | Vitesse | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 40% | 83% | 64% | 78% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 40% | 17% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 40% | 0% | 21% | 11% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 60% | 17% | 36% | 22% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| Jong Ajax | Home | Away | Vitesse | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 80% | 83% | 86% | 78% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 73% | 80% | 67% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 45% | 40% | 50% | 7% | 11% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 22% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Jong Ajax | Vitesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 7% |
| BTTS | 55% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Jong Ajax | Vitesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 9% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 73% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Jong Ajax (H)L
VVV Venlo0–3
VVV Venlo0–3D
Roda0–0
Roda0–0L
Waalwijk0–2
Waalwijk0–2W
Helmond Sport3–2
Helmond Sport3–2L
Emmen4–6
Emmen4–6L
Jong Utrecht0–2
Jong Utrecht0–2Vitesse (A)L
FC Volendam0–2
FC Volendam0–2L
Heracles0–2
Heracles0–2LRoda0–1
Roda0–1W
Den Bosch4–1
Den Bosch4–1WJong Utrecht3–1
Jong Utrecht3–1L
Cambuur1–2
Cambuur1–2Number of Corners
12.1
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
10.2
100 games
10.1
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Jong Ajax | Vitesse | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 90% | 92% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 90% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 90% | 80% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 80% | 60% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 70% | 30% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 60% | 20% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 50% | 10% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 30% | 10% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Jong Ajax | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.1 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 80% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 60% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 90% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 80% | 20% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Jong Ajax
25%
2
Draws
50%
1
Vitesse
25%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
06/04/26Jong Ajax
Vitesse
6–1Jong Ajax01/12/25Vitesse
Jong Ajax
2–0Vitesse14/04/25Vitesse
Jong Ajax
1–1Vitesse21/09/24Jong Ajax
Vitesse
2–2Jong Ajax| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 25 |
| 2 |  Almere City FC | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +15 | 22 |
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 | Emmen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  NAC Breda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 17 |
| 6 | Roda | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  MVV | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 16 |
| 8 | FC Volendam | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | +5 | 15 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 |  Jong AZ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  Jong PSV U21 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  FC OSS | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |  FC Eindhoven | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 |  De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 19 |  Dordrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 7 |
Team Insights
Jong Ajax- ●Jong Ajax have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Jong Ajax have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Jong Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Jong Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Jong Ajax have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Vitesse- ●Vitesse have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Vitesse failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Vitesse have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Vitesse have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Vitesse failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Vitesse have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Vitesse failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Vitesse failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Vitesse failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Jong AjaxLHVVV Venlo0–3
VVV Venlo0–3DHRoda0–0
Roda0–0LAJong Utrecht1–6
Jong Utrecht1–6LHWaalwijk0–2
Waalwijk0–2WAAlmere City FC1–0
Almere City FC1–0DAJong PSV U211–1
Jong PSV U211–1–HDe Graafschap19/10
De Graafschap19/10–AFC OSS23/10
FC OSS23/10–HVitesse02/11
Vitesse02/11VitesseLAFC Volendam0–2
FC Volendam0–2DHNAC Breda2–2
NAC Breda2–2LAHeracles0–2
Heracles0–2WHJong PSV U213–1
Jong PSV U213–1LARoda0–1
Roda0–1WHFC OSS2–1
FC OSS2–1–AFC Eindhoven16/10
FC Eindhoven16/10–HEmmen23/10
Emmen23/10–AJong Ajax02/11
Jong Ajax02/11Top Scorers
Jong AjaxD. Pugno4 ⚽
E. Unuvar4 ⚽
P. Nash2 ⚽
Diego Pugno1 ⚽
Emre Ünüvar1 ⚽
Jano Monserrate1 ⚽
VitesseN. Bannis5 ⚽
Naoufal Bannis4 ⚽
E. Probst1 ⚽
F. de Carvalho1 ⚽
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira1 ⚽
A. Sellouf1 ⚽
Cards Given
Jong AjaxJano Monserrate2 🟨
Marvyn Muzungu2 🟨
D. Pugno2 🟨
J. Monserrate2 🟨
Diego Pugno2 🟨
Ryan van de Pavert2 🟨
VitesseAymen·Sellouf2 🟨
M. Steffen2 🟨
C. Olde Keizer2 🟨
Chiel Olde Keizer1 🟨
C. van den Berg1 🟨
Alexander Büttner1 🟨