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MVV vs Vitesse — Eerste Divisie

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Netherlands · Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 15
MVV
MVV
7º · 1.60 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 27d 22h
vs
–
–
Vitesse
Vitesse
10º · 1.40 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 29d 19h
De Geusselt·Maastricht·Netherlands·10,000
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MVV and Vitesse meet in the Eerste Divisie 2026 season on 15 November 2026. MVV have recorded 6 wins from 20 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Vitesse have won 40% of their 15 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 20%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for MVV and 1.43 for Vitesse. The models give MVV a 35% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Vitesse win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

MVV
—
Vitesse
7º
Position
10º
1.60
PPG
1.40
50%
Win %
40%
1.30
Goals / game
1.50
2.00
Conceded / game
1.50
60%
BTTS %
53%
20%
Clean sheet %
20%
60%
Over 2.5 %
47%
4.2
Avg corners
5.5
9.6
Avg shots
15.2
2.9
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.2
11.3
Avg fouls
13.5
54.2%
Avg possession
47.0%

Home vs Away

MVV
Home (5)
—
Vitesse
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
1.20
60%
Win %
40%
1.20
Goals / game
1.40
1.20
Conceded / game
1.40
56%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Clean sheet %
17%
44%
Over 2.5 %
33%
4.2
Avg corners
5.5
9.6
Avg shots
15.2
2.9
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.2
54.2%
Avg possession
47.0%

Goals Scored

MVVHomeAwayVitesseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored70%78%64%67%78%50%
Over 1.5 Scored35%33%36%33%33%33%
Over 2.5 Scored15%11%18%20%11%33%
Failed To Score30%22%36%33%22%50%

Goals Conceded

MVVHomeAwayVitesseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded80%67%91%80%78%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded45%33%55%33%33%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded30%33%27%7%11%0%
Clean Sheets20%33%9%20%22%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

MVVVitesse
Over 0.590%93%
Over 1.575%73%
Over 2.560%47%
Over 3.545%27%
Over 4.535%7%
BTTS60%53%
BTTS & Win20%27%
BTTS & Draw15%20%
BTTS & Over 2.550%40%
BTTS No & Over 2.510%7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

MVVVitesse
Win 1st Half21%27%
Draw 1st Half47%40%
Loss 1st Half32%33%
Scored 1st Half53%53%
Conceded 1st Half58%53%
Win 2nd Half32%27%
Draw 2nd Half32%53%
Loss 2nd Half37%20%
Scored 2nd Half47%40%
Conceded 2nd Half53%40%
Over 0.5 HT74%80%
Over 1.5 HT47%40%

Recent Venue Form

MVV (H)
LHeracles1–5
WHelmond Sport2–0
LAlmere City FC0–4
DRoda1–1
WFC Volendam1–0
WJong Utrecht2–1
Vitesse (A)
WFC Eindhoven1–0
LFC Volendam0–2
LHeracles0–2
LRoda0–1
WDen Bosch4–1
WJong Utrecht3–1

Number of Corners

8.7
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
10.3
110 games
9.8
Corners / Match
11 games
Match CornersMVVVitesseLeague Avg
Over 6100%91%93%
Over 782%82%83%
Over 855%73%74%
Over 918%55%55%
Over 109%27%41%
Over 119%18%28%
Over 120%9%21%
Over 130%9%15%

Team Corners

Team CornersMVVVitesse
Corners Earned / Match4.25.5
Corners Against / Match4.54.3
Over 2.5 Corners For91%91%
Over 3.5 Corners For55%82%
Over 4.5 Corners For45%73%
Over 2.5 Corners Against73%64%
Over 3.5 Corners Against64%27%
Over 4.5 Corners Against55%18%

Head to Head · 4 matches

1
MVV
25%
2
Draws
50%
1
Vitesse
25%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
17/04/26
Vitesse
0–0
MVV
21/10/25
MVV
3–2
Vitesse
01/03/25
Vitesse
1–0
MVV
06/12/24
MVV
2–2
Vitesse
Eerste Divisie
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Heracles11911+2328
2Almere City FC11713+1422
3VVV Venlo11713+1222
4Emmen11713+522
5NAC Breda11623+320
6Roda11542+319
7Vitesse11524+117
8FC Volendam11515+516
9MVV11515-1116
10Waalwijk11362+415
11Jong AZ11425+414
12Den Bosch11425-314
13Jong PSV U2111344-313
14FC OSS11407-112
15FC Eindhoven11326-811
16Jong Ajax11326-1111
17De Graafschap11326-1111
18Dordrecht11326-1311
19Helmond Sport11236-59
20Jong Utrecht11218-87

Team Insights

MVV
  • ●MVV have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●MVV have lost their last 3 matches.
  • ●MVV have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●MVV failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●MVV failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●MVV failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Vitesse
  • ●Vitesse have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Vitesse failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Vitesse failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Vitesse failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Vitesse have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
MVVMVV
LHHeracles1º1–5
LHHeracles1º1–5
LHHeracles16º1–5
LHHeracles16º1–5
LHHeracles1º1–5
LANAC Breda5º0–1
LANAC Breda2º0–1
LANAC Breda13º0–1
LANAC Breda13º0–1
LANAC Breda5º0–1
VitesseVitesse
WAFC Eindhoven15º1–0
WAFC Eindhoven14º1–0
WAFC Eindhoven5º1–0
WAFC Eindhoven5º1–0
WAFC Eindhoven15º1–0
LAFC Volendam8º0–2
LAFC Volendam10º0–2
LAFC Volendam11º0–2
LAFC Volendam11º0–2
LAFC Volendam8º0–2

Season Schedule

MVV
LHHeracles1–5
LANAC Breda0–1
LAFC OSS1–4
WHHelmond Sport2–0
LAWaalwijk1–6
LHAlmere City FC0–4
–ADen Bosch23/10
–HVVV Venlo31/10
–AEmmen08/11
Vitesse
WAFC Eindhoven1–0
LAFC Volendam0–2
DHNAC Breda2–2
LAHeracles0–2
WHJong PSV U213–1
LARoda0–1
–HEmmen23/10
–AJong Ajax02/11
–HDe Graafschap08/11

Top Scorers

MVV
8 ⚽
Olivier·Dumont3 ⚽
O. Dumont2 ⚽
J. Pawirodihardjo1 ⚽
N. El Hamdaoui1 ⚽
E. Sierra1 ⚽
Vitesse
Naoufal Bannis5 ⚽
N. Bannis5 ⚽
E. Probst1 ⚽
F. de Carvalho1 ⚽
Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira1 ⚽
A. Sellouf1 ⚽

Cards Given

MVV
Robert Klaasen2 🟨
Hugo Wentges1 🟨
L. Daneels1 🟨
Lars Schenk1 🟨
Lennerd Daneels1 🟨
Elias Sierra1 🟨
Vitesse
Naoufal Bannis2 🟨
Pontus Dahbo2 🟨
C. Olde Keizer2 🟨
M. Steffen2 🟨
Aymen·Sellouf2 🟨
Chiel Olde Keizer1 🟨