NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen — Eredivisie
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NEC Nijmegen and Groningen meet in the Eredivisie 2026 season on 25 October 2026. NEC Nijmegen have recorded 6 wins from 23 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 74% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Groningen have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 2.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 81%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for NEC Nijmegen and 2.25 for Groningen. The models give NEC Nijmegen a 37% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Groningen win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 76% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| NEC Nijmegen | Home | Away | Groningen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 92% | 60% | 81% | 73% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 46% | 40% | 50% | 55% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 15% | 30% | 25% | 18% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 8% | 40% | 19% | 27% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| NEC Nijmegen | Home | Away | Groningen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 92% | 90% | 81% | 73% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 54% | 50% | 56% | 64% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 23% | 40% | 31% | 36% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 8% | 10% | 19% | 27% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| NEC Nijmegen | Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 | 52% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 38% |
| BTTS | 74% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| NEC Nijmegen | Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 61% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | NEC Nijmegen | Groningen | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 69% | 89% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 44% | 78% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 38% | 78% | 72% |
| Over 9 | 25% | 44% | 56% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 33% | 49% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 11% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 19% | 11% | 28% |
| Over 13 | 6% | 0% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | NEC Nijmegen | Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.2 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 56% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 44% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 63% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 44% |
Head to Head · 23 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 23 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 20 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +15 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 18 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 15 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | |
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 6 | |
| 17 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●NEC Nijmegen have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●NEC Nijmegen failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●NEC Nijmegen have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●NEC Nijmegen failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●NEC Nijmegen have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●NEC Nijmegen failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●70% of NEC Nijmegen's points have been earned away.
- ●Groningen have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Groningen have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Groningen have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Groningen have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Groningen failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Groningen have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.