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Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax — Eredivisie

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Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
13º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 20h
vs
–
–
Ajax
Ajax
4º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 2d 20h
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel·Rotterdam·Netherlands·11,026
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Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax meet in the Eredivisie 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Sparta Rotterdam have recorded 5 wins from 16 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.94 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Ajax have won 62% of their 26 matches, with 2.58 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 23%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Sparta Rotterdam and 2.75 for Ajax. The models give Sparta Rotterdam a 20% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Ajax win at 60%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 79% and BTTS at 73%.

Season Statistics

Sparta Rotterdam
—
Ajax
13º
Position
4º
1.00
PPG
2.00
22%
Win %
56%
1.78
Goals / game
3.00
2.44
Conceded / game
1.33
69%
BTTS %
73%
19%
Clean sheet %
23%
75%
Over 2.5 %
73%
5.7
Avg corners
7.7
14.7
Avg shots
21.9
5.1
Avg shots on target
8.6
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.7
10.1
Avg fouls
9.7
45.1%
Avg possession
61.8%

Home vs Away

Sparta Rotterdam
Home (5)
—
Ajax
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
3.00
20%
Win %
100%
1.60
Goals / game
4.00
2.40
Conceded / game
0.75
50%
BTTS %
78%
25%
Clean sheet %
22%
50%
Over 2.5 %
89%
5.7
Avg corners
7.7
14.7
Avg shots
21.9
5.1
Avg shots on target
8.6
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.7
45.1%
Avg possession
61.8%

Goals Scored

Sparta RotterdamHomeAwayAjaxHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored81%63%100%96%94%100%
Over 1.5 Scored56%38%75%69%59%89%
Over 2.5 Scored38%25%50%42%29%67%
Failed To Score19%38%0%4%6%0%

Goals Conceded

Sparta RotterdamHomeAwayAjaxHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded81%75%88%77%76%78%
Over 1.5 Conceded63%50%75%38%35%44%
Over 2.5 Conceded38%25%50%12%18%0%
Clean Sheets19%25%13%23%24%22%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Sparta RotterdamAjax
Over 0.594%100%
Over 1.581%88%
Over 2.575%73%
Over 3.569%65%
Over 4.544%27%
BTTS69%73%
BTTS & Win19%38%
BTTS & Draw25%23%
BTTS & Over 2.563%65%
BTTS No & Over 2.513%8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Sparta RotterdamAjax
Win 1st Half27%50%
Draw 1st Half33%31%
Loss 1st Half40%19%
Scored 1st Half53%69%
Conceded 1st Half67%46%
Win 2nd Half40%54%
Draw 2nd Half33%23%
Loss 2nd Half27%23%
Scored 2nd Half67%73%
Conceded 2nd Half67%65%
Over 0.5 HT87%81%
Over 1.5 HT53%54%

Recent Venue Form

Sparta Rotterdam (H)
WWillem II3–2
LHeerenveen0–4
DPEC Zwolle2–2
DUtrecht3–3
LFeyenoord0–1
DMSV Duisburg0–0
Ajax (A)
WGroningen5–2
LHNK Hajduk Split1–2
WFortuna Sittard5–1
WTelstar4–0
WFC Sion4–2
DShelbourne2–2

Number of Corners

12.6
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
10.3
81 games
11.0
Corners / Match
16 games
Match CornersSparta RotterdamAjaxLeague Avg
Over 6100%94%85%
Over 789%88%79%
Over 889%81%72%
Over 978%63%56%
Over 1067%56%49%
Over 1167%44%41%
Over 1244%31%28%
Over 1344%31%17%

Team Corners

Team CornersSparta RotterdamAjax
Corners Earned / Match5.77.7
Corners Against / Match6.93.3
Over 2.5 Corners For100%94%
Over 3.5 Corners For78%94%
Over 4.5 Corners For67%75%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%50%
Over 3.5 Corners Against100%44%
Over 4.5 Corners Against78%25%

Head to Head · 18 matches

0
Sparta Rotterdam
0%
3
Draws
17%
15
Ajax
83%
83%
Over 1.5
15/18
67%
Over 2.5
12/18
50%
Over 3.5
9/18
56%
BTTS
10/18
14/03/26
Ajax
4–0
Sparta Rotterdam
04/10/25
Sparta Rotterdam
3–3
Ajax
27/04/25
Ajax
1–1
Sparta Rotterdam
22/12/24
Sparta Rotterdam
0–2
Ajax
17/03/24
Sparta Rotterdam
2–2
Ajax
09/12/23
Ajax
2–1
Sparta Rotterdam
19/02/23
Ajax
4–0
Sparta Rotterdam
21/08/22
Sparta Rotterdam
0–1
Ajax
09/04/22
Ajax
2–1
Sparta Rotterdam
28/11/21
Sparta Rotterdam
0–1
Ajax
21/02/21
Ajax
4–2
Sparta Rotterdam
13/09/20
Sparta Rotterdam
0–1
Ajax
19/01/20
Ajax
2–1
Sparta Rotterdam
01/09/19
Sparta Rotterdam
1–4
Ajax
18/03/18
Sparta Rotterdam
2–5
Ajax
14/10/17
Ajax
4–0
Sparta Rotterdam
12/02/17
Ajax
2–0
Sparta Rotterdam
07/08/16
Sparta Rotterdam
1–3
Ajax
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Feyenoord9720+2123
2AZ Alkmaar9621+1020
3PSV Eindhoven9612+1519
4Ajax9531+1518
5Twente9522+717
6Fortuna Sittard9432-115
7Groningen9423+314
8GO Ahead Eagles10352014
9Heerenveen9333+412
10Excelsior9324-211
11Utrecht9324-1011
12NEC Nijmegen9243-110
13Sparta Rotterdam9234-69
14Cambuur9234-89
15PEC Zwolle9216-127
16ADO Den Haag9135-96
17Telstar10136-96
18Willem II9027-172

Team Insights

Sparta Rotterdam
  • ●Sparta Rotterdam failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
  • ●Sparta Rotterdam have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Sparta Rotterdam failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Sparta Rotterdam have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Sparta Rotterdam have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Sparta Rotterdam failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
Ajax
  • ●Ajax have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Ajax have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
  • ●Ajax have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Ajax have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Ajax have won their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Ajax have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Ajax have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●75% of Ajax's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●67% of Ajax's points have been earned away.
WHWillem II18º3–2
DAGO Ahead Eagles8º3–3
LHHeerenveen9º0–4
LAPSV Eindhoven3º1–4
DHPEC Zwolle15º2–2
LAExcelsior10º1–2
DHUtrecht11º3–3
WATelstar17º3–1
LHFeyenoord1º0–1
WHAtalanta3º2–0
WHAtalanta15º2–0
WAGroningen7º5–2
LAHNK Hajduk Split15º1–2
DHNEC Nijmegen12º1–1
DHExcelsior10º2–2
WHWillem II18º5–1
WAFortuna Sittard6º5–1
LHPSV Eindhoven3º1–3

Season Schedule

Sparta Rotterdam
WHWillem II3–2
DAGO Ahead Eagles3–3
LHHeerenveen0–4
LAPSV Eindhoven1–4
DHPEC Zwolle2–2
LAExcelsior1–2
–HAjax25/10
–AGroningen01/11
–AADO Den Haag07/11
Ajax
WAGroningen5–2
DHNEC Nijmegen1–1
DHExcelsior2–2
WHWillem II5–1
WAFortuna Sittard5–1
LHPSV Eindhoven1–3
–ASparta Rotterdam25/10
–HAZ Alkmaar31/10
–ATwente08/11

Top Scorers

Sparta Rotterdam
Milan Zonneveld4 ⚽
Y. Jaber el Maftahi3 ⚽
N. Thorisson3 ⚽
M. Zonneveld2 ⚽
Lushendry Martes2 ⚽
C. Terho2 ⚽
Ajax
T. Arokodare6 ⚽
D. Klaassen6 ⚽
Julian Brandt5 ⚽
A. Ouazane4 ⚽
O. Gloukh4 ⚽
J. Brandt3 ⚽

Cards Given

Sparta Rotterdam
3 🟨
Lushendry Martes2 🟨
Bruno Martins Indi1 🟨
Cedric Hatenboer1 🟨
Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi1 🟨
C. Terho1 🟨
Ajax
A. Bouwman2 🟨
J. Mokio2 🟨
Abdellah Ouazane2 🟨
A. Gaaei2 🟨
A. Ouazane2 🟨
Jorthy Mokio2 🟨