Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax — Eredivisie
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Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax meet in the Eredivisie 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Sparta Rotterdam have recorded 5 wins from 16 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.94 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Ajax have won 62% of their 26 matches, with 2.58 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 73%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Sparta Rotterdam and 2.75 for Ajax. The models give Sparta Rotterdam a 20% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Ajax win at 60%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 79% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sparta Rotterdam | Home | Away | Ajax | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 63% | 100% | 96% | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 38% | 75% | 69% | 59% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 25% | 50% | 42% | 29% | 67% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 38% | 0% | 4% | 6% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Sparta Rotterdam | Home | Away | Ajax | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 75% | 88% | 77% | 76% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 50% | 75% | 38% | 35% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 12% | 18% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 25% | 13% | 23% | 24% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sparta Rotterdam | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 69% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 | 44% | 27% |
| BTTS | 69% | 73% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sparta Rotterdam | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 69% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 54% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Sparta Rotterdam | Ajax | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 94% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 89% | 88% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 89% | 81% | 72% |
| Over 9 | 78% | 63% | 56% |
| Over 10 | 67% | 56% | 49% |
| Over 11 | 67% | 44% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 44% | 31% | 28% |
| Over 13 | 44% | 31% | 17% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Sparta Rotterdam | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.7 | 7.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.9 | 3.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 94% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 78% | 94% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 78% | 25% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 23 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 20 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +15 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 18 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 15 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | |
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 6 | |
| 17 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Sparta Rotterdam failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Sparta Rotterdam have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Sparta Rotterdam failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sparta Rotterdam have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sparta Rotterdam have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sparta Rotterdam failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Ajax have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Ajax have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Ajax have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ajax have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ajax have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ajax have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ajax have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●75% of Ajax's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Ajax's points have been earned away.