AZ Alkmaar vs Twente — Eredivisie
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AZ Alkmaar and Twente meet in the Eredivisie 2026 season on 25 October 2026. AZ Alkmaar have recorded 9 wins from 15 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 2.07 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Twente have won 59% of their 22 matches, with 2.41 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.06 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.84 for Twente. The models give AZ Alkmaar a 42% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Twente win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
AZ Alkmaar—
Twente3º
Position
4º
2.38
PPG
2.13
75%
Win %
63%
2.25
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
53%
BTTS %
59%
27%
Clean sheet %
32%
47%
Over 2.5 %
68%
7.9
Avg corners
7.4
17.7
Avg shots
21.3
6.3
Avg shots on target
8.0
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.5
11.7
Avg fouls
11.9
58.4%
Avg possession
59.7%
Home vs Away
AZ Alkmaar
Home (4)
—
Twente
Away (4)
2.50
PPG
1.25
75%
Win %
25%
2.25
Goals / game
1.75
0.75
Conceded / game
1.25
56%
BTTS %
73%
33%
Clean sheet %
18%
56%
Over 2.5 %
73%
7.9
Avg corners
7.4
17.7
Avg shots
21.3
6.3
Avg shots on target
8.0
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.5
58.4%
Avg possession
59.7%
Goals Scored
| AZ Alkmaar | Home | Away | Twente | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 89% | 67% | 91% | 91% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 67% | 50% | 64% | 64% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 44% | 33% | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 11% | 33% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
Goals Conceded
| AZ Alkmaar | Home | Away | Twente | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 67% | 83% | 68% | 55% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 33% | 33% | 36% | 27% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 11% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 33% | 17% | 32% | 45% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AZ Alkmaar | Twente | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 32% |
| BTTS | 53% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AZ Alkmaar | Twente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 53% | 59% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 59% |
Recent Venue Form
AZ Alkmaar (H)W
Telstar1–0
Telstar1–0D
Willem II1–1
Willem II1–1W
GO Ahead Eagles5–2
GO Ahead Eagles5–2W
ADO Den Haag2–0
ADO Den Haag2–0W
Olympiakos Piraeus3–2
Olympiakos Piraeus3–2W
Genk4–0
Genk4–0Twente (A)D
Fortuna Sittard1–1
Fortuna Sittard1–1D
Groningen2–2
Groningen2–2W
Cambuur4–1
Cambuur4–1W
Qarabag4–1
Qarabag4–1D
Dunajska Streda3–3
Dunajska Streda3–3L
Heerenveen0–1
Heerenveen0–1Number of Corners
12.6
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
10.4
71 games
10.9
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | AZ Alkmaar | Twente | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 100% | 82% |
| Over 8 | 78% | 85% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 78% | 69% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 78% | 62% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 78% | 38% | 44% |
| Over 12 | 56% | 15% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 15% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | AZ Alkmaar | Twente |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.9 | 7.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 89% | 92% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 89% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 31% |
Head to Head · 34 matches
18
AZ Alkmaar
53%
5
Draws
15%
11
Twente
32%
91%
Over 1.5
31/34
76%
Over 2.5
26/34
35%
Over 3.5
12/34
65%
BTTS
22/34
03/05/26Twente
AZ Alkmaar
2–2Twente03/02/26Twente
AZ Alkmaar
2–1Twente30/11/25AZ Alkmaar
Twente
1–0AZ Alkmaar25/05/25Twente
AZ Alkmaar
3–2Twente14/05/25AZ Alkmaar
Twente
2–3AZ Alkmaar21/12/24Twente
AZ Alkmaar
1–0Twente05/05/24Twente
AZ Alkmaar
2–1Twente13/01/24AZ Alkmaar
Twente
2–1AZ Alkmaar19/03/23AZ Alkmaar
Twente
2–1AZ Alkmaar11/09/22Twente
AZ Alkmaar
1–1Twente13/03/22Twente
AZ Alkmaar
0–1Twente19/01/22AZ Alkmaar
Twente
1–2AZ Alkmaar23/09/21AZ Alkmaar
Twente
3–1AZ Alkmaar13/03/21Twente
AZ Alkmaar
4–1Twente13/12/20AZ Alkmaar
Twente
1–3AZ Alkmaar15/02/20AZ Alkmaar
Twente
2–0AZ Alkmaar02/11/19Twente
AZ Alkmaar
3–0Twente28/02/18Twente
AZ Alkmaar
4–0Twente07/02/18AZ Alkmaar
Twente
0–4AZ Alkmaar24/11/17Twente
AZ Alkmaar
2–0Twente| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 | Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 |  Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
Team Insights
AZ Alkmaar- ●AZ Alkmaar have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●AZ Alkmaar have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Twente- ●Twente have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Twente have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Twente have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Twente have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Twente have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Twente have conceded 75% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AZ AlkmaarLAFeyenoord0–2
Feyenoord0–2WHTelstar1–0
Telstar1–0DHWillem II1–1
Willem II1–1WAHeerenveen3–2
Heerenveen3–2WHGO Ahead Eagles5–2
GO Ahead Eagles5–2WAFortuna Sittard2–0
Fortuna Sittard2–0–ACambuur18/10
Cambuur18/10–HTwente25/10
Twente25/10–AAjax31/10
Ajax31/10TwenteDAFortuna Sittard1–1
Fortuna Sittard1–1WHPSV Eindhoven3–2
PSV Eindhoven3–2WHADO Den Haag2–0
ADO Den Haag2–0WHTelstar1–0
Telstar1–0DAGroningen2–2
Groningen2–2WACambuur4–1
Cambuur4–1–HUtrecht18/10
Utrecht18/10–AAZ Alkmaar25/10
AZ Alkmaar25/10–AExcelsior01/11
Excelsior01/11Top Scorers
AZ AlkmaarR. Daal4 ⚽
Weslley Patati3 ⚽
M. Meerdink3 ⚽
J. Hornkamp2 ⚽
Mexx Meerdink2 ⚽
B. Kovacs1 ⚽
TwenteM. Pjaca7 ⚽
L. Vennegoor of Hesselink5 ⚽
W. Weghorst4 ⚽
D. Weidmann3 ⚽
M. Bruns3 ⚽
D. Rots3 ⚽
Cards Given
AZ AlkmaarA. Oufkir3 🟨
Ro Zangelo Daal2 🟨
Weslley Patati2 🟨
Wouter Goes2 🟨
M. Chavez Garcia1 🟨
R. Daal1 🟨
Twente2 🟨
D. Rots2 🟨
R. Zerrouki2 🟨
Y. Taha2 🟨
R. Propper2 🟨
Max Bruns1 🟨