Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar — Eredivisie
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Johan Cruijff ArenA·Amsterdam·Netherlands·55,885
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Ajax and AZ Alkmaar meet in the Eredivisie 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Ajax have recorded 14 wins from 23 matches this season (61% win rate), averaging 2.57 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 74% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. AZ Alkmaar have won 60% of their 15 matches, with 2.07 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.17 for Ajax and 1.92 for AZ Alkmaar. The models give Ajax a 44% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an AZ Alkmaar win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
Ajax—
AZ Alkmaar5º
Position
3º
1.88
PPG
2.38
50%
Win %
75%
2.75
Goals / game
2.25
1.25
Conceded / game
1.00
74%
BTTS %
53%
22%
Clean sheet %
27%
74%
Over 2.5 %
47%
8.2
Avg corners
7.9
23.3
Avg shots
17.7
8.8
Avg shots on target
6.3
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.4
9.0
Avg fouls
11.7
63.7%
Avg possession
58.4%
Home vs Away
Ajax
Home (5)
—
AZ Alkmaar
Away (4)
1.20
PPG
2.25
20%
Win %
75%
2.20
Goals / game
2.25
1.80
Conceded / game
1.25
75%
BTTS %
50%
19%
Clean sheet %
17%
69%
Over 2.5 %
33%
8.2
Avg corners
7.9
23.3
Avg shots
17.7
8.8
Avg shots on target
6.3
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.4
63.7%
Avg possession
58.4%
Goals Scored
| Ajax | Home | Away | AZ Alkmaar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 96% | 94% | 100% | 80% | 89% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 70% | 56% | 100% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 43% | 31% | 71% | 40% | 44% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 4% | 6% | 0% | 20% | 11% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Ajax | Home | Away | AZ Alkmaar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 81% | 71% | 73% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 38% | 29% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 19% | 0% | 7% | 11% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 19% | 29% | 27% | 33% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ajax | AZ Alkmaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 70% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 33% |
| BTTS | 74% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 39% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 65% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ajax | AZ Alkmaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 52% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 74% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 52% | 53% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Ajax (H)D
NEC Nijmegen1–1
NEC Nijmegen1–1D
Excelsior2–2
Excelsior2–2W
Willem II5–1
Willem II5–1L
PSV Eindhoven1–3
PSV Eindhoven1–3W
FC Sion5–3
FC Sion5–3D
Heerenveen2–2
Heerenveen2–2AZ Alkmaar (A)L
Feyenoord0–2
Feyenoord0–2L
Sunderland0–1
Sunderland0–1WHeerenveen3–2
Heerenveen3–2W
Fortuna Sittard2–0
Fortuna Sittard2–0W
Utrecht4–1
Utrecht4–1WPSV Eindhoven4–0
PSV Eindhoven4–0Number of Corners
10.7
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
10.4
71 games
12.6
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Ajax | AZ Alkmaar | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 100% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 85% | 78% | 82% |
| Over 8 | 77% | 78% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 62% | 78% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 54% | 78% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 46% | 78% | 44% |
| Over 12 | 31% | 56% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 31% | 33% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Ajax | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 8.2 | 7.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.5 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 92% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 92% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 77% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 38% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 31% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 15% | 33% |
Head to Head · 36 matches
14
Ajax
39%
8
Draws
22%
14
AZ Alkmaar
39%
86%
Over 1.5
31/36
61%
Over 2.5
22/36
39%
Over 3.5
14/36
47%
BTTS
17/36
08/02/26Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1–1Ajax14/01/26Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
6–0Ajax18/10/25AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
0–2AZ Alkmaar16/03/25AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
2–2AZ Alkmaar14/01/25Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2–0Ajax08/12/24Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2–1Ajax25/02/24Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2–0Ajax08/10/23AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
1–2AZ Alkmaar06/05/23AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
0–0AZ Alkmaar18/09/22Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2–1Ajax08/05/22Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
2–2Ajax03/03/22Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
0–2Ajax12/12/21AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
1–2AZ Alkmaar25/04/21AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
2–0AZ Alkmaar31/01/21Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
0–3Ajax20/01/21Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
0–1Ajax01/03/20AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
0–2AZ Alkmaar15/12/19Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1–0Ajax17/03/19Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
1–0Ajax07/10/18AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
5–0AZ Alkmaar| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 | Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
Team Insights
Ajax- ●Ajax have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Ajax have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Ajax have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ajax have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ajax have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ajax have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●90% of Ajax's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●60% of Ajax's points have been earned away.
AZ Alkmaar- ●AZ Alkmaar have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●AZ Alkmaar have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Season Schedule
AjaxDHNEC Nijmegen1–1
NEC Nijmegen1–1DHExcelsior2–2
Excelsior2–2WHWillem II5–1
Willem II5–1WAFortuna Sittard5–1
Fortuna Sittard5–1LHPSV Eindhoven1–3
PSV Eindhoven1–3WATelstar4–0
Telstar4–0–AGroningen18/10
Groningen18/10–ASparta Rotterdam25/10
Sparta Rotterdam25/10–HAZ Alkmaar31/10
AZ Alkmaar31/10AZ AlkmaarLAFeyenoord0–2
Feyenoord0–2WHTelstar1–0
Telstar1–0DHWillem II1–1
Willem II1–1WAHeerenveen3–2
Heerenveen3–2WHGO Ahead Eagles5–2
GO Ahead Eagles5–2WAFortuna Sittard2–0
Fortuna Sittard2–0–ACambuur18/10
Cambuur18/10–HTwente25/10
Twente25/10–AAjax31/10
Ajax31/10Top Scorers
AjaxT. Arokodare5 ⚽
D. Klaassen5 ⚽
O. Gloukh4 ⚽
Marcos Leonardo3 ⚽
A. Ouazane3 ⚽
J. Brandt3 ⚽
AZ AlkmaarR. Daal4 ⚽
Weslley Patati3 ⚽
M. Meerdink3 ⚽
J. Hornkamp2 ⚽
Mexx Meerdink2 ⚽
B. Kovacs1 ⚽
Cards Given
AjaxA. Bouwman2 🟨
J. Mokio2 🟨
Abdellah Ouazane2 🟨
A. Gaaei2 🟨
A. Ouazane2 🟨
Jorthy Mokio2 🟨
AZ AlkmaarA. Oufkir3 🟨
Ro Zangelo Daal2 🟨
Weslley Patati2 🟨
Wouter Goes2 🟨
M. Chavez Garcia1 🟨
R. Daal1 🟨