Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen — Eredivisie
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Stadion Galgenwaard·Utrecht·Netherlands·24,426
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Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen meet in the Eredivisie 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Utrecht have recorded 3 wins from 13 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 2.46 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. NEC Nijmegen have won 25% of their 20 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Utrecht and 2.13 for NEC Nijmegen. The models give Utrecht a 37% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an NEC Nijmegen win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 73%.
Season Statistics
Utrecht—
NEC Nijmegen13º
Position
11º
1.00
PPG
1.13
25%
Win %
25%
1.75
Goals / game
1.63
3.13
Conceded / game
1.75
69%
BTTS %
70%
0%
Clean sheet %
10%
77%
Over 2.5 %
75%
3.8
Avg corners
4.2
12.5
Avg shots
13.8
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.6
17.0
Avg fouls
12.3
44.1%
Avg possession
54.5%
Home vs Away
Utrecht
Home (4)
—
NEC Nijmegen
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
1.75
25%
Win %
50%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
3.50
Conceded / game
1.50
75%
BTTS %
56%
0%
Clean sheet %
11%
75%
Over 2.5 %
67%
3.8
Avg corners
4.2
12.5
Avg shots
13.8
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.6
44.1%
Avg possession
54.5%
Goals Scored
| Utrecht | Home | Away | NEC Nijmegen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 75% | 60% | 75% | 91% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 38% | 40% | 40% | 45% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 38% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 25% | 40% | 25% | 9% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| Utrecht | Home | Away | NEC Nijmegen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 90% | 91% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 62% | 63% | 60% | 50% | 55% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 38% | 40% | 35% | 27% | 44% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 9% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Utrecht | NEC Nijmegen | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 54% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 46% | 25% |
| BTTS | 69% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 69% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Utrecht | NEC Nijmegen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 62% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 69% | 65% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 77% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Utrecht (H)W
Willem II3–1
Willem II3–1D
GO Ahead Eagles3–3
GO Ahead Eagles3–3L
PSV Eindhoven1–6
PSV Eindhoven1–6L
AZ Alkmaar1–4
AZ Alkmaar1–4L
Sevilla0–1
Sevilla0–1W
V-varen Nagasaki3–2
V-varen Nagasaki3–2NEC Nijmegen (A)D
Ajax1–1
Ajax1–1L
Juventus0–5
Juventus0–5L
Cambuur0–3
Cambuur0–3W
PEC Zwolle3–1
PEC Zwolle3–1L
Bodo/Glimt0–3
Bodo/Glimt0–3WWillem II4–1
Willem II4–1Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
10.4
71 games
7.6
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Utrecht | NEC Nijmegen | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 62% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 46% | 82% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 38% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 23% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 23% | 51% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 23% | 44% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 15% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 8% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Utrecht | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.4 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 63% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 38% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 88% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 88% | 23% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
10
Utrecht
45%
6
Draws
27%
6
NEC Nijmegen
27%
68%
Over 1.5
15/22
50%
Over 2.5
11/22
27%
Over 3.5
6/22
36%
BTTS
8/22
11/02/26Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
1–3Utrecht02/11/25NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
1–0NEC Nijmegen15/03/25NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
0–1NEC Nijmegen24/11/24Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
1–2Utrecht17/03/24NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
1–0NEC Nijmegen23/09/23Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
3–0Utrecht12/03/23Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
2–2Utrecht16/09/22NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
0–0NEC Nijmegen29/04/22NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
1–0NEC Nijmegen22/09/21Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
0–3Utrecht18/03/17Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
0–3Utrecht30/10/16NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
1–1NEC Nijmegen10/04/16NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
3–1NEC Nijmegen22/11/15Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
1–0Utrecht16/03/14Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
2–2Utrecht06/12/13NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
2–0NEC Nijmegen10/02/13NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
0–3NEC Nijmegen24/11/12Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
2–0Utrecht04/03/12NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
0–0NEC Nijmegen30/10/11Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
3–1Utrecht| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 | Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
Team Insights
Utrecht- ●Utrecht failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Utrecht have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
NEC Nijmegen- ●NEC Nijmegen have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●NEC Nijmegen failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●NEC Nijmegen have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●NEC Nijmegen have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●62% of NEC Nijmegen's goals have been scored away.
- ●78% of NEC Nijmegen's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
UtrechtWHWillem II3–1
Willem II3–1LAFeyenoord0–5
Feyenoord0–5WAExcelsior2–1
Excelsior2–1DHGO Ahead Eagles3–3
GO Ahead Eagles3–3LHPSV Eindhoven1–6
PSV Eindhoven1–6DASparta Rotterdam3–3
Sparta Rotterdam3–3–ATwente18/10
Twente18/10–HPEC Zwolle24/10
PEC Zwolle24/10–ATelstar01/11
Telstar01/11NEC NijmegenDAAjax1–1
Ajax1–1DHGO Ahead Eagles1–1
GO Ahead Eagles1–1LACambuur0–3
Cambuur0–3DHExcelsior2–2
Excelsior2–2LHFeyenoord1–3
Feyenoord1–3WAPEC Zwolle3–1
PEC Zwolle3–1–HFortuna Sittard18/10
Fortuna Sittard18/10–HGroningen25/10
Groningen25/10–AHeerenveen31/10
Heerenveen31/10Top Scorers
UtrechtA. Stepanov4 ⚽
Artem Stepanov2 ⚽
A. Blake2 ⚽
Dani De Wit2 ⚽
Yoann Cathline2 ⚽
M. Didden1 ⚽
NEC NijmegenT. Chery5 ⚽
K. Sierhuis4 ⚽
B. Linssen3 ⚽
A. Tahaui2 ⚽
N. Lebreton2 ⚽
2 ⚽
Cards Given
UtrechtG. Offerhaus2 🟨
2 🟨
D. de Wit2 🟨
A. Zagre2 🟨
Nikolas Panagiotou2 🟨
F. Pohl1 🟨
NEC NijmegenB. Pereira3 🟨
3 🟨
Jamiro Monteiro2 🟨
Noe Lebreton2 🟨
T. Storm2 🟨
G. Crettaz1 🟨