Excelsior vs Telstar — Eredivisie
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Excelsior and Telstar meet in the Eredivisie 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Excelsior have recorded 8 wins from 14 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 2.43 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 93%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Telstar have won 14% of their 14 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 7%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Excelsior and 1.68 for Telstar. The models give Excelsior a 40% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Telstar win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Excelsior—
Telstar12º
Position
16º
1.22
PPG
0.60
33%
Win %
10%
1.78
Goals / game
1.20
2.00
Conceded / game
2.10
71%
BTTS %
64%
21%
Clean sheet %
7%
93%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.3
Avg corners
4.5
11.9
Avg shots
12.0
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.1
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.6
11.5
Avg fouls
10.3
45.3%
Avg possession
46.1%
Home vs Away
Excelsior
Home (4)
—
Telstar
Away (5)
0.75
PPG
0.80
25%
Win %
20%
1.25
Goals / game
0.80
2.50
Conceded / game
1.20
100%
BTTS %
56%
0%
Clean sheet %
11%
100%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.3
Avg corners
4.5
11.9
Avg shots
12.0
4.1
Avg shots on target
3.1
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.6
45.3%
Avg possession
46.1%
Goals Scored
| Excelsior | Home | Away | Telstar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 100% | 89% | 64% | 80% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 71% | 40% | 89% | 43% | 60% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 43% | 20% | 56% | 14% | 20% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 0% | 11% | 36% | 20% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| Excelsior | Home | Away | Telstar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 100% | 67% | 93% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 80% | 44% | 64% | 100% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 20% | 22% | 43% | 60% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 0% | 33% | 7% | 0% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Excelsior | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 93% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 64% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 21% |
| BTTS | 71% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 36% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Excelsior | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 54% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 15% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 77% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 85% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 77% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 69% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Excelsior (H)L
Groningen1–5
Groningen1–5L
Utrecht1–2
Utrecht1–2W
Sparta Rotterdam2–1
Sparta Rotterdam2–1L
PSV Eindhoven1–2
PSV Eindhoven1–2W
Cambuur3–2
Cambuur3–2D
FC Volendam1–1
FC Volendam1–1Telstar (A)L
GO Ahead Eagles2–3
GO Ahead Eagles2–3L
AZ Alkmaar0–1
AZ Alkmaar0–1D
Heerenveen0–0
Heerenveen0–0L
Twente0–1
Twente0–1W
NEC Nijmegen2–1
NEC Nijmegen2–1L
VfL Wolfsburg1–3
VfL Wolfsburg1–3Number of Corners
8.9
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
10.3
84 games
10.3
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Excelsior | Telstar | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 80% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 70% | 80% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 60% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 50% | 56% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 50% | 49% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 30% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 30% | 18% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Excelsior | Telstar |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 4.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 5.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 60% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
3
Excelsior
30%
4
Draws
40%
3
Telstar
30%
100%
Over 1.5
10/10
90%
Over 2.5
9/10
70%
Over 3.5
7/10
90%
BTTS
9/10
17/01/26Telstar
Excelsior
2–2Telstar01/11/25Excelsior
Telstar
2–2Excelsior21/02/25Excelsior
Telstar
1–3Excelsior13/09/24Telstar
Excelsior
3–2Telstar08/04/22Telstar
Excelsior
1–4Telstar06/11/21Excelsior
Telstar
2–5Excelsior16/04/21Excelsior
Telstar
1–1Excelsior22/09/20Telstar
Excelsior
1–2Telstar17/01/20Telstar
Excelsior
3–3Telstar23/08/19Excelsior
Telstar
3–0Excelsior| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 23 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +15 | 19 |
| 4 |  Ajax | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +15 | 18 |
| 5 | Twente | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 8 | Groningen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 2 |
Team Insights
Excelsior- ●Excelsior have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Excelsior failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Excelsior have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Excelsior have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Excelsior have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●69% of Excelsior's goals have been scored away.
- ●73% of Excelsior's points have been earned away.
- ●Excelsior have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Telstar- ●Telstar have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Telstar have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Telstar have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Telstar have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Telstar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Telstar have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Telstar failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Telstar failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Telstar's goals have been scored at home.
- ●71% of Telstar's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Telstar's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
ExcelsiorLAHeerenveen0–4
Heerenveen0–4LHGroningen1–5
Groningen1–5DAAjax2–2
Ajax2–2LHUtrecht1–2
Utrecht1–2DANEC Nijmegen2–2
NEC Nijmegen2–2WAWillem II3–0
Willem II3–0–AFortuna Sittard25/10
Fortuna Sittard25/10–HTwente01/11
Twente01/11–HGO Ahead Eagles07/11
GO Ahead Eagles07/11TelstarLAGO Ahead Eagles2–3
GO Ahead Eagles2–3LHFeyenoord3–4
Feyenoord3–4DHADO Den Haag2–2
ADO Den Haag2–2LAAZ Alkmaar0–1
AZ Alkmaar0–1DAHeerenveen0–0
Heerenveen0–0LATwente0–1
Twente0–1–HUtrecht01/11
Utrecht01/11–AFortuna Sittard07/11
Fortuna Sittard07/11–HPEC Zwolle21/11
PEC Zwolle21/11Top Scorers
ExcelsiorG. de Regt5 ⚽
I. Yegoian4 ⚽
D. Garden3 ⚽
David Garden2 ⚽
Aymen sliti2 ⚽
Irakli Yegoian2 ⚽
TelstarS. Hetli4 ⚽
Tyrone Owusu4 ⚽
R. Mendes2 ⚽
P. Brouwer2 ⚽
Ronald Koeman Jr2 ⚽
A. Mahdar1 ⚽
Cards Given
ExcelsiorValentin Sulzbacher2 🟨
Irakli Yegoian1 🟨
J. Plug1 🟨
Jan Plug1 🟨
Lennard Hartjes1 🟨
Mario Domínguez Franco1 🟨
TelstarGerald Alders2 🟨
Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson2 🟨
Abdelnour Soualhia2 🟨
Jelani Seedorf1 🟨
Marvin Peersman1 🟨
R. Koeman1 🟨