Ajax vs Utrecht — Eredivisie
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Ajax and Utrecht meet in the Eredivisie 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Ajax have recorded 18 wins from 28 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 2.50 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Utrecht have won 29% of their 17 matches, with 1.41 goals scored and 2.24 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 6%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.39 for Ajax and 1.65 for Utrecht. The models give Ajax a 56% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Utrecht win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 76% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ajax | Home | Away | Utrecht | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 96% | 94% | 100% | 76% | 78% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 68% | 56% | 90% | 41% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 39% | 28% | 60% | 24% | 33% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 4% | 6% | 0% | 24% | 22% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Ajax | Home | Away | Utrecht | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 72% | 80% | 94% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 33% | 40% | 53% | 56% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 17% | 0% | 35% | 33% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 28% | 20% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ajax | Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 61% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 41% |
| BTTS | 71% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 39% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ajax | Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 54% | 12% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 59% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 35% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 65% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 53% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 54% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Ajax | Utrecht | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 94% | 92% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 89% | 83% | 82% |
| Over 8 | 78% | 83% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 58% | 55% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 50% | 48% |
| Over 11 | 39% | 50% | 39% |
| Over 12 | 28% | 17% | 26% |
| Over 13 | 28% | 8% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Ajax | Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.1 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.7 | 5.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 83% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 56% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 75% |
Head to Head · 35 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +21 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +22 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +18 | 23 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 15 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 14 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 12 | |
| 13 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 11 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 11 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 11 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 | |
| 17 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -29 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Ajax have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Ajax have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Ajax have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ajax have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Ajax have won their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ajax have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ajax have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ajax failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Ajax have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Ajax have won 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Ajax have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Ajax's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●63% of Ajax's points have been earned away.
- ●Utrecht failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Utrecht have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Utrecht failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Utrecht have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Utrecht failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Utrecht failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Utrecht failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Utrecht have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.