Lens vs Paris FC — Ligue 1
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Lens and Paris FC meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Lens have recorded 6 wins from 13 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.92 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Paris FC have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.00 for Lens and 1.46 for Paris FC. The models give Lens a 49% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Paris FC win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Lens—
Paris FC10º
Position
5º
1.00
PPG
2.00
25%
Win %
50%
2.00
Goals / game
1.50
1.75
Conceded / game
0.50
62%
BTTS %
44%
15%
Clean sheet %
44%
69%
Over 2.5 %
67%
6.3
Avg corners
2.5
16.0
Avg shots
11.8
6.3
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.3
10.5
Avg fouls
12.0
49.8%
Avg possession
49.8%
Home vs Away
Lens
Home (2)
—
Paris FC
Away (2)
1.50
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
50%
2.50
Goals / game
1.50
1.50
Conceded / game
1.00
63%
BTTS %
67%
13%
Clean sheet %
17%
63%
Over 2.5 %
83%
6.3
Avg corners
2.5
16.0
Avg shots
11.8
6.3
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.3
49.8%
Avg possession
49.8%
Goals Scored
| Lens | Home | Away | Paris FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 63% | 80% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 63% | 60% | 56% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 38% | 40% | 22% | 33% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 38% | 20% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Lens | Home | Away | Paris FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 88% | 80% | 56% | 0% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 38% | 60% | 56% | 0% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 13% | 20% | 44% | 100% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lens | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 22% |
| BTTS | 62% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lens | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 62% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Lens (H)L
Lorient0–1
Lorient0–1W
Auxerre5–2
Auxerre5–2L
Sunderland0–2
Sunderland0–2W
Villarreal3–1
Villarreal3–1D
Famalicao0–0
Famalicao0–0D
Charleroi2–2
Charleroi2–2Paris FC (A)W
Marseille3–2
Marseille3–2D
Estac Troyes0–0
Estac Troyes0–0L
Angers2–3
Angers2–3L
FSV Mainz 050–4
FSV Mainz 050–4D
VfB Stuttgart2–2
VfB Stuttgart2–2D
Como2–2
Como2–2Number of Corners
10.5
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
9.3
36 games
6.8
Corners / Match
4 games
| Match Corners | Lens | Paris FC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 50% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 25% | 67% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 25% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 0% | 44% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 0% | 31% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 0% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 17% | 0% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lens | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.3 | 2.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 83% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 50% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
6
Lens
46%
4
Draws
31%
3
Paris FC
23%
54%
Over 1.5
7/13
38%
Over 2.5
5/13
15%
Over 3.5
2/13
31%
BTTS
4/13
14/02/26Lens
Paris FC
0–5Lens19/10/25Paris FC
Lens
2–1Paris FC02/07/22Paris FC
Lens
0–0Paris FC05/08/20Paris FC
Lens
1–2Paris FC02/03/20Lens
Paris FC
0–2Lens28/09/19Paris FC
Lens
2–1Paris FC03/03/19Lens
Paris FC
2–0Lens28/09/18Paris FC
Lens
0–0Paris FC30/04/18Paris FC
Lens
1–0Paris FC08/12/17Lens
Paris FC
2–2Lens23/08/16Paris FC
Lens
0–0Paris FC29/04/16Paris FC
Lens
0–1Paris FC11/12/15Lens
Paris FC
0–1Lens| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lille | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 |  Monaco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 6 |  Strasbourg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 |  Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Lens | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 11 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Estac Troyes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 4 |
| 13 | Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 |  Le Havre | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 |  Toulouse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 |  Nice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
Team Insights
Lens- ●Lens have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●63% of Lens's goals have been scored at home.
Paris FC- ●Paris FC have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Paris FC have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
Season Schedule
LensDALe Mans2–2
Le Mans2–2LHLorient0–1
Lorient0–1LAStrasbourg1–2
Strasbourg1–2WHAuxerre5–2
Auxerre5–2–AMonaco18/09
Monaco18/09–HLyon09/10
Lyon09/10–AEstac Troyes17/10
Estac Troyes17/10Paris FCDHLyon0–0
Lyon0–0WAMarseille3–2
Marseille3–2WHNice3–0
Nice3–0DAEstac Troyes0–0
Estac Troyes0–0–HStrasbourg19/09
Strasbourg19/09–ALorient10/10
Lorient10/10–HRennes18/10
Rennes18/10Top Scorers
LensF. Thauvin6 ⚽
Abdallah Sima2 ⚽
M. Soares2 ⚽
O. Edouard2 ⚽
F. Sotoca1 ⚽
F. Ivanovic1 ⚽
Paris FCP. Pagis4 ⚽
Lassine Sinayoko3 ⚽
L. Sinayoko1 ⚽
L. Koleosho1 ⚽
S. Chergui1 ⚽
V. Marchetti1 ⚽
Cards Given
LensA. Bulatovic2 🟨
D. Toppmoller1 🟨
F. Ivanovic1 🟨
Florian Thauvin1 🟨
Ismaëlo Ganiou1 🟨
Andrija Bulatović1 🟨
Paris FC3 🟨
Diego Coppola1 🟨
Hamari Traore1 🟨
Lassine Sinayoko1 🟨
Otavio1 🟨
Rudy Matondo1 🟨