Monaco vs Lille — Ligue 1
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Monaco and Lille meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Monaco have recorded 10 wins from 15 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Lille have won 50% of their 14 matches, with 1.86 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for Monaco and 1.31 for Lille. The models give Monaco a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Lille win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Monaco | Home | Away | Lille | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 100% | 71% | 93% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 88% | 43% | 57% | 83% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 25% | 29% | 14% | 17% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 29% | 7% | 0% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Monaco | Home | Away | Lille | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 63% | 86% | 64% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 38% | 57% | 50% | 33% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 17% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 38% | 14% | 36% | 50% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Monaco | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 14% |
| BTTS | 60% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Monaco | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 54% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 23% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 62% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 53% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Monaco | Lille | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 88% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 63% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 38% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 13% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 13% | 0% | 19% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Monaco | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 2.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.4 | 5.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 88% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 88% |
Head to Head · 29 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 | |
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 | |
| 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Monaco have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Monaco have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Monaco have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Monaco have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Lille have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Lille have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lille have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lille have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.