Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon — Ligue 1
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Parc des Princes·Paris·France·47,929
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Paris Saint Germain and Lyon meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Paris Saint Germain have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.82 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Lyon have won 53% of their 17 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Paris Saint Germain and 1.21 for Lyon. The models give Paris Saint Germain a 53% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Lyon win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Paris Saint Germain—
Lyon6º
Position
4º
1.83
PPG
1.83
50%
Win %
50%
1.83
Goals / game
1.83
1.33
Conceded / game
0.67
73%
BTTS %
59%
9%
Clean sheet %
29%
73%
Over 2.5 %
65%
5.2
Avg corners
4.8
21.9
Avg shots
13.4
7.8
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.3
7.1
Avg fouls
11.8
67.1%
Avg possession
51.5%
Home vs Away
Paris Saint Germain
Home (2)
—
Lyon
Away (3)
1.50
PPG
1.33
50%
Win %
33%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.50
Conceded / game
0.67
100%
BTTS %
44%
0%
Clean sheet %
33%
80%
Over 2.5 %
44%
5.2
Avg corners
4.8
21.9
Avg shots
13.4
7.8
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.3
67.1%
Avg possession
51.5%
Goals Scored
| Paris Saint | Home | Away | Lyon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 100% | 67% | 82% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 60% | 50% | 53% | 75% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 40% | 0% | 29% | 63% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 0% | 33% | 18% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Paris Saint | Home | Away | Lyon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 100% | 83% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 20% | 50% | 41% | 38% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 0% | 17% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Paris Saint | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 12% |
| BTTS | 73% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 36% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Paris Saint | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 53% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Paris Saint (H)W
Le Mans3–1
Le Mans3–1W
Slovan Bratislava6–1
Slovan Bratislava6–1L
Monaco1–2
Monaco1–2W
Aston Villa2–1
Aston Villa2–1D
Manchester United1–1
Manchester United1–1D
Arsenal1–1
Arsenal1–1Lyon (A)L
Lens1–2
Lens1–2W
Anderlecht2–1
Anderlecht2–1D
Paris FC0–0
Paris FC0–0W
Toulouse2–0
Toulouse2–0D
Fenerbahçe1–1
Fenerbahçe1–1L
Sparta Praha1–2
Sparta Praha1–2Number of Corners
7.0
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.4
54 games
10.1
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Paris Saint | Lyon | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 56% | 91% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 56% | 82% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 73% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 22% | 73% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 45% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 27% | 19% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 18% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 18% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Paris Saint | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 1.8 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 78% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 33% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 11% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 73% |
Head to Head · 41 matches
27
Paris Saint
66%
6
Draws
15%
8
Lyon
20%
78%
Over 1.5
32/41
63%
Over 2.5
26/41
37%
Over 3.5
15/41
63%
BTTS
26/41
19/04/26Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
1–2Lyon09/11/25Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
2–3Paris Saint Germain23/02/25Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
2–3Paris Saint Germain15/12/24Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
3–1Lyon25/05/24Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
1–2Paris Saint Germain21/04/24Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
4–1Lyon03/09/23Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
1–4Paris Saint Germain02/04/23Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
0–1Lyon18/09/22Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
0–1Paris Saint Germain09/01/22Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
1–1Paris Saint Germain19/09/21Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
2–1Lyon21/03/21Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
2–4Paris Saint Germain13/12/20Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
0–1Lyon31/07/20Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
0–0Lyon04/03/20Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
1–5Paris Saint Germain09/02/20Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
4–2Lyon22/09/19Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
0–1Paris Saint Germain03/02/19Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
2–1Paris Saint Germain07/10/18Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
5–0Lyon21/01/18Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
2–1Paris Saint Germain| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Team Insights
Paris Saint- ●Paris Saint Germain have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●64% of Paris Saint Germain's goals have been scored away.
- ●73% of Paris Saint Germain's points have been earned away.
Lyon- ●Lyon have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●73% of Lyon's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Paris SaintWHLe Mans3–1
Le Mans3–1WAMarseille2–1
Marseille2–1WAStade Brestois 291–0
Stade Brestois 291–0LHMonaco1–2
Monaco1–2DALille2–2
Lille2–2DARennes2–2
Rennes2–2–AStrasbourg17/10
Strasbourg17/10–HLyon25/10
Lyon25/10–ALe Havre30/10
Le Havre30/10LyonLALens1–2
Lens1–2WHRennes4–0
Rennes4–0DAParis FC0–0
Paris FC0–0WHAuxerre3–1
Auxerre3–1DHLe Havre1–1
Le Havre1–1WAToulouse2–0
Toulouse2–0–HNice18/10
Nice18/10–AParis Saint Germain25/10
Paris Saint Germain25/10–HAngers31/10
Angers31/10Top Scorers
Paris SaintFerrán Torres5 ⚽
Ousmane Dembélé2 ⚽
Marcos Aoás Corrêa2 ⚽
F. Torres2 ⚽
K. Kvaratskhelia1 ⚽
Fabián Ruiz1 ⚽
LyonR. Himbert6 ⚽
Ernest Nuamah3 ⚽
A. Maitland-Niles2 ⚽
A. Hamdani2 ⚽
E. Molebe2 ⚽
C. Tolisso2 ⚽
Cards Given
Paris SaintF. Ruiz2 🟨
A. Hakimi2 🟨
Dro Fernández1 🟨
Lucas Hernández1 🟨
Luis Enrique1 🟨
Marquinhos1 🟨
LyonC. Tolisso2 🟨
Abner Vinicius2 🟨
Loïs Openda1 🟨
L. Openda1 🟨
Felix Bacher1 🟨
A. Maitland-Niles1 🟨