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Marseille vs Toulouse — Ligue 1

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France · Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
Marseille
Marseille
13º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 1h
vs
–
–
Toulouse
Toulouse
15º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 22d 1h
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Marseille and Toulouse meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Marseille have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Toulouse have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.08 for Marseille and 1.56 for Toulouse. The models give Marseille a 49% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Toulouse win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 68%.

Season Statistics

Marseille
—
Toulouse
13º
Position
15º
1.00
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
17%
1.50
Goals / game
1.50
1.33
Conceded / game
1.83
55%
BTTS %
80%
18%
Clean sheet %
0%
73%
Over 2.5 %
70%
4.1
Avg corners
4.5
12.1
Avg shots
13.7
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
10.7
Avg fouls
16.0
55.9%
Avg possession
50.5%

Home vs Away

Marseille
Home (3)
—
Toulouse
Away (3)
1.00
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
0%
2.33
Goals / game
2.00
1.67
Conceded / game
2.00
71%
BTTS %
100%
14%
Clean sheet %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
100%
4.1
Avg corners
4.5
12.1
Avg shots
13.7
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.7
55.9%
Avg possession
50.5%

Goals Scored

MarseilleHomeAwayToulouseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored73%86%50%80%71%100%
Over 1.5 Scored45%57%25%60%43%100%
Over 2.5 Scored18%29%0%10%14%0%
Failed To Score27%14%50%20%29%0%

Goals Conceded

MarseilleHomeAwayToulouseHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded82%86%75%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded55%57%50%70%57%100%
Over 2.5 Conceded27%29%25%10%14%0%
Clean Sheets18%14%25%0%0%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

MarseilleToulouse
Over 0.5100%100%
Over 1.591%90%
Over 2.573%70%
Over 3.536%50%
Over 4.518%20%
BTTS55%80%
BTTS & Win18%20%
BTTS & Draw0%40%
BTTS & Over 2.555%70%
BTTS No & Over 2.518%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

MarseilleToulouse
Win 1st Half9%22%
Draw 1st Half64%44%
Loss 1st Half27%33%
Scored 1st Half45%33%
Conceded 1st Half64%56%
Win 2nd Half36%33%
Draw 2nd Half9%33%
Loss 2nd Half55%33%
Scored 2nd Half55%56%
Conceded 2nd Half64%67%
Over 0.5 HT64%67%
Over 1.5 HT55%44%

Recent Venue Form

Marseille (H)
LParis Saint Germain1–2
LParis FC2–3
WStrasbourg4–0
LAtletico Madrid1–2
WAthletic Club3–1
WNimes2–1
Toulouse (A)
DMonaco2–2
DLorient2–2
DStade Brestois 292–2
WStrasbourg2–1
LLens1–4
LLens2–3

Number of Corners

8.7
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.4
54 games
9.2
Corners / Match
6 games
Match CornersMarseilleToulouseLeague Avg
Over 686%100%83%
Over 771%83%72%
Over 857%50%63%
Over 929%33%48%
Over 1014%17%33%
Over 1114%17%19%
Over 120%17%13%
Over 130%0%9%

Team Corners

Team CornersMarseilleToulouse
Corners Earned / Match4.14.5
Corners Against / Match4.64.7
Over 2.5 Corners For100%83%
Over 3.5 Corners For43%67%
Over 4.5 Corners For43%50%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%83%
Over 3.5 Corners Against71%83%
Over 4.5 Corners Against43%33%

Head to Head · 32 matches

18
Marseille
56%
12
Draws
38%
2
Toulouse
6%
72%
Over 1.5
23/32
53%
Over 2.5
17/32
38%
Over 3.5
12/32
59%
BTTS
19/32
07/03/26
Toulouse
0–1
Marseille
04/03/26
Marseille
2–2
Toulouse
29/11/25
Marseille
2–2
Toulouse
06/04/25
Marseille
3–2
Toulouse
31/08/24
Toulouse
1–3
Marseille
21/04/24
Toulouse
2–2
Marseille
17/09/23
Marseille
0–0
Toulouse
19/02/23
Toulouse
2–3
Marseille
29/12/22
Marseille
6–1
Toulouse
08/02/20
Marseille
1–0
Toulouse
24/11/19
Toulouse
0–2
Marseille
18/05/19
Toulouse
2–5
Marseille
10/08/18
Marseille
4–0
Toulouse
11/03/18
Toulouse
1–2
Marseille
24/09/17
Marseille
2–0
Toulouse
09/04/17
Toulouse
0–0
Marseille
08/01/17
Toulouse
1–2
Marseille
14/08/16
Marseille
0–0
Toulouse
06/03/16
Marseille
1–1
Toulouse
13/01/16
Toulouse
2–1
Marseille
Ligue 1
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Monaco6420+514
2Lille6411+513
3Rennes6411+213
4Lyon6321+711
5Paris FC6321+411
6Paris Saint Germain6321+311
7Stade Brestois 296222+38
8Lorient622208
9Nice6222-28
10Lens6213+17
11Strasbourg6213-17
12Angers6213-37
13Marseille6204+16
14Le Mans6132-26
15Toulouse6132-26
16Auxerre6204-86
17Estac Troyes6114-94
18Le Havre6024-42

Team Insights

Marseille
  • ●78% of Marseille's goals have been scored at home.
Toulouse
  • ●Toulouse have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Toulouse failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Toulouse have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Toulouse have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Toulouse have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Toulouse have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Toulouse have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●67% of Toulouse's goals have been scored away.
MarseilleMarseille
WAEstac Troyes17º2–0
LHParis Saint Germain6º1–2
LABeşiktaş4º1–4
LABeşiktaş4º1–4
LARennes3º0–1
LHParis FC5º2–3
LAMonaco1º0–2
WHStrasbourg11º4–0
LHAtletico Madrid1–2
WHAthletic Club3–1
ToulouseToulouse
DAMonaco1º2–2
LHPAU2–3
WHLe Havre18º3–2
DALorient8º2–2
LHLille2º0–1
DAStade Brestois 297º2–2
LHLyon4º0–2
LHHamburger SV1–2
WHReal Sociedad2–1
DHRodez1–1

Season Schedule

Marseille
WAEstac Troyes2–0
LHParis Saint Germain1–2
LARennes0–1
LHParis FC2–3
LAMonaco0–2
WHStrasbourg4–0
–AAngers18/10
–HLe Havre25/10
–HToulouse01/11
Toulouse
DAMonaco2–2
WHLe Havre3–2
DALorient2–2
LHLille0–1
DAStade Brestois 292–2
LHLyon0–2
–ALe Mans16/10
–HEstac Troyes24/10
–AMarseille01/11

Top Scorers

Marseille
I. Paixao3 ⚽
Amine Gouiri2 ⚽
A. Gouiri2 ⚽
Himad Abdelli1 ⚽
K. Abdallah1 ⚽
Keyliane Abdallah1 ⚽
Toulouse
Casper Tengstedt4 ⚽
S. Hidalgo2 ⚽
Thomas Jorgensen2 ⚽
C. Casseres1 ⚽
Sion Oppong1 ⚽
J. Vignolo1 ⚽

Cards Given

Marseille
Timothy Weah3 🟨
Angel Gomes2 🟨
Amine Harit2 🟨
I. Paixao1 🟨
Igor Paixão1 🟨
Keyliane Abdallah1 🟨
Toulouse
C. Casseres2 🟨
N. Schmidt2 🟨
2 🟨
Sion Oppong1 🟨
Niko Sigur1 🟨
R. Nicolaisen1 🟨