Estac Troyes vs Le Mans — Ligue 1
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Stade de l'Aube·Troyes·France·21,877
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Estac Troyes and Le Mans meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Estac Troyes have recorded 5 wins from 15 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Le Mans have won 25% of their 16 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Estac Troyes and 1.67 for Le Mans. The models give Estac Troyes a 34% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Le Mans win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Estac Troyes—
Le Mans17º
Position
15º
0.63
PPG
0.88
13%
Win %
13%
0.63
Goals / game
1.38
2.00
Conceded / game
2.00
53%
BTTS %
75%
27%
Clean sheet %
13%
47%
Over 2.5 %
63%
6.4
Avg corners
2.4
13.4
Avg shots
10.6
2.8
Avg shots on target
3.9
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.4
12.1
Avg fouls
14.1
39.0%
Avg possession
44.1%
Home vs Away
Estac Troyes
Home (4)
—
Le Mans
Away (4)
0.25
PPG
0.50
0%
Win %
0%
0.75
Goals / game
1.25
2.75
Conceded / game
2.00
57%
BTTS %
86%
29%
Clean sheet %
14%
43%
Over 2.5 %
57%
6.4
Avg corners
2.4
13.4
Avg shots
10.6
2.8
Avg shots on target
3.9
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.4
39.0%
Avg possession
44.1%
Goals Scored
| Estac Troyes | Home | Away | Le Mans | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 71% | 63% | 81% | 78% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 29% | 50% | 44% | 56% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 14% | 25% | 13% | 11% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 29% | 38% | 19% | 22% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Estac Troyes | Home | Away | Le Mans | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 71% | 75% | 88% | 89% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 57% | 38% | 50% | 44% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 29% | 0% | 25% | 22% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 29% | 25% | 13% | 11% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Estac Troyes | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 19% |
| BTTS | 53% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Estac Troyes | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Estac Troyes (H)L
Lens1–3
Lens1–3L
Marseille0–2
Marseille0–2L
Strasbourg2–6
Strasbourg2–6D
Paris FC0–0
Paris FC0–0D
Panetolikos1–1
Panetolikos1–1W
Chasselay MDA5–2
Chasselay MDA5–2Le Mans (A)D
Auxerre1–1
Auxerre1–1L
Paris Saint Germain1–3
Paris Saint Germain1–3L
Guingamp1–2
Guingamp1–2D
Nice1–1
Nice1–1L
Rennes2–3
Rennes2–3D
Saumur0–0
Saumur0–0Number of Corners
8.5
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.1
72 games
7.6
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Estac Troyes | Le Mans | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 63% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 50% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 25% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 25% | 44% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 25% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 13% | 25% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 13% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 13% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Estac Troyes | Le Mans |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.4 | 2.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.1 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 88% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 88% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 38% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 25% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 50% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
2
Estac Troyes
29%
2
Draws
29%
3
Le Mans
43%
71%
Over 1.5
5/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
31/01/26Le Mans
Estac Troyes
0–2Le Mans03/10/25Estac Troyes
Le Mans
2–2Estac Troyes18/10/19Le Mans
Estac Troyes
2–1Le Mans24/02/12Le Mans
Estac Troyes
2–1Le Mans26/09/11Estac Troyes
Le Mans
1–1Estac Troyes10/05/11Le Mans
Estac Troyes
0–1Le Mans06/12/10Estac Troyes
Le Mans
1–0Estac Troyes| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 | Rennes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 3 |  Lille | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 8 | Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +5 | 12 |
| 9 |  Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 2 |
Team Insights
Estac Troyes- ●Estac Troyes have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Estac Troyes have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Estac Troyes have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●69% of Estac Troyes's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Le Mans- ●Le Mans have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Le Mans failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Le Mans have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Le Mans have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Estac TroyesDAToulouse0–0
Toulouse0–0LHLens1–3
Lens1–3LHMarseille0–2
Marseille0–2LAAngers0–2
Angers0–2LALille0–2
Lille0–2LHStrasbourg2–6
Strasbourg2–6–HLe Mans31/10
Le Mans31/10–AParis Saint Germain07/11
Paris Saint Germain07/11–HLe Havre20/11
Le Havre20/11Le MansDAAuxerre1–1
Auxerre1–1LHToulouse0–3
Toulouse0–3LAParis Saint Germain1–3
Paris Saint Germain1–3WHLorient2–1
Lorient2–1DHLens2–2
Lens2–2DANice1–1
Nice1–1–AEstac Troyes31/10
Estac Troyes31/10–HMonaco08/11
Monaco08/11–AMarseille22/11
Marseille22/11Top Scorers
Estac TroyesR. Ripart3 ⚽
Christ Batola1 ⚽
E. Carneiro1 ⚽
Jérémy Le Douaron1 ⚽
L. Maronnier1 ⚽
T. Nkada1 ⚽
Le MansL. Mafouta5 ⚽
D. Gueye3 ⚽
Adil Bourabaa3 ⚽
W. Harhouz2 ⚽
L. Buades1 ⚽
Habib Diallo1 ⚽
Cards Given
Estac TroyesJunior Diaz3 🟨
Antoine Mille2 🟨
2 🟨
J. M. Diaz1 🟨
Dermane Karim1 🟨
Lucas Maronnier1 🟨
Le MansNoa Boissé3 🟨
2 🟨
A. Lauray2 🟨
Djibril Sidibé2 🟨
Alexandre Lauray2 🟨
Dame Gueye1 🟨