Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes — Ligue 1
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Parc des Princes·Paris·France·47,929
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Paris Saint Germain and Estac Troyes meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Paris Saint Germain have recorded 5 wins from 11 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.82 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. Estac Troyes have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.54 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.99 for Paris Saint Germain and 1.18 for Estac Troyes. The models give Paris Saint Germain a 60% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Estac Troyes win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Paris Saint Germain—
Estac Troyes6º
Position
17º
1.83
PPG
0.67
50%
Win %
17%
1.83
Goals / game
0.67
1.33
Conceded / game
2.17
73%
BTTS %
54%
9%
Clean sheet %
23%
73%
Over 2.5 %
46%
5.2
Avg corners
7.2
21.9
Avg shots
14.5
7.8
Avg shots on target
2.8
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.6
7.1
Avg fouls
11.7
67.1%
Avg possession
39.0%
Home vs Away
Paris Saint Germain
Home (2)
—
Estac Troyes
Away (3)
1.50
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
33%
2.00
Goals / game
0.67
1.50
Conceded / game
1.67
100%
BTTS %
57%
0%
Clean sheet %
14%
80%
Over 2.5 %
57%
5.2
Avg corners
7.2
21.9
Avg shots
14.5
7.8
Avg shots on target
2.8
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.6
67.1%
Avg possession
39.0%
Goals Scored
| Paris Saint | Home | Away | Estac Troyes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 100% | 67% | 69% | 67% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 60% | 50% | 46% | 33% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 40% | 0% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 0% | 33% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Paris Saint | Home | Away | Estac Troyes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 100% | 83% | 77% | 67% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 20% | 50% | 46% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 17% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 0% | 17% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Paris Saint | Estac Troyes | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 15% |
| BTTS | 73% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 36% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 64% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Paris Saint | Estac Troyes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Paris Saint (H)W
Le Mans3–1
Le Mans3–1W
Slovan Bratislava6–1
Slovan Bratislava6–1L
Monaco1–2
Monaco1–2W
Aston Villa2–1
Aston Villa2–1D
Manchester United1–1
Manchester United1–1D
Arsenal1–1
Arsenal1–1Estac Troyes (A)D
Dijon2–2
Dijon2–2L
Angers0–2
Angers0–2L
Lille0–2
Lille0–2W
Lorient2–1
Lorient2–1D
Auxerre1–1
Auxerre1–1W
Grenoble3–0
Grenoble3–0Number of Corners
7.0
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.4
54 games
8.7
Corners / Match
6 games
| Match Corners | Paris Saint | Estac Troyes | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 56% | 83% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 56% | 50% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 22% | 33% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 17% | 19% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 17% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Paris Saint | Estac Troyes |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.2 | 7.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 78% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 33% | 17% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 11% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
9
Paris Saint
90%
1
Draws
10%
0
Estac Troyes
0%
90%
Over 1.5
9/10
70%
Over 2.5
7/10
60%
Over 3.5
6/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
07/05/23Paris Saint Germain
Estac Troyes
1–3Paris Saint Germain29/10/22Estac Troyes
Paris Saint Germain
4–3Estac Troyes08/05/22Estac Troyes
Paris Saint Germain
2–2Estac Troyes07/08/21Paris Saint Germain
Estac Troyes
1–2Paris Saint Germain03/03/18Paris Saint Germain
Estac Troyes
0–2Paris Saint Germain29/11/17Estac Troyes
Paris Saint Germain
2–0Estac Troyes13/03/16Paris Saint Germain
Estac Troyes
0–9Paris Saint Germain28/11/15Estac Troyes
Paris Saint Germain
4–1Estac Troyes13/04/13Paris Saint Germain
Estac Troyes
0–1Paris Saint Germain24/11/12Estac Troyes
Paris Saint Germain
4–0Estac Troyes| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 | Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Team Insights
Paris Saint- ●Paris Saint Germain have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●64% of Paris Saint Germain's goals have been scored away.
- ●73% of Paris Saint Germain's points have been earned away.
Estac Troyes- ●Estac Troyes have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Estac Troyes have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Estac Troyes failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Estac Troyes have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Estac Troyes have lost their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
Paris SaintWHLe Mans3–1
Le Mans3–1WAMarseille2–1
Marseille2–1WAStade Brestois 291–0
Stade Brestois 291–0LHMonaco1–2
Monaco1–2DALille2–2
Lille2–2DARennes2–2
Rennes2–2–AStrasbourg17/10
Strasbourg17/10–HLyon25/10
Lyon25/10–ALe Havre30/10
Le Havre30/10Estac TroyesLHMarseille0–2
Marseille0–2LAAngers0–2
Angers0–2LALille0–2
Lille0–2LHStrasbourg2–6
Strasbourg2–6WALorient2–1
Lorient2–1DHParis FC0–0
Paris FC0–0–HLens17/10
Lens17/10–AToulouse24/10
Toulouse24/10–HLe Mans31/10
Le Mans31/10Top Scorers
Paris SaintFerrán Torres5 ⚽
Ousmane Dembélé2 ⚽
Marcos Aoás Corrêa2 ⚽
F. Torres2 ⚽
K. Kvaratskhelia1 ⚽
Fabián Ruiz1 ⚽
Estac TroyesR. Ripart3 ⚽
Christ Batola1 ⚽
E. Carneiro1 ⚽
Antoine Mille1 ⚽
L. Maronnier1 ⚽
T. Nkada1 ⚽
Cards Given
Paris SaintF. Ruiz2 🟨
A. Hakimi2 🟨
Dro Fernández1 🟨
Lucas Hernández1 🟨
Luis Enrique1 🟨
Marquinhos1 🟨
Estac TroyesAntoine Mille2 🟨
2 🟨
Iron Gomis1 🟨
J. M. Diaz1 🟨
Junior Diaz1 🟨
Lucas Maronnier1 🟨