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Marseille vs Le Mans — Ligue 1

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France · Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 11
Marseille
Marseille
13º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 1h
vs
–
–
Le Mans
Le Mans
14º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 43d 1h
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Marseille and Le Mans meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Marseille have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.45 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Le Mans have won 29% of their 14 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 79%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 14%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.11 for Marseille and 1.49 for Le Mans. The models give Marseille a 51% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Le Mans win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 67%.

Season Statistics

Marseille
—
Le Mans
13º
Position
14º
1.00
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
17%
1.50
Goals / game
1.67
1.33
Conceded / game
2.00
55%
BTTS %
79%
18%
Clean sheet %
14%
73%
Over 2.5 %
64%
4.1
Avg corners
2.7
12.1
Avg shots
10.5
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.5
10.7
Avg fouls
14.3
55.9%
Avg possession
43.3%

Home vs Away

Marseille
Home (3)
—
Le Mans
Away (3)
1.00
PPG
0.33
33%
Win %
0%
2.33
Goals / game
1.33
1.67
Conceded / game
2.33
71%
BTTS %
83%
14%
Clean sheet %
17%
100%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.1
Avg corners
2.7
12.1
Avg shots
10.5
4.3
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.5
55.9%
Avg possession
43.3%

Goals Scored

MarseilleHomeAwayLe MansHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored73%86%50%86%88%83%
Over 1.5 Scored45%57%25%50%63%33%
Over 2.5 Scored18%29%0%14%13%17%
Failed To Score27%14%50%14%13%17%

Goals Conceded

MarseilleHomeAwayLe MansHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded82%86%75%86%88%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded55%57%50%50%38%67%
Over 2.5 Conceded27%29%25%21%13%33%
Clean Sheets18%14%25%14%13%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

MarseilleLe Mans
Over 0.5100%93%
Over 1.591%79%
Over 2.573%64%
Over 3.536%50%
Over 4.518%21%
BTTS55%79%
BTTS & Win18%21%
BTTS & Draw0%29%
BTTS & Over 2.555%64%
BTTS No & Over 2.518%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

MarseilleLe Mans
Win 1st Half9%36%
Draw 1st Half64%29%
Loss 1st Half27%36%
Scored 1st Half45%64%
Conceded 1st Half64%57%
Win 2nd Half36%21%
Draw 2nd Half9%43%
Loss 2nd Half55%36%
Scored 2nd Half55%57%
Conceded 2nd Half64%57%
Over 0.5 HT64%86%
Over 1.5 HT55%57%

Recent Venue Form

Marseille (H)
LParis Saint Germain1–2
LParis FC2–3
WStrasbourg4–0
LAtletico Madrid1–2
WAthletic Club3–1
WNimes2–1
Le Mans (A)
LParis Saint Germain1–3
LGuingamp1–2
DNice1–1
LRennes2–3
DSaumur0–0
WAngers3–2

Number of Corners

8.7
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.4
54 games
8.2
Corners / Match
6 games
Match CornersMarseilleLe MansLeague Avg
Over 686%67%83%
Over 771%50%72%
Over 857%33%63%
Over 929%33%48%
Over 1014%33%33%
Over 1114%33%19%
Over 120%17%13%
Over 130%17%9%

Team Corners

Team CornersMarseilleLe Mans
Corners Earned / Match4.12.7
Corners Against / Match4.65.5
Over 2.5 Corners For100%50%
Over 3.5 Corners For43%33%
Over 4.5 Corners For43%17%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against71%83%
Over 4.5 Corners Against43%50%
Ligue 1
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Monaco6420+514
2Lille6411+513
3Rennes6411+213
4Lyon6321+711
5Paris FC6321+411
6Paris Saint Germain6321+311
7Stade Brestois 296222+38
8Lorient622208
9Nice6222-28
10Lens6213+17
11Strasbourg6213-17
12Angers6213-37
13Marseille6204+16
14Le Mans6132-26
15Toulouse6132-26
16Auxerre6204-86
17Estac Troyes6114-94
18Le Havre6024-42

Team Insights

Marseille
  • ●78% of Marseille's goals have been scored at home.
Le Mans
  • ●Le Mans failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Le Mans have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Le Mans have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●83% of Le Mans's points have been earned at home.
  • ●Le Mans have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
MarseilleMarseille
WAEstac Troyes17º2–0
LHParis Saint Germain6º1–2
LABeşiktaş4º1–4
LABeşiktaş4º1–4
LARennes3º0–1
LHParis FC5º2–3
LAMonaco1º0–2
WHStrasbourg11º4–0
LHAtletico Madrid1–2
WHAthletic Club3–1
Le MansLe Mans
LAParis Saint Germain6º1–3
LAGuingamp1–2
WHLorient8º2–1
DHLens10º2–2
DANice9º1–1
LARennes3º2–3
DHStade Brestois 297º2–2
LHLe Havre0–1
DASaumur0–0
DHUNFP1–1

Season Schedule

Marseille
WAEstac Troyes2–0
LHParis Saint Germain1–2
LARennes0–1
LHParis FC2–3
LAMonaco0–2
WHStrasbourg4–0
–AAngers18/10
–HLe Havre25/10
–HToulouse01/11
Le Mans
LAParis Saint Germain1–3
WHLorient2–1
DHLens2–2
DANice1–1
LARennes2–3
DHStade Brestois 292–2
–HToulouse16/10
–AAuxerre25/10
–AEstac Troyes31/10

Top Scorers

Marseille
I. Paixao3 ⚽
Amine Gouiri2 ⚽
A. Gouiri2 ⚽
Himad Abdelli1 ⚽
K. Abdallah1 ⚽
Keyliane Abdallah1 ⚽
Le Mans
L. Mafouta5 ⚽
D. Gueye3 ⚽
Adil Bourabaa3 ⚽
W. Harhouz2 ⚽
L. Buades1 ⚽
Habib Diallo1 ⚽

Cards Given

Marseille
Timothy Weah3 🟨
Angel Gomes2 🟨
Amine Harit2 🟨
I. Paixao1 🟨
Igor Paixão1 🟨
Keyliane Abdallah1 🟨
Le Mans
Noa Boissé3 🟨
2 🟨
A. Lauray2 🟨
Alexandre Lauray1 🟨
Dame Gueye1 🟨
D. Sidibe1 🟨