Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC — Ligue 1
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Stade Francis-Le Blé·Brest·France·15,931
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Stade Brestois 29 and Paris FC meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Stade Brestois 29 have recorded 3 wins from 14 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 79% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Paris FC have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 1.58 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.99 for Stade Brestois 29 and 1.42 for Paris FC. The models give Stade Brestois 29 a 44% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Paris FC win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Stade Brestois 29—
Paris FC10º
Position
3º
1.29
PPG
2.00
29%
Win %
57%
1.86
Goals / game
1.71
1.43
Conceded / game
1.00
79%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
33%
71%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.0
Avg corners
3.6
15.4
Avg shots
14.3
5.4
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.3
13.9
Avg fouls
13.0
45.7%
Avg possession
52.0%
Home vs Away
Stade Brestois 29
Home (3)
—
Paris FC
Away (3)
1.33
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
33%
2.33
Goals / game
1.00
1.33
Conceded / game
1.00
75%
BTTS %
57%
0%
Clean sheet %
14%
75%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.0
Avg corners
3.6
15.4
Avg shots
14.3
5.4
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.3
45.7%
Avg possession
52.0%
Goals Scored
| Stade Brestois | Home | Away | Paris FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 75% | 83% | 67% | 80% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 75% | 50% | 58% | 60% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 40% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 25% | 17% | 33% | 20% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Stade Brestois | Home | Away | Paris FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% | 40% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 20% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 13% | 0% | 25% | 20% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 60% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stade Brestois | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 25% |
| BTTS | 79% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 50% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stade Brestois | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 14% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Stade Brestois (H)W
Angers5–1
Angers5–1D
Monza2–2
Monza2–2L
Paris Saint Germain0–1
Paris Saint Germain0–1D
Toulouse2–2
Toulouse2–2D
Venezia2–2
Venezia2–2D
Guingamp3–3
Guingamp3–3Paris FC (A)L
Lorient0–1
Lorient0–1W
Marseille3–2
Marseille3–2D
Estac Troyes0–0
Estac Troyes0–0LAngers2–3
Angers2–3L
FSV Mainz 050–4
FSV Mainz 050–4D
VfB Stuttgart2–2
VfB Stuttgart2–2Number of Corners
7.9
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.2
63 games
7.0
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Stade Brestois | Paris FC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 71% | 57% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 57% | 29% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 29% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 29% | 14% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 14% | 14% | 30% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 14% | 16% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Stade Brestois | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 3.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 29% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 57% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 57% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 57% | 29% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
3
Stade Brestois
30%
5
Draws
50%
2
Paris FC
20%
50%
Over 1.5
5/10
20%
Over 2.5
2/10
10%
Over 3.5
1/10
40%
BTTS
4/10
03/05/26Stade Brestois 29
Paris FC
4–0Stade Brestois 2914/09/25Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
1–2Paris FC21/01/19Stade Brestois 29
Paris FC
0–1Stade Brestois 2910/08/18Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
1–1Paris FC24/02/18Stade Brestois 29
Paris FC
0–1Stade Brestois 2922/09/17Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
1–1Paris FC08/08/17Stade Brestois 29
Paris FC
0–0Stade Brestois 2929/01/16Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
1–0Paris FC28/08/15Stade Brestois 29
Paris FC
1–1Stade Brestois 2906/12/14Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
0–0Paris FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Lens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 |  Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Team Insights
Stade Brestois- ●Stade Brestois 29 failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Stade Brestois 29 have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Stade Brestois 29 have scored 69% of their goals in the first half.
Paris FC- ●Paris FC have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●75% of Paris FC's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Stade BrestoisDALille1–1
Lille1–1WHAngers5–1
Angers5–1LAAuxerre1–2
Auxerre1–2LHParis Saint Germain0–1
Paris Saint Germain0–1WALe Havre2–1
Le Havre2–1DHToulouse2–2
Toulouse2–2–HNice23/10
Nice23/10–ALorient31/10
Lorient31/10–HLyon08/11
Lyon08/11Paris FCWHRennes4–3
Rennes4–3LALorient0–1
Lorient0–1WHStrasbourg2–1
Strasbourg2–1DHLyon0–0
Lyon0–0WAMarseille3–2
Marseille3–2WHNice3–0
Nice3–0–ALens24/10
Lens24/10–HMonaco01/11
Monaco01/11–AAuxerre07/11
Auxerre07/11Top Scorers
Stade BrestoisL. Ajorque5 ⚽
K. Doumbia3 ⚽
Pathé Mboup2 ⚽
Mama Baldé2 ⚽
Kamory Doumbia2 ⚽
R. Del Castillo2 ⚽
Paris FCLassine Sinayoko5 ⚽
P. Pagis4 ⚽
Maxime López2 ⚽
Pablo Pagis1 ⚽
S. Chergui1 ⚽
V. Marchetti1 ⚽
Cards Given
Stade BrestoisKamory Doumbia3 🟨
3 🟨
Kenny Lala1 🟨
B. Locko1 🟨
Ludovic Ajorque1 🟨
M. Balde1 🟨
Paris FCHamari Traore3 🟨
3 🟨
Maxime López2 🟨
Samir Chergui2 🟨
Lassine Sinayoko2 🟨
Rudy Matondo1 🟨