Le Mans vs Lille — Ligue 1
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Stade Marie-Marvingt·Le Mans·France·25,064
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Le Mans and Lille meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Le Mans have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Lille have won 44% of their 16 matches, with 1.81 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Le Mans and 1.53 for Lille. The models give Le Mans a 35% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Lille win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Le Mans—
Lille16º
Position
3º
0.86
PPG
2.00
14%
Win %
57%
1.43
Goals / game
1.43
2.14
Conceded / game
0.71
73%
BTTS %
63%
13%
Clean sheet %
31%
67%
Over 2.5 %
63%
2.6
Avg corners
3.1
10.6
Avg shots
11.0
4.1
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.4
14.4
Avg fouls
11.1
44.7%
Avg possession
49.6%
Home vs Away
Le Mans
Home (4)
—
Lille
Away (3)
1.25
PPG
2.00
25%
Win %
67%
1.50
Goals / game
1.33
2.00
Conceded / game
0.67
67%
BTTS %
63%
11%
Clean sheet %
25%
67%
Over 2.5 %
63%
2.6
Avg corners
3.1
10.6
Avg shots
11.0
4.1
Avg shots on target
4.5
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.4
44.7%
Avg possession
49.6%
Goals Scored
| Le Mans | Home | Away | Lille | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 78% | 83% | 94% | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 56% | 33% | 56% | 75% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 11% | 17% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 22% | 17% | 6% | 0% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Le Mans | Home | Away | Lille | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 89% | 83% | 69% | 63% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 44% | 67% | 50% | 38% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 22% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 11% | 17% | 31% | 38% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Le Mans | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 19% |
| BTTS | 73% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Le Mans | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Le Mans (H)L
Toulouse0–3
Toulouse0–3W
Lorient2–1
Lorient2–1D
Lens2–2
Lens2–2D
Stade Brestois 292–2
Stade Brestois 292–2L
Le Havre0–1
Le Havre0–1D
UNFP1–1
UNFP1–1Lille (A)L
Arsenal0–3
Arsenal0–3L
Nice1–2
Nice1–2WToulouse1–0
Toulouse1–0W
Angers2–0
Angers2–0D
Everton1–1
Everton1–1D
Hamburger SV2–2
Hamburger SV2–2Number of Corners
7.6
Corners / Match
7 games
League Avg
9.2
65 games
8.0
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Le Mans | Lille | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 57% | 80% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 43% | 50% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 29% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 29% | 30% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 10% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 0% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 0% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Le Mans | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.6 | 3.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 43% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 29% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 14% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 70% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Le Mans
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Lille
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
06/01/18Lille
Le Mans
2–4Lille| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 |  Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 |  Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Team Insights
Le Mans- ●Le Mans failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●83% of Le Mans's points have been earned at home.
- ●Le Mans have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Lille- ●Lille have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Lille have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lille have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Season Schedule
Le MansLHToulouse0–3
Toulouse0–3LAParis Saint Germain1–3
Paris Saint Germain1–3WHLorient2–1
Lorient2–1DHLens2–2
Lens2–2DANice1–1
Nice1–1LARennes2–3
Rennes2–3–AAuxerre25/10
Auxerre25/10–AEstac Troyes31/10
Estac Troyes31/10–HMonaco08/11
Monaco08/11LilleDHStade Brestois 291–1
Stade Brestois 291–1WHLe Havre1–0
Le Havre1–0LANice1–2
Nice1–2WHEstac Troyes2–0
Estac Troyes2–0WAToulouse1–0
Toulouse1–0DHParis Saint Germain2–2
Paris Saint Germain2–2–AMonaco25/10
Monaco25/10–HLens30/10
Lens30/10–ARennes08/11
Rennes08/11Top Scorers
Le MansL. Mafouta5 ⚽
D. Gueye3 ⚽
Adil Bourabaa3 ⚽
W. Harhouz2 ⚽
L. Buades1 ⚽
Habib Diallo1 ⚽
LilleO. Giroud3 ⚽
Ayase Ueda3 ⚽
S. Diaoune2 ⚽
H. Haraldsson2 ⚽
E. Mbappe2 ⚽
Soriba Diaoune2 ⚽
Cards Given
Le MansNoa Boissé3 🟨
2 🟨
A. Lauray2 🟨
Djibril Sidibé2 🟨
Dame Gueye1 🟨
Alexandre Lauray1 🟨
LilleOlivier Giroud2 🟨
R. Perraud2 🟨
Maurits Kjaergaard2 🟨
Maxima Goffi2 🟨
Ethan Mbappe1 🟨
B. Onal1 🟨