Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient — Ligue 1
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Parc des Princes·Paris·France·47,929
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Paris Saint Germain and Lorient meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Paris Saint Germain have recorded 8 wins from 14 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 2.21 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 79% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 7% of games. Lorient have won 54% of their 13 matches, with 1.46 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 46%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.88 for Paris Saint Germain and 1.28 for Lorient. The models give Paris Saint Germain a 55% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Lorient win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Paris Saint Germain—
Lorient2º
Position
8º
2.00
PPG
1.57
57%
Win %
43%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.29
Conceded / game
0.86
79%
BTTS %
54%
7%
Clean sheet %
46%
79%
Over 2.5 %
54%
4.8
Avg corners
2.4
21.0
Avg shots
9.4
8.4
Avg shots on target
3.4
0.9
Avg yellow cards
1.3
7.7
Avg fouls
9.0
64.2%
Avg possession
45.4%
Home vs Away
Paris Saint Germain
Home (2)
—
Lorient
Away (3)
1.50
PPG
1.33
50%
Win %
33%
2.00
Goals / game
0.67
1.50
Conceded / game
0.67
100%
BTTS %
57%
0%
Clean sheet %
43%
83%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.8
Avg corners
2.4
21.0
Avg shots
9.4
8.4
Avg shots on target
3.4
0.9
Avg yellow cards
1.3
64.2%
Avg possession
45.4%
Goals Scored
| Paris Saint | Home | Away | Lorient | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 75% | 92% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 67% | 63% | 31% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 25% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 25% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Paris Saint | Home | Away | Lorient | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 93% | 100% | 88% | 54% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 33% | 50% | 38% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 13% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 7% | 0% | 13% | 46% | 50% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Paris Saint | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 15% |
| BTTS | 79% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 50% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Paris Saint | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 21% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 54% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 93% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Paris Saint (H)W
Barcelona4–2
Barcelona4–2W
Le Mans3–1
Le Mans3–1W
Slovan Bratislava6–1
Slovan Bratislava6–1L
Monaco1–2
Monaco1–2W
Aston Villa2–1
Aston Villa2–1D
Manchester United1–1
Manchester United1–1Lorient (A)LLe Mans1–2
Le Mans1–2W
Lens1–0
Lens1–0D
Nice0–0
Nice0–0L
SV Elversberg1–4
SV Elversberg1–4L
Angers1–2
Angers1–2W
Guingamp2–0
Guingamp2–0Number of Corners
7.5
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.2
65 games
7.7
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Paris Saint | Lorient | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 58% | 86% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 58% | 43% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 42% | 29% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 25% | 14% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 8% | 14% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 8% | 14% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 0% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Paris Saint | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.8 | 2.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.8 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 58% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 17% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 8% | 57% |
Head to Head · 26 matches
16
Paris Saint
62%
7
Draws
27%
3
Lorient
12%
77%
Over 1.5
20/26
62%
Over 2.5
16/26
42%
Over 3.5
11/26
65%
BTTS
17/26
02/05/26Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
2–2Lorient29/10/25Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
1–1Paris Saint Germain24/04/24Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
1–4Paris Saint Germain12/08/23Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
0–0Lorient30/04/23Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
1–3Lorient06/11/22Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
1–2Paris Saint Germain03/04/22Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
5–1Lorient22/12/21Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
1–1Paris Saint Germain31/01/21Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
3–2Paris Saint Germain16/12/20Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
2–0Lorient19/01/20Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
0–1Paris Saint Germain12/03/17Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
1–2Paris Saint Germain21/12/16Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
5–0Lorient19/04/16Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
0–1Paris Saint Germain03/02/16Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
3–1Lorient21/11/15Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
1–2Paris Saint Germain20/03/15Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
3–1Lorient01/11/14Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
1–2Paris Saint Germain21/03/14Paris Saint Germain
Lorient
0–1Paris Saint Germain01/11/13Lorient
Paris Saint Germain
4–0Lorient| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 |  Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 |  Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Team Insights
Paris Saint- ●Paris Saint Germain have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Paris Saint Germain have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●71% of Paris Saint Germain's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Paris Saint Germain's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●79% of Paris Saint Germain's points have been earned away.
Lorient- ●Lorient have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Lorient have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Lorient have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Lorient have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lorient have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Lorient have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Season Schedule
Paris SaintWAStrasbourg3–1
Strasbourg3–1WHLe Mans3–1
Le Mans3–1WAMarseille2–1
Marseille2–1WAStade Brestois 291–0
Stade Brestois 291–0LHMonaco1–2
Monaco1–2DALille2–2
Lille2–2–HLyon26/10
Lyon26/10–ALe Havre30/10
Le Havre30/10–HEstac Troyes07/11
Estac Troyes07/11LorientWHMonaco1–0
Monaco1–0WHParis FC1–0
Paris FC1–0LALe Mans1–2
Le Mans1–2DHToulouse2–2
Toulouse2–2WALens1–0
Lens1–0LHEstac Troyes1–2
Estac Troyes1–2–AAngers25/10
Angers25/10–HStade Brestois 2931/10
Stade Brestois 2931/10–ALe Havre08/11
Le Havre08/11Top Scorers
Paris SaintFerrán Torres5 ⚽
Ousmane Dembélé4 ⚽
Vitinha3 ⚽
Désiré Doue3 ⚽
F. Torres2 ⚽
Maghnes Akliouche2 ⚽
LorientGabin Bernardeau1 ⚽
Ibrahima Balde1 ⚽
Isak Jensen1 ⚽
J. Makengo1 ⚽
M. Kone1 ⚽
A. Tosin1 ⚽
Cards Given
Paris SaintF. Ruiz2 🟨
A. Hakimi2 🟨
Dro Fernández1 🟨
Lucas Hernández1 🟨
Luis Enrique1 🟨
Marquinhos1 🟨
LorientArsène Kouassi2 🟨
Arthur Avom1 🟨
Jean-Victor Makengo1 🟨
Montassar Talbi1 🟨
Nathaniel Adjei1 🟨
Noah Cadiou1 🟨