Marseille vs Nice — Ligue 1
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Stade Orange Vélodrome·Marseille·France·67,394
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Marseille and Nice meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Marseille have recorded 5 wins from 14 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Nice have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 1.15 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.96 for Marseille and 1.18 for Nice. The models give Marseille a 55% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Nice win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Marseille—
Nice10º
Position
9º
1.29
PPG
1.38
43%
Win %
38%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.43
Conceded / game
1.25
50%
BTTS %
38%
14%
Clean sheet %
38%
64%
Over 2.5 %
54%
4.7
Avg corners
5.6
13.1
Avg shots
11.0
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.3
11.1
Avg fouls
9.5
57.6%
Avg possession
54.0%
Home vs Away
Marseille
Home (3)
—
Nice
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
0.75
33%
Win %
25%
2.33
Goals / game
0.75
1.67
Conceded / game
1.75
63%
BTTS %
25%
13%
Clean sheet %
38%
88%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.7
Avg corners
5.6
13.1
Avg shots
11.0
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.3
57.6%
Avg possession
54.0%
Goals Scored
| Marseille | Home | Away | Nice | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 75% | 50% | 54% | 80% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 50% | 33% | 38% | 60% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 25% | 17% | 15% | 20% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 25% | 50% | 46% | 20% | 63% |
Goals Conceded
| Marseille | Home | Away | Nice | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 88% | 83% | 62% | 60% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 23% | 0% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 13% | 17% | 38% | 40% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Marseille | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 8% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Marseille | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 31% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Marseille (H)L
Olympiakos Piraeus0–1
Olympiakos Piraeus0–1L
Paris Saint Germain1–2
Paris Saint Germain1–2L
Paris FC2–3
Paris FC2–3W
Strasbourg4–0
Strasbourg4–0L
Atletico Madrid1–2
Atletico Madrid1–2W
Athletic Club3–1
Athletic Club3–1Nice (A)W
Stade Brestois 292–1
Stade Brestois 292–1L
Lyon1–2
Lyon1–2L
Auxerre0–1
Auxerre0–1LParis FC0–3
Paris FC0–3D
Hull City0–0
Hull City0–0D
Cagliari0–0
Cagliari0–0Number of Corners
8.4
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.2
65 games
8.5
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Marseille | Nice | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 75% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 63% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 63% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 30% | 50% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 10% | 13% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 10% | 0% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Marseille | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.7 | 2.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 70% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 30% | 13% |
Head to Head · 35 matches
16
Marseille
46%
6
Draws
17%
13
Nice
37%
77%
Over 1.5
27/35
57%
Over 2.5
20/35
31%
Over 3.5
11/35
57%
BTTS
20/35
25/07/26Nice
Marseille
0–3Nice26/04/26Nice
Marseille
1–1Nice21/11/25Marseille
Nice
1–5Marseille26/01/25Marseille
Nice
2–0Marseille14/09/24Nice
Marseille
2–0Nice24/04/24Nice
Marseille
2–2Nice21/10/23Marseille
Nice
1–0Marseille05/02/23Nice
Marseille
1–3Nice28/08/22Marseille
Nice
0–3Marseille20/03/22Nice
Marseille
2–1Nice09/02/22Marseille
Nice
4–1Marseille27/10/21Marseille
Nice
1–1Marseille20/03/21Marseille
Nice
3–0Marseille17/02/21Nice
Marseille
3–2Nice28/08/19Marseille
Nice
1–2Marseille10/03/19Nice
Marseille
1–0Nice21/10/18Marseille
Nice
0–1Marseille06/05/18Nice
Marseille
2–1Nice01/10/17Marseille
Nice
2–4Marseille07/05/17Nice
Marseille
2–1Nice| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 |  Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Team Insights
Marseille- ●Marseille have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Marseille have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Marseille's points have been earned away.
Nice- ●Nice failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Nice have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●63% of Nice's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Nice's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Nice have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MarseilleWAAngers5–2
Angers5–2WAEstac Troyes2–0
Estac Troyes2–0LHParis Saint Germain1–2
Paris Saint Germain1–2LARennes0–1
Rennes0–1LHParis FC2–3
Paris FC2–3LAMonaco0–2
Monaco0–2–HLe Havre25/10
Le Havre25/10–HToulouse01/11
Toulouse01/11–ALens08/11
Lens08/11NiceWAStade Brestois 292–1
Stade Brestois 292–1LALyon1–2
Lyon1–2WHStrasbourg2–1
Strasbourg2–1WHLille2–1
Lille2–1LAAuxerre0–1
Auxerre0–1DHLe Mans1–1
Le Mans1–1–HRennes31/10
Rennes31/10–AAngers08/11
Angers08/11–HParis Saint Germain21/11
Paris Saint Germain21/11Top Scorers
MarseilleAmine Gouiri3 ⚽
I. Paixao3 ⚽
Himad Abdelli2 ⚽
A. Gouiri2 ⚽
Amine Harit2 ⚽
Angel Gomes1 ⚽
NiceSepe Elye Wahi4 ⚽
S. Diop2 ⚽
I. Jansson1 ⚽
Jonathan Clauss1 ⚽
Mohamed Amoura1 ⚽
Sofiane Diop1 ⚽
Cards Given
MarseilleAngel Gomes3 🟨
Timothy Weah3 🟨
Bamo Meite2 🟨
Amine Harit2 🟨
Keyliane Abdallah2 🟨
Himad Abdelli1 🟨
NiceSepe Elye Wahi2 🟨
Niels Nkounkou2 🟨
Mohamed Abdelmoneim2 🟨
Mohamed Amoura2 🟨
Isak Jansson1 🟨
Hamza Koutoune1 🟨