Stade Brestois 29 vs Estac Troyes — Ligue 1
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Stade Francis-Le Blé·Brest·France·15,931
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Stade Brestois 29 and Estac Troyes meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Stade Brestois 29 have recorded 4 wins from 16 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.69 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 6% of games. Estac Troyes have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.96 for Stade Brestois 29 and 1.16 for Estac Troyes. The models give Stade Brestois 29 a 52% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Estac Troyes win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Stade Brestois 29—
Estac Troyes10º
Position
16º
1.33
PPG
0.89
33%
Win %
22%
1.78
Goals / game
0.78
1.33
Conceded / game
1.78
75%
BTTS %
50%
6%
Clean sheet %
31%
69%
Over 2.5 %
44%
3.7
Avg corners
6.1
14.8
Avg shots
13.4
5.4
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
14.1
Avg fouls
12.4
46.6%
Avg possession
39.0%
Home vs Away
Stade Brestois 29
Home (4)
—
Estac Troyes
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
1.00
25%
Win %
25%
2.00
Goals / game
0.50
1.50
Conceded / game
1.25
78%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
25%
78%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.7
Avg corners
6.1
14.8
Avg shots
13.4
5.4
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
46.6%
Avg possession
39.0%
Goals Scored
| Stade Brestois | Home | Away | Estac Troyes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 78% | 86% | 69% | 75% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 67% | 57% | 44% | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 22% | 0% | 19% | 13% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 22% | 14% | 31% | 25% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Stade Brestois | Home | Away | Estac Troyes | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 94% | 100% | 86% | 69% | 63% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 78% | 43% | 44% | 50% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 11% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 6% | 0% | 14% | 31% | 38% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stade Brestois | Estac Troyes | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS | 75% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 44% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 69% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stade Brestois | Estac Troyes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 19% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 69% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 94% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Stade Brestois (H)L
Nice1–2
Nice1–2W
Angers5–1
Angers5–1D
Monza2–2
Monza2–2L
Paris Saint Germain0–1
Paris Saint Germain0–1D
Toulouse2–2
Toulouse2–2D
Venezia2–2
Venezia2–2Estac Troyes (A)DToulouse0–0
Toulouse0–0D
Dijon2–2
Dijon2–2LAngers0–2
Angers0–2L
Lille0–2
Lille0–2W
Lorient2–1
Lorient2–1D
Auxerre1–1
Auxerre1–1Number of Corners
8.3
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.0
81 games
8.2
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Stade Brestois | Estac Troyes | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 44% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 44% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 11% | 22% | 28% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 11% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 11% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Stade Brestois | Estac Troyes |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.7 | 6.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 44% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 22% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 0% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
8
Stade Brestois
53%
4
Draws
27%
3
Estac Troyes
20%
87%
Over 1.5
13/15
60%
Over 2.5
9/15
13%
Over 3.5
2/15
80%
BTTS
12/15
04/02/25Stade Brestois 29
Estac Troyes
1–2Stade Brestois 2919/03/23Stade Brestois 29
Estac Troyes
2–2Stade Brestois 2913/11/22Estac Troyes
Stade Brestois 29
2–1Estac Troyes13/02/22Estac Troyes
Stade Brestois 29
5–1Estac Troyes22/12/21Stade Brestois 29
Estac Troyes
1–1Stade Brestois 2912/01/19Estac Troyes
Stade Brestois 29
1–1Estac Troyes03/08/18Stade Brestois 29
Estac Troyes
1–2Stade Brestois 2929/04/17Stade Brestois 29
Estac Troyes
1–0Stade Brestois 2929/11/16Estac Troyes
Stade Brestois 29
2–1Estac Troyes15/05/15Estac Troyes
Stade Brestois 29
2–1Estac Troyes10/01/15Stade Brestois 29
Estac Troyes
1–0Stade Brestois 2904/04/14Stade Brestois 29
Estac Troyes
0–2Stade Brestois 2904/11/13Estac Troyes
Stade Brestois 29
1–1Estac Troyes26/01/13Stade Brestois 29
Estac Troyes
2–1Stade Brestois 2901/09/12Estac Troyes
Stade Brestois 29
2–1Estac Troyes| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 11 | Lorient | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |
Team Insights
Stade Brestois- ●Stade Brestois 29 have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Stade Brestois 29 have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Stade Brestois 29 failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Stade Brestois 29 have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Stade Brestois 29's points have been earned away.
- ●Stade Brestois 29 have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Estac Troyes- ●Estac Troyes have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●69% of Estac Troyes's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Stade BrestoisWALorient2–0
Lorient2–0LHNice1–2
Nice1–2DALille1–1
Lille1–1WHAngers5–1
Angers5–1LAAuxerre1–2
Auxerre1–2LHParis Saint Germain0–1
Paris Saint Germain0–1–HLyon08/11
Lyon08/11–AStrasbourg21/11
Strasbourg21/11–HParis FC27/11
Paris FC27/11Estac TroyesWHLe Mans2–0
Le Mans2–0DAToulouse0–0
Toulouse0–0LHLens1–3
Lens1–3LHMarseille0–2
Marseille0–2LAAngers0–2
Angers0–2LALille0–2
Lille0–2–AParis Saint Germain07/11
Paris Saint Germain07/11–HLe Havre20/11
Le Havre20/11–ANice28/11
Nice28/11Top Scorers
Stade BrestoisL. Ajorque5 ⚽
Ludovic Ajorque3 ⚽
K. Doumbia3 ⚽
Mama Baldé2 ⚽
Kamory Doumbia2 ⚽
Pathé Mboup2 ⚽
Estac TroyesR. Ripart3 ⚽
Christ Batola1 ⚽
E. Carneiro1 ⚽
Ismaël Boura1 ⚽
Jérémy Le Douaron1 ⚽
L. Maronnier1 ⚽
Cards Given
Stade BrestoisKamory Doumbia4 🟨
3 🟨
Ludovic Ajorque2 🟨
Bradley Locko2 🟨
L. Ajorque1 🟨
B. Locko1 🟨
Estac TroyesJunior Diaz4 🟨
2 🟨
Antoine Mille2 🟨
Iron Gomis1 🟨
J. M. Diaz1 🟨
Ismaël Boura1 🟨