Le Mans vs Lyon — Ligue 1
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Stade Marie-Marvingt·Le Mans·France·25,064
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Le Mans and Lyon meet in the Ligue 1 2026 season on 3 January 2027. Le Mans have recorded 4 wins from 18 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.28 goals scored and 1.61 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 72% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Lyon have won 50% of their 24 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Le Mans and 1.13 for Lyon. The models give Le Mans a 44% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Lyon win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Le Mans—
Lyon15º
Position
5º
0.80
PPG
1.70
10%
Win %
50%
1.20
Goals / game
1.50
1.90
Conceded / game
0.90
72%
BTTS %
54%
11%
Clean sheet %
25%
56%
Over 2.5 %
58%
2.9
Avg corners
5.0
10.7
Avg shots
12.5
3.7
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.3
14.5
Avg fouls
10.9
46.2%
Avg possession
52.3%
Home vs Away
Le Mans
Home (5)
—
Lyon
Away (5)
1.20
PPG
0.80
20%
Win %
20%
1.40
Goals / game
0.60
1.80
Conceded / game
1.20
70%
BTTS %
38%
10%
Clean sheet %
23%
60%
Over 2.5 %
38%
2.9
Avg corners
5.0
10.7
Avg shots
12.5
3.7
Avg shots on target
5.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.3
46.2%
Avg possession
52.3%
Goals Scored
| Le Mans | Home | Away | Lyon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 80% | 75% | 75% | 100% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 82% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 10% | 13% | 25% | 55% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 46% |
Goals Conceded
| Le Mans | Home | Away | Lyon | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 90% | 88% | 75% | 73% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 63% | 46% | 36% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 20% | 25% | 13% | 9% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 10% | 13% | 25% | 27% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Le Mans | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 96% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 13% |
| BTTS | 72% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Le Mans | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Le Mans (H)D
Monaco1–1
Monaco1–1L
Toulouse0–3
Toulouse0–3W
Lorient2–1
Lorient2–1D
Lens2–2
Lens2–2D
Stade Brestois 292–2
Stade Brestois 292–2L
Le Havre0–1
Le Havre0–1Lyon (A)LStade Brestois 290–2
Stade Brestois 290–2D
Real Sociedad1–1
Real Sociedad1–1L
Paris Saint Germain0–2
Paris Saint Germain0–2L
1899 Hoffenheim0–3
1899 Hoffenheim0–3LLens1–2
Lens1–2W
Anderlecht2–1
Anderlecht2–1Number of Corners
8.2
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
8.9
90 games
10.4
Corners / Match
18 games
| Match Corners | Le Mans | Lyon | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 60% | 94% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 83% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 30% | 72% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 30% | 67% | 42% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 44% | 27% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 22% | 14% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 17% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 20% | 17% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Le Mans | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.9 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 5.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 40% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 30% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 20% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 90% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 80% | 72% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 67% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Lille | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Marseille | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  Nice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Monaco | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Rennes | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 | Lorient | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Angers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 2 |
Team Insights
Le Mans- ●Le Mans have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Le Mans failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Le Mans failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Le Mans failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Le Mans failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Le Mans failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Le Mans's points have been earned at home.
Lyon- ●Lyon have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lyon have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Lyon have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Lyon have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●80% of Lyon's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Lyon's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●76% of Lyon's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Le MansDHMonaco1–1
Monaco1–1LAEstac Troyes0–2
Estac Troyes0–2DAAuxerre1–1
Auxerre1–1LHToulouse0–3
Toulouse0–3LAParis Saint Germain1–3
Paris Saint Germain1–3WHLorient2–1
Lorient2–1–AMarseille22/11
Marseille22/11–HLille28/11
Lille28/11–AParis FC05/12
Paris FC05/12LyonLAStade Brestois 290–2
Stade Brestois 290–2WHAngers2–0
Angers2–0LAParis Saint Germain0–2
Paris Saint Germain0–2WHNice2–1
Nice2–1LALens1–2
Lens1–2WHRennes4–0
Rennes4–0–ALille21/11
Lille21/11–HMonaco29/11
Monaco29/11–AEstac Troyes06/12
Estac Troyes06/12Top Scorers
Le MansL. Mafouta5 ⚽
D. Gueye3 ⚽
Adil Bourabaa3 ⚽
W. Harhouz2 ⚽
L. Buades1 ⚽
Erwan Colas1 ⚽
LyonR. Himbert6 ⚽
Ernest Nuamah5 ⚽
Corentin Tolisso4 ⚽
A. Maitland-Niles2 ⚽
E. Molebe2 ⚽
C. Tolisso2 ⚽
Cards Given
Le MansNoa Boissé4 🟨
Samuel Yohou2 🟨
A. Lauray2 🟨
Djibril Sidibé2 🟨
Alexandre Lauray2 🟨
2 🟨
LyonAbner Vinicius3 🟨
Moussa Niakhaté2 🟨
Keito Nakamura2 🟨
Kail Boudache2 🟨
C. Tolisso2 🟨
Ernest Nuamah1 🟨