Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin — Ekstraklasa
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Raków Częstochowa and Pogon Szczecin meet in the Ekstraklasa 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Raków Częstochowa have recorded 9 wins from 27 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.81 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Pogon Szczecin have won 47% of their 17 matches, with 1.41 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Raków Częstochowa and 1.51 for Pogon Szczecin. The models give Raków Częstochowa a 39% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Pogon Szczecin win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Raków Częstochowa—
Pogon Szczecin18º
Position
8º
0.33
PPG
1.71
11%
Win %
43%
1.33
Goals / game
1.43
2.33
Conceded / game
0.71
78%
BTTS %
47%
19%
Clean sheet %
29%
70%
Over 2.5 %
53%
4.5
Avg corners
3.7
15.6
Avg shots
14.1
4.5
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.9
10.8
Avg fouls
15.3
49.7%
Avg possession
44.1%
Home vs Away
Raków Częstochowa
Home (5)
—
Pogon Szczecin
Away (2)
0.60
PPG
2.00
20%
Win %
50%
1.60
Goals / game
1.00
2.60
Conceded / game
0.00
81%
BTTS %
22%
19%
Clean sheet %
44%
69%
Over 2.5 %
44%
4.5
Avg corners
3.7
15.6
Avg shots
14.1
4.5
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.9
49.7%
Avg possession
44.1%
Goals Scored
| Raków Częstochowa | Home | Away | Pogon Szczecin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 93% | 94% | 91% | 65% | 88% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 69% | 45% | 53% | 75% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 19% | 18% | 24% | 38% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 7% | 6% | 9% | 35% | 13% | 56% |
Goals Conceded
| Raków Częstochowa | Home | Away | Pogon Szczecin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 81% | 82% | 71% | 88% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 38% | 64% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 19% | 27% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 19% | 18% | 29% | 13% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Raków Częstochowa | Pogon Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 6% |
| BTTS | 78% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Raków Częstochowa | Pogon Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 18% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 65% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Raków Częstochowa (H)L
Zaglebie Lubin2–3
Zaglebie Lubin2–3W
Motor Lublin2–1
Motor Lublin2–1L
Gornik Zabrze1–2
Gornik Zabrze1–2L
Jagiellonia2–5
Jagiellonia2–5L
HNK Hajduk Split2–3
HNK Hajduk Split2–3D
Hammarby FF0–0
Hammarby FF0–0Pogon Szczecin (A)W
Piast Gliwice2–1
Piast Gliwice2–1L
Slask Wroclaw1–2
Slask Wroclaw1–2DZaglebie Lubin0–0
Zaglebie Lubin0–0W
Cracovia Krakow2–0
Cracovia Krakow2–0L
Sturm Graz0–1
Sturm Graz0–1L
Fenerbahçe0–4
Fenerbahçe0–4Number of Corners
9.9
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
10.0
72 games
8.0
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Raków Częstochowa | Pogon Szczecin | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 57% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 85% | 57% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 77% | 43% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 54% | 29% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 14% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 14% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Raków Częstochowa | Pogon Szczecin |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 3.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.4 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 85% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 62% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 85% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 85% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 54% | 43% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
9
Raków Częstochowa
60%
3
Draws
20%
3
Pogon Szczecin
20%
53%
Over 1.5
8/15
27%
Over 2.5
4/15
7%
Over 3.5
1/15
33%
BTTS
5/15
08/03/26Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
2–0Pogon Szczecin31/08/25Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
2–0Raków Częstochowa19/04/25Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
1–0Raków Częstochowa20/10/24Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
1–0Pogon Szczecin11/05/24Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
2–1Pogon Szczecin12/11/23Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
1–1Raków Częstochowa05/03/23Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
0–2Raków Częstochowa09/11/22Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
0–1Raków Częstochowa31/08/22Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
1–0Pogon Szczecin20/04/22Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
1–2Raków Częstochowa07/11/21Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
0–0Pogon Szczecin16/05/21Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
1–3Raków Częstochowa29/01/21Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
0–1Pogon Szczecin08/03/20Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
0–0Pogon Szczecin05/10/19Raków Częstochowa
Pogon Szczecin
1–2Raków Częstochowa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 |  Wisla Krakow | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 |  Legia Warszawa | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +9 | 16 |
| 4 |  Lech Poznan | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Lubin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 |
| 6 |  Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 9 |  GKS Katowice | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Widzew Łódź | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Cracovia Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |  Wisla Plock | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Radomiak Radom | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 8 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 |  Wieczysta Kraków | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 5 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -9 | 3 |
Team Insights
Raków Częstochowa- ●Raków Częstochowa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Raków Częstochowa have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Raków Częstochowa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Raków Częstochowa have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Raków Częstochowa have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Raków Częstochowa failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Raków Częstochowa have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of Raków Częstochowa's goals have been scored at home.
Pogon Szczecin- ●Pogon Szczecin have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of Pogon Szczecin's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Raków CzęstochowaLAKorona Kielce2–3
Korona Kielce2–3LHZaglebie Lubin2–3
Zaglebie Lubin2–3WHMotor Lublin2–1
Motor Lublin2–1LALech Poznan0–1
Lech Poznan0–1LHGornik Zabrze1–2
Gornik Zabrze1–2LHJagiellonia2–5
Jagiellonia2–5–HGKS Katowice09/10
GKS Katowice09/10–AWieczysta Kraków17/10
Wieczysta Kraków17/10–AWisla Krakow24/10
Wisla Krakow24/10Pogon SzczecinWAPiast Gliwice2–1
Piast Gliwice2–1WHWieczysta Kraków2–0
Wieczysta Kraków2–0DHWisla Plock1–1
Wisla Plock1–1DAZaglebie Lubin0–0
Zaglebie Lubin0–0DHWisla Krakow2–2
Wisla Krakow2–2WHMotor Lublin3–1
Motor Lublin3–1–HKorona Kielce11/10
Korona Kielce11/10–AGKS Katowice17/10
GKS Katowice17/10–HRadomiak Radom24/10
Radomiak Radom24/10Top Scorers
Raków CzęstochowaP. Makuch7 ⚽
M. Emreli6 ⚽
J. Brunes4 ⚽
A. Basse4 ⚽
L. Diaby-Fadiga3 ⚽
M. Bulat3 ⚽
Pogon SzczecinP. Mukairu4 ⚽
Darko Churlinov2 ⚽
K. Acosta2 ⚽
K. Angielski2 ⚽
Jordi Sánchez2 ⚽
S. Rojek2 ⚽
Cards Given
Raków CzęstochowaFran Tudor4 🟨
D. G. Debohi3 🟨
M. Ameyaw2 🟨
F. Tudor2 🟨
M. Emreli2 🟨
Tomasz Pienko2 🟨
Pogon Szczecin2 🟨
Patryk Dziczek2 🟨
D. Keramitsis2 🟨
F. Cuic1 🟨
L. Koutris1 🟨
K. Grosicki1 🟨