Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin — Ekstraklasa
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Lech Poznan and Zaglebie Lubin meet in the Ekstraklasa 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Lech Poznan have recorded 16 wins from 23 matches this season (70% win rate), averaging 2.43 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Zaglebie Lubin have won 38% of their 24 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.28 for Lech Poznan and 1.19 for Zaglebie Lubin. The models give Lech Poznan a 62% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Zaglebie Lubin win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Lech Poznan—
Zaglebie Lubin2º
Position
9º
2.44
PPG
1.50
78%
Win %
40%
2.33
Goals / game
1.20
0.89
Conceded / game
1.30
57%
BTTS %
54%
30%
Clean sheet %
33%
83%
Over 2.5 %
54%
6.7
Avg corners
3.6
18.4
Avg shots
13.6
6.8
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.8
11.3
Avg fouls
13.9
50.8%
Avg possession
43.6%
Home vs Away
Lech Poznan
Home (5)
—
Zaglebie Lubin
Away (5)
2.60
PPG
1.00
80%
Win %
20%
2.20
Goals / game
1.20
0.40
Conceded / game
1.80
47%
BTTS %
78%
40%
Clean sheet %
22%
73%
Over 2.5 %
56%
6.7
Avg corners
3.6
18.4
Avg shots
13.6
6.8
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.8
50.8%
Avg possession
43.6%
Goals Scored
| Lech Poznan | Home | Away | Zaglebie Lubin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 80% | 88% | 75% | 73% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 70% | 67% | 75% | 50% | 60% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 43% | 40% | 50% | 17% | 20% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 20% | 13% | 25% | 27% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Lech Poznan | Home | Away | Zaglebie Lubin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 60% | 88% | 67% | 60% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 13% | 50% | 50% | 47% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 13% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 13% | 33% | 40% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lech Poznan | Zaglebie Lubin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 52% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 17% |
| BTTS | 57% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 43% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 26% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lech Poznan | Zaglebie Lubin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 48% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 61% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 57% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 52% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Lech Poznan (H)D
Energie Cottbus2–2
Energie Cottbus2–2W
Radomiak Radom5–1
Radomiak Radom5–1W
Raków Częstochowa1–0
Raków Częstochowa1–0W
Jagiellonia2–1
Jagiellonia2–1W
FC Thun7–0
FC Thun7–0W
Piast Gliwice3–0
Piast Gliwice3–0Zaglebie Lubin (A)L
Cracovia Krakow1–3
Cracovia Krakow1–3WRaków Częstochowa3–2
Raków Częstochowa3–2D
Wieczysta Kraków1–1
Wieczysta Kraków1–1L
Siarka Tarnobrzeg2–3
Siarka Tarnobrzeg2–3DRadomiak Radom0–0
Radomiak Radom0–0L
Legia Warszawa1–3
Legia Warszawa1–3Number of Corners
11.1
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
9.9
86 games
9.6
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Lech Poznan | Zaglebie Lubin | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 80% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 87% | 70% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 80% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 53% | 50% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 47% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 30% | 28% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 20% | 19% |
| Over 13 | 27% | 10% | 14% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lech Poznan | Zaglebie Lubin |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.7 | 3.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 87% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 73% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 93% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 60% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
8
Lech Poznan
42%
5
Draws
26%
6
Zaglebie Lubin
32%
84%
Over 1.5
16/19
63%
Over 2.5
12/19
21%
Over 3.5
4/19
79%
BTTS
15/19
15/03/26Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
0–1Lech Poznan12/09/25Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
1–2Zaglebie Lubin23/02/25Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
3–1Zaglebie Lubin17/08/24Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
0–1Lech Poznan10/02/24Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
2–0Zaglebie Lubin06/08/23Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
1–1Lech Poznan19/02/23Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
1–2Zaglebie Lubin07/08/22Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
1–1Lech Poznan21/05/22Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
2–1Zaglebie Lubin05/12/21Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
2–3Lech Poznan04/09/21Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
1–2Lech Poznan30/06/21Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
3–1Zaglebie Lubin05/02/21Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
0–0Zaglebie Lubin21/08/20Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
2–1Lech Poznan06/06/20Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
3–3Lech Poznan25/10/19Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
1–2Zaglebie Lubin04/05/19Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
1–1Zaglebie Lubin08/02/19Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
1–2Zaglebie Lubin26/08/18Lech Poznan
Zaglebie Lubin
2–1Lech Poznan| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 22 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  GKS Katowice | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Wisla Krakow | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Zaglebie Lubin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia Krakow | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 |  Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 |  Widzew Łódź | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 |  Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -12 | 3 |
Team Insights
Lech Poznan- ●Lech Poznan have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●75% of Lech Poznan's goals conceded were conceded away.
Zaglebie Lubin- ●Zaglebie Lubin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Zaglebie Lubin have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Zaglebie Lubin failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Zaglebie Lubin's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Lech PoznanWASlask Wroclaw4–1
Slask Wroclaw4–1WHRadomiak Radom5–1
Radomiak Radom5–1LAGornik Zabrze1–2
Gornik Zabrze1–2WHRaków Częstochowa1–0
Raków Częstochowa1–0WHJagiellonia2–1
Jagiellonia2–1WAWidzew Łódź3–2
Widzew Łódź3–2–HKorona Kielce18/10
Korona Kielce18/10–ALegia Warszawa25/10
Legia Warszawa25/10–HWisla Krakow31/10
Wisla Krakow31/10Zaglebie LubinLACracovia Krakow1–3
Cracovia Krakow1–3LHWisla Plock0–2
Wisla Plock0–2WARaków Częstochowa3–2
Raków Częstochowa3–2WHGKS Katowice2–1
GKS Katowice2–1DAWieczysta Kraków1–1
Wieczysta Kraków1–1DHPogon Szczecin0–0
Pogon Szczecin0–0–HJagiellonia18/10
Jagiellonia18/10–AMotor Lublin23/10
Motor Lublin23/10–HKorona Kielce31/10
Korona Kielce31/10Top Scorers
Lech PoznanP. Walemark6 ⚽
A. Sayyadmanesh5 ⚽
P. Rodriguez4 ⚽
Patrick Walemark4 ⚽
M. Ishak3 ⚽
A. Kozubal3 ⚽
Zaglebie LubinM. Kosidis6 ⚽
M. Regula4 ⚽
L. Szabo3 ⚽
A. Wozniak2 ⚽
J. Corluka2 ⚽
Aleks Lawniczak2 ⚽
Cards Given
Lech PoznanRadosław Murawski3 🟨
R. Murawski3 🟨
Patrick Walemark2 🟨
M. Ishak2 🟨
P. Walemark2 🟨
A. Kozubal2 🟨
Zaglebie LubinDavid Čolina3 🟨
2 🟨
Marcel Regula2 🟨
Michał Nalepa2 🟨
Zlatan Alomerović2 🟨
D. Michalski1 🟨