Lech Poznan vs Pogon Szczecin — Ekstraklasa
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Lech Poznan and Pogon Szczecin meet in the Ekstraklasa 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Lech Poznan have recorded 17 wins from 26 matches this season (65% win rate), averaging 2.42 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 81%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Pogon Szczecin have won 52% of their 21 matches, with 1.52 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.02 for Lech Poznan and 1.22 for Pogon Szczecin. The models give Lech Poznan a 55% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Pogon Szczecin win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Lech Poznan—
Pogon Szczecin2º
Position
3º
2.50
PPG
2.18
80%
Win %
64%
2.70
Goals / game
1.73
0.90
Conceded / game
0.82
58%
BTTS %
48%
27%
Clean sheet %
33%
81%
Over 2.5 %
48%
6.2
Avg corners
3.3
17.4
Avg shots
12.5
6.5
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.5
10.8
Avg fouls
15.2
50.2%
Avg possession
43.5%
Home vs Away
Lech Poznan
Home (6)
—
Pogon Szczecin
Away (4)
2.67
PPG
2.50
83%
Win %
75%
2.83
Goals / game
1.25
0.50
Conceded / game
0.25
50%
BTTS %
20%
33%
Clean sheet %
50%
72%
Over 2.5 %
40%
6.2
Avg corners
3.3
17.4
Avg shots
12.5
6.5
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.5
50.2%
Avg possession
43.5%
Goals Scored
| Lech Poznan | Home | Away | Pogon Szczecin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 78% | 88% | 71% | 91% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 65% | 61% | 75% | 52% | 73% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 42% | 39% | 50% | 24% | 36% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 22% | 13% | 29% | 9% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Lech Poznan | Home | Away | Pogon Szczecin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 67% | 88% | 67% | 82% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 17% | 50% | 29% | 27% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 33% | 13% | 33% | 18% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lech Poznan | Pogon Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 81% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 54% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 10% |
| BTTS | 58% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 42% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lech Poznan | Pogon Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 46% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 62% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 12% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 54% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Lech Poznan (H)D
Sunderland1–1
Sunderland1–1W
Korona Kielce6–1
Korona Kielce6–1L
Bayer Leverkusen0–4
Bayer Leverkusen0–4D
Energie Cottbus2–2
Energie Cottbus2–2W
Radomiak Radom5–1
Radomiak Radom5–1W
Raków Częstochowa1–0
Raków Częstochowa1–0Pogon Szczecin (A)W
GKS Katowice1–0
GKS Katowice1–0W
Piast Gliwice2–1
Piast Gliwice2–1L
Slask Wroclaw1–2
Slask Wroclaw1–2D
Zaglebie Lubin0–0
Zaglebie Lubin0–0W
Cracovia Krakow2–0
Cracovia Krakow2–0L
Sturm Graz0–1
Sturm Graz0–1Number of Corners
10.9
Corners / Match
18 games
League Avg
9.9
101 games
8.0
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Lech Poznan | Pogon Szczecin | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 94% | 64% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 89% | 64% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 83% | 55% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 18% | 48% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 9% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 9% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 28% | 0% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 22% | 0% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lech Poznan | Pogon Szczecin |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.2 | 3.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 94% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 83% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 94% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 72% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 55% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
8
Lech Poznan
40%
7
Draws
35%
5
Pogon Szczecin
25%
75%
Over 1.5
15/20
55%
Over 2.5
11/20
35%
Over 3.5
7/20
40%
BTTS
8/20
18/04/26Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
1–2Lech Poznan19/10/25Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
2–2Pogon Szczecin01/03/25Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
0–3Lech Poznan25/08/24Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
2–0Pogon Szczecin07/04/24Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
1–0Pogon Szczecin27/02/24Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
0–1Pogon Szczecin01/10/23Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
5–0Lech Poznan02/04/23Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
2–2Pogon Szczecin11/09/22Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
2–2Lech Poznan23/06/22Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
0–1Pogon Szczecin26/02/22Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
0–3Lech Poznan28/08/21Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
1–1Pogon Szczecin07/03/21Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
0–1Lech Poznan16/12/20Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
0–4Pogon Szczecin24/06/20Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
0–0Pogon Szczecin09/06/20Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
4–0Pogon Szczecin02/11/19Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
1–1Lech Poznan27/04/19Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
1–1Lech Poznan03/04/19Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
3–2Pogon Szczecin27/10/18Lech Poznan
Pogon Szczecin
3–0Lech Poznan| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 25 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Legia Warszawa | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | +13 | 23 |
| 5 |  Wisla Krakow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 6 | Piast Gliwice | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | +5 | 18 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 18 |
| 10 |  Wisla Plock | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 |  Jagiellonia | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 |  Widzew Łódź | 12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 |  Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Lech Poznan- ●Lech Poznan have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●63% of Lech Poznan's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Lech Poznan's goals conceded were conceded away.
Pogon Szczecin- ●Pogon Szczecin have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●74% of Pogon Szczecin's goals have been scored at home.
- ●89% of Pogon Szczecin's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Lech PoznanWHKorona Kielce6–1
Korona Kielce6–1WASlask Wroclaw4–1
Slask Wroclaw4–1WHRadomiak Radom5–1
Radomiak Radom5–1LAGornik Zabrze1–2
Gornik Zabrze1–2WHRaków Częstochowa1–0
Raków Częstochowa1–0WHJagiellonia2–1
Jagiellonia2–1–ALegia Warszawa25/10
Legia Warszawa25/10–HWisla Krakow31/10
Wisla Krakow31/10–HZaglebie Lubin07/11
Zaglebie Lubin07/11Pogon SzczecinWHRadomiak Radom4–3
Radomiak Radom4–3WAGKS Katowice1–0
GKS Katowice1–0WHKorona Kielce2–0
Korona Kielce2–0WAPiast Gliwice2–1
Piast Gliwice2–1WHWieczysta Kraków2–0
Wieczysta Kraków2–0DHWisla Plock1–1
Wisla Plock1–1–ARaków Częstochowa31/10
Raków Częstochowa31/10–AWidzew Łódź07/11
Widzew Łódź07/11–HSlask Wroclaw21/11
Slask Wroclaw21/11Top Scorers
Lech PoznanP. Walemark6 ⚽
A. Sayyadmanesh5 ⚽
Patrick Walemark5 ⚽
Pablo Rodriguez Delgado5 ⚽
P. Rodriguez4 ⚽
Y. Agnero4 ⚽
Pogon SzczecinP. Mukairu4 ⚽
Jordi Sánchez3 ⚽
Kamil Grosicki2 ⚽
Darko Churlinov2 ⚽
K. Angielski2 ⚽
K. Acosta2 ⚽
Cards Given
Lech PoznanRadosław Murawski4 🟨
R. Murawski3 🟨
P. Walemark2 🟨
M. Ishak2 🟨
Michal Gurgul2 🟨
A. Kozubal2 🟨
Pogon Szczecin2 🟨
D. Keramitsis2 🟨
Maciej Wojciechowski2 🟨
Patryk Dziczek2 🟨
Jan Bieganski1 🟨
F. Cuic1 🟨