Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan — Ekstraklasa
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Motor Lublin Arena·Lublin·Poland·15,500
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Motor Lublin and Lech Poznan meet in the Ekstraklasa 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Motor Lublin have recorded 10 wins from 20 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.10 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Lech Poznan have won 64% of their 28 matches, with 2.32 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.75 for Motor Lublin and 1.82 for Lech Poznan. The models give Motor Lublin a 32% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Lech Poznan win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Motor Lublin—
Lech Poznan12º
Position
1º
1.08
PPG
2.55
25%
Win %
82%
1.42
Goals / game
2.64
1.75
Conceded / game
0.91
75%
BTTS %
57%
20%
Clean sheet %
25%
70%
Over 2.5 %
79%
4.9
Avg corners
6.2
17.3
Avg shots
17.0
5.6
Avg shots on target
6.4
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.7
12.7
Avg fouls
10.9
49.5%
Avg possession
49.9%
Home vs Away
Motor Lublin
Home (7)
—
Lech Poznan
Away (5)
1.14
PPG
2.40
29%
Win %
80%
1.29
Goals / game
2.40
1.57
Conceded / game
1.40
67%
BTTS %
70%
27%
Clean sheet %
10%
67%
Over 2.5 %
90%
4.9
Avg corners
6.2
17.3
Avg shots
17.0
5.6
Avg shots on target
6.4
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.7
49.5%
Avg possession
49.9%
Goals Scored
| Motor Lublin | Home | Away | Lech Poznan | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 87% | 100% | 79% | 78% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 67% | 40% | 64% | 61% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 35% | 40% | 20% | 39% | 39% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 13% | 0% | 21% | 22% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Motor Lublin | Home | Away | Lech Poznan | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 73% | 100% | 75% | 67% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 33% | 80% | 25% | 17% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 7% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 27% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Motor Lublin | Lech Poznan | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 25% |
| BTTS | 75% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 35% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 65% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Motor Lublin | Lech Poznan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 65% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 61% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 11% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 68% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Motor Lublin (H)D
Raków Częstochowa1–1
Raków Częstochowa1–1D
Zaglebie Lubin2–2
Zaglebie Lubin2–2W
Slask Wroclaw3–2
Slask Wroclaw3–2D
Gornik Zabrze0–0
Gornik Zabrze0–0L
Legia Warszawa2–3
Legia Warszawa2–3WLegia Warszawa3–0
Legia Warszawa3–0Lech Poznan (A)L
Siarka Tarnobrzeg0–1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg0–1WLegia Warszawa2–1
Legia Warszawa2–1WSlask Wroclaw4–1
Slask Wroclaw4–1L
Crystal Palace0–4
Crystal Palace0–4LGornik Zabrze1–2
Gornik Zabrze1–2W
Widzew Łódź3–2
Widzew Łódź3–2Number of Corners
7.9
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.9
104 games
11.1
Corners / Match
19 games
| Match Corners | Motor Lublin | Lech Poznan | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 95% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 58% | 89% | 80% |
| Over 8 | 33% | 84% | 64% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 53% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 47% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 8% | 37% | 26% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 32% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 26% | 13% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Motor Lublin | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 6.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.0 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 95% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 83% | 84% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 95% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 25% | 74% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 17% | 53% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Motor Lublin
25%
1
Draws
25%
2
Lech Poznan
50%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
02/05/26Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
0–1Lech Poznan02/11/25Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
2–2Motor Lublin13/04/25Lech Poznan
Motor Lublin
1–2Lech Poznan05/10/24Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
1–2Motor Lublin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 28 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 | Legia Warszawa | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +12 | 23 |
| 5 |  Wisla Krakow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 6 |  Piast Gliwice | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 |  GKS Katowice | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | +5 | 18 |
| 9 |  Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 18 |
| 10 |  Jagiellonia | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Wisla Plock | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |  Cracovia Krakow | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 |  Wieczysta Kraków | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 |  Radomiak Radom | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Motor Lublin- ●Motor Lublin have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Motor Lublin have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Motor Lublin have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Motor Lublin have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Motor Lublin failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Motor Lublin have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Motor Lublin failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Motor Lublin failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Motor Lublin have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Lech Poznan- ●Lech Poznan have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Lech Poznan failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lech Poznan failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Lech Poznan failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Lech Poznan have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Lech Poznan's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Motor LublinDHZaglebie Lubin2–2
Zaglebie Lubin2–2WHSlask Wroclaw3–2
Slask Wroclaw3–2WARadomiak Radom3–2
Radomiak Radom3–2DHGornik Zabrze0–0
Gornik Zabrze0–0LARaków Częstochowa1–2
Raków Częstochowa1–2LHLegia Warszawa2–3
Legia Warszawa2–3–ACracovia Krakow30/10
Cracovia Krakow30/10–HWisla Plock06/11
Wisla Plock06/11–AWieczysta Kraków23/11
Wieczysta Kraków23/11Lech PoznanWALegia Warszawa2–1
Legia Warszawa2–1WHKorona Kielce6–1
Korona Kielce6–1WASlask Wroclaw4–1
Slask Wroclaw4–1WHRadomiak Radom5–1
Radomiak Radom5–1LAGornik Zabrze1–2
Gornik Zabrze1–2WHRaków Częstochowa1–0
Raków Częstochowa1–0–HWisla Krakow31/10
Wisla Krakow31/10–HZaglebie Lubin08/11
Zaglebie Lubin08/11–AGKS Katowice22/11
GKS Katowice22/11Top Scorers
Motor LublinK. Czubak8 ⚽
M. Ndiaye4 ⚽
Karol Czubak3 ⚽
Fabio Ronaldo3 ⚽
Christopher Simon2 ⚽
K. Plichta2 ⚽
Lech PoznanP. Walemark6 ⚽
A. Sayyadmanesh5 ⚽
Patrick Walemark5 ⚽
Pablo Rodriguez Delgado5 ⚽
Y. Agnero5 ⚽
P. Rodriguez4 ⚽
Cards Given
Motor LublinB. Bereszynski3 🟨
M. Ndiaye2 🟨
Karol Czubak2 🟨
I. Rodrigues2 🟨
Kikis2 🟨
Marek Kristian Bartos2 🟨
Lech PoznanRadosław Murawski4 🟨
Y. Agnero3 🟨
R. Murawski3 🟨
P. Walemark2 🟨
Michal Gurgul2 🟨
M. Ishak2 🟨