Legia Warszawa vs Pogon Szczecin — Ekstraklasa
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Legia Warszawa and Pogon Szczecin meet in the Ekstraklasa 2026 season on 12 December 2026. Legia Warszawa have recorded 16 wins from 29 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.93 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 66% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Pogon Szczecin have won 50% of their 22 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.93 for Legia Warszawa and 1.20 for Pogon Szczecin. The models give Legia Warszawa a 53% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Pogon Szczecin win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Legia Warszawa—
Pogon Szczecin3º
Position
4º
1.85
PPG
2.00
46%
Win %
58%
1.77
Goals / game
1.67
0.85
Conceded / game
1.00
66%
BTTS %
50%
28%
Clean sheet %
32%
52%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.5
Avg corners
3.5
14.4
Avg shots
12.2
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.6
13.7
Avg fouls
15.1
49.8%
Avg possession
43.1%
Home vs Away
Legia Warszawa
Home (6)
—
Pogon Szczecin
Away (5)
1.83
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
60%
2.17
Goals / game
1.20
0.83
Conceded / game
0.80
67%
BTTS %
27%
28%
Clean sheet %
45%
56%
Over 2.5 %
45%
4.5
Avg corners
3.5
14.4
Avg shots
12.2
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.6
49.8%
Avg possession
43.1%
Goals Scored
| Legia Warszawa | Home | Away | Pogon Szczecin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 89% | 82% | 73% | 91% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 56% | 45% | 50% | 73% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 44% | 27% | 23% | 36% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 11% | 18% | 27% | 9% | 45% |
Goals Conceded
| Legia Warszawa | Home | Away | Pogon Szczecin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 72% | 73% | 68% | 82% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 22% | 36% | 32% | 27% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 9% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 28% | 27% | 32% | 18% | 45% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Legia Warszawa | Pogon Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 9% |
| BTTS | 66% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 34% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 28% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Legia Warszawa | Pogon Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 34% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 64% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 52% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 66% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 31% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Legia Warszawa (H)L
Lech Poznan1–2
Lech Poznan1–2W
Wisla Krakow2–0
Wisla Krakow2–0W
Korona Kielce5–1
Korona Kielce5–1D
Widzew Łódź1–1
Widzew Łódź1–1D
Slask Wroclaw1–1
Slask Wroclaw1–1W
Radomiak Radom5–0
Radomiak Radom5–0Pogon Szczecin (A)L
Raków Częstochowa1–3
Raków Częstochowa1–3W
GKS Katowice1–0
GKS Katowice1–0W
Piast Gliwice2–1
Piast Gliwice2–1LSlask Wroclaw1–2
Slask Wroclaw1–2D
Zaglebie Lubin0–0
Zaglebie Lubin0–0W
Cracovia Krakow2–0
Cracovia Krakow2–0Number of Corners
8.5
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
10.1
113 games
8.4
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Legia Warszawa | Pogon Szczecin | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 77% | 67% | 87% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 67% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 38% | 58% | 65% |
| Over 9 | 23% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 10 | 23% | 17% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 15% | 17% | 28% |
| Over 12 | 15% | 8% | 20% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 0% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Legia Warszawa | Pogon Szczecin |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 77% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 62% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 46% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 85% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 83% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 58% |
Head to Head · 21 matches
7
Legia Warszawa
33%
5
Draws
24%
9
Pogon Szczecin
43%
76%
Over 1.5
16/21
52%
Over 2.5
11/21
29%
Over 3.5
6/21
67%
BTTS
14/21
24/07/26Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
0–1Legia Warszawa06/04/26Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
0–2Legia Warszawa30/10/25Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
1–2Pogon Szczecin28/09/25Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
1–0Pogon Szczecin02/05/25Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
3–4Legia Warszawa28/03/25Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
0–0Pogon Szczecin20/09/24Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
1–0Legia Warszawa02/03/24Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
1–1Pogon Szczecin27/09/23Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
3–4Legia Warszawa07/05/23Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
2–1Legia Warszawa22/10/22Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
1–1Pogon Szczecin24/04/22Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
3–1Legia Warszawa31/10/21Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
0–2Pogon Szczecin03/04/21Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
4–2Pogon Szczecin24/10/20Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
0–0Legia Warszawa19/07/20Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
1–2Pogon Szczecin23/11/19Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
3–1Legia Warszawa21/07/19Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
1–2Pogon Szczecin12/05/19Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
1–1Pogon Szczecin13/04/19Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
3–1Pogon Szczecin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +21 | 31 |
| 2 |  Gornik Zabrze | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 28 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | +12 | 24 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 24 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Lubin | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | +6 | 21 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 | Wisla Krakow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Jagiellonia | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 18 |
| 11 |  Motor Lublin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  Wisla Plock | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 11 |
| 16 | Slask Wroclaw | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | Raków Częstochowa | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 |  Wieczysta Kraków | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -9 | 8 |
Team Insights
Legia Warszawa- ●Legia Warszawa have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Legia Warszawa have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Legia Warszawa have been undefeated in their last 7 away matches.
- ●Legia Warszawa failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Legia Warszawa have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Legia Warszawa failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Legia Warszawa have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Legia Warszawa have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Legia Warszawa have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Pogon Szczecin- ●Pogon Szczecin have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Pogon Szczecin have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Pogon Szczecin's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Pogon Szczecin's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Legia WarszawaDAGornik Zabrze0–0
Gornik Zabrze0–0LHLech Poznan1–2
Lech Poznan1–2DACracovia Krakow1–1
Cracovia Krakow1–1WHWisla Krakow2–0
Wisla Krakow2–0WAJagiellonia3–1
Jagiellonia3–1DHWidzew Łódź1–1
Widzew Łódź1–1–HRaków Częstochowa08/11
Raków Częstochowa08/11–AWisla Plock22/11
Wisla Plock22/11–HWieczysta Kraków28/11
Wieczysta Kraków28/11Pogon SzczecinLARaków Częstochowa1–3
Raków Częstochowa1–3WHRadomiak Radom4–3
Radomiak Radom4–3WAGKS Katowice1–0
GKS Katowice1–0WHKorona Kielce2–0
Korona Kielce2–0WAPiast Gliwice2–1
Piast Gliwice2–1WHWieczysta Kraków2–0
Wieczysta Kraków2–0–AWidzew Łódź07/11
Widzew Łódź07/11–HSlask Wroclaw20/11
Slask Wroclaw20/11–ALech Poznan28/11
Lech Poznan28/11Top Scorers
Legia WarszawaL. Zjawinski6 ⚽
R. Adamski4 ⚽
M. Rajovic4 ⚽
J. Zewlakow3 ⚽
B. Kapustka3 ⚽
Rafał Augustyniak3 ⚽
Pogon SzczecinP. Mukairu4 ⚽
Jordi Sánchez3 ⚽
Darko Churlinov3 ⚽
Kamil Grosicki2 ⚽
K. Angielski2 ⚽
K. Acosta2 ⚽
Cards Given
Legia Warszawa7 🟨
Bartosz Kapustka3 🟨
Rafal Adamski2 🟨
A. Jedrzejczyk2 🟨
Paweł Wszołek2 🟨
E. Krasniqi1 🟨
Pogon SzczecinLukas Willen3 🟨
D. Keramitsis2 🟨
Patryk Dziczek2 🟨
Maciej Wojciechowski2 🟨
Jan Bieganski2 🟨
Valentin Cojocaru2 🟨