Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau — Challenge League
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Neuchatel Xamax FC and FC Aarau meet in the Challenge League 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Neuchatel Xamax FC have recorded 10 wins from 24 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.83 goals scored and 1.96 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 88%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. FC Aarau have won 29% of their 21 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 2.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 86%, Over 2.5 at 86%, and clean sheets at 5%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.91 for Neuchatel Xamax FC and 1.37 for FC Aarau. The models give Neuchatel Xamax FC a 46% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an FC Aarau win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Neuchatel Xamax | Home | Away | FC Aarau | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 89% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 40% | 48% | 64% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 56% | 13% | 14% | 18% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 11% | 20% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Neuchatel Xamax | Home | Away | FC Aarau | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 89% | 80% | 95% | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 67% | 60% | 71% | 55% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 22% | 27% | 29% | 9% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 11% | 20% | 5% | 9% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Neuchatel Xamax | FC Aarau | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 88% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 29% |
| BTTS | 75% | 86% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 75% | 81% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Neuchatel Xamax | FC Aarau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 78% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 48% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 81% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 70% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 33 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +17 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 22 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 21 | |
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 16 | |
| 5 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 12 | |
| 7 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 | |
| 8 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 11 | |
| 9 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -6 | 11 | |
| 10 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -20 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Neuchatel Xamax FC have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Neuchatel Xamax FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Neuchatel Xamax FC have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●63% of Neuchatel Xamax FC's points have been earned away.
- ●Neuchatel Xamax FC have conceded 65% of their goals in the first half.
- ●FC Aarau have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●FC Aarau have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●FC Aarau failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●FC Aarau have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●FC Aarau have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●FC Aarau failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●FC Aarau have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●FC Aarau have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●FC Aarau failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●FC Aarau have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●FC Aarau have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●FC Aarau failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●FC Aarau have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●FC Aarau failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●FC Aarau have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of FC Aarau's goals have been scored at home.
- ●92% of FC Aarau's points have been earned at home.