FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge — Challenge League
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FC Winterthur and Étoile Carouge meet in the Challenge League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. FC Winterthur have recorded 7 wins from 18 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Étoile Carouge have won 31% of their 16 matches, with 0.94 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.10 for FC Winterthur and 1.02 for Étoile Carouge. The models give FC Winterthur a 61% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Étoile Carouge win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| FC Winterthur | Home | Away | Étoile Carouge | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 90% | 88% | 50% | 57% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 50% | 63% | 31% | 43% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 20% | 13% | 13% | 29% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 10% | 13% | 50% | 43% | 56% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Winterthur | Home | Away | Étoile Carouge | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 80% | 75% | 81% | 86% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 20% | 63% | 25% | 0% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 10% | 13% | 25% | 0% | 44% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 20% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Winterthur | Étoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 19% |
| BTTS | 67% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Winterthur | Étoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 20% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +14 | 20 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 15 | |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 14 | |
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 10 | |
| 8 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 | |
| 9 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 | |
| 10 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●FC Winterthur have won their last 3 matches.
- ●FC Winterthur have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●FC Winterthur have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●FC Winterthur have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●FC Winterthur have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●74% of FC Winterthur's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Étoile Carouge have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Étoile Carouge failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Étoile Carouge have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Étoile Carouge failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●75% of Étoile Carouge's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Étoile Carouge's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●78% of Étoile Carouge's points have been earned at home.