FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge — Challenge League
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FC Winterthur and Étoile Carouge meet in the Challenge League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. FC Winterthur have recorded 11 wins from 24 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 2.08 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Étoile Carouge have won 30% of their 20 matches, with 0.95 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.14 for FC Winterthur and 1.06 for Étoile Carouge. The models give FC Winterthur a 61% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Étoile Carouge win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| FC Winterthur | Home | Away | Étoile Carouge | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 85% | 82% | 50% | 56% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 54% | 64% | 35% | 44% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 31% | 27% | 10% | 22% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 15% | 18% | 50% | 44% | 55% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Winterthur | Home | Away | Étoile Carouge | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 77% | 73% | 85% | 89% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 23% | 55% | 35% | 22% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 15% | 18% | 25% | 0% | 45% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 23% | 27% | 15% | 11% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Winterthur | Étoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 15% |
| BTTS | 58% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Winterthur | Étoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 32% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 37% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 26% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 52% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | +18 | 28 | |
| 2 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 24 | |
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 22 | |
| 4 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 16 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 16 | |
| 6 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 | |
| 7 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 | |
| 8 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 11 | |
| 9 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -9 | 11 | |
| 10 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -17 | 8 |
Team Insights
- ●FC Winterthur have won their last 2 matches.
- ●FC Winterthur have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●FC Winterthur have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●FC Winterthur have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●FC Winterthur have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●FC Winterthur have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●FC Winterthur have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●FC Winterthur have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of FC Winterthur's goals have been scored at home.
- ●FC Winterthur have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Étoile Carouge failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Étoile Carouge have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Étoile Carouge failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Étoile Carouge failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Étoile Carouge failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Étoile Carouge's goals have been scored at home.