FC Thun vs FC Lugano — Super League
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FC Thun and FC Lugano meet in the Super League 2026 season on 25 October 2026. FC Thun have recorded 9 wins from 23 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 2.35 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. FC Lugano have won 65% of their 26 matches, with 2.62 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 77%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for FC Thun and 2.50 for FC Lugano. The models give FC Thun a 21% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an FC Lugano win at 58%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| FC Thun | Home | Away | FC Lugano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 77% | 90% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 70% | 54% | 90% | 65% | 56% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 31% | 30% | 35% | 19% | 60% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 23% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Thun | Home | Away | FC Lugano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 69% | 90% | 69% | 69% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 38% | 70% | 27% | 38% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 39% | 15% | 70% | 12% | 19% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 31% | 10% | 31% | 31% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Thun | FC Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 | 65% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 | 52% | 23% |
| BTTS | 65% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 35% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Thun | FC Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 48% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 74% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 54% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 85% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 70% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | FC Thun | FC Lugano | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 88% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 93% | 69% | 80% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 10 | 47% | 38% | 48% |
| Over 11 | 40% | 31% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 19% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 19% | 23% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FC Thun | FC Lugano |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 5.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.7 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 87% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 80% | 81% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 87% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 31% |
Head to Head · 21 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +24 | 28 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +15 | 22 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 16 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +1 | 13 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 | |
| 11 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 8 | |
| 12 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●FC Thun failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●FC Thun have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●FC Thun have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●FC Thun failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●FC Thun have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●FC Thun have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●FC Thun failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●FC Thun have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●FC Thun have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●88% of FC Thun's goals have been scored away.
- ●90% of FC Thun's points have been earned away.
- ●FC Lugano have won their last 3 matches.
- ●FC Lugano have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●FC Lugano have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●FC Lugano have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●FC Lugano have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●FC Lugano have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●FC Lugano have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●FC Lugano have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●FC Lugano have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●FC Lugano have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●FC Lugano have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.