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Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kagoshima United — J3 League

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Japan · J3 League · Regular Season - 10
Matsumoto Yamaga
Matsumoto Yamaga
17º · 0.71 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 22d 18h
vs
–
–
Kagoshima United
Kagoshima United
1º · 2.71 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 18h
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Matsumoto Yamaga and Kagoshima United meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 11 October 2026. Matsumoto Yamaga have recorded 8 wins from 29 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Kagoshima United have won 58% of their 31 matches, with 1.52 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 35%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.83 for Kagoshima United. The models give Matsumoto Yamaga a 27% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Kagoshima United win at 50%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.

Season Statistics

Matsumoto Yamaga
—
Kagoshima United
17º
Position
1º
0.71
PPG
2.71
0%
Win %
86%
0.86
Goals / game
2.14
1.29
Conceded / game
1.00
55%
BTTS %
48%
28%
Clean sheet %
35%
59%
Over 2.5 %
42%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Matsumoto Yamaga
Home (4)
—
Kagoshima United
Away (3)
0.50
PPG
3.00
0%
Win %
100%
1.25
Goals / game
3.00
2.00
Conceded / game
1.67
56%
BTTS %
40%
25%
Clean sheet %
47%
63%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Matsumoto YamagaHomeAwayKagoshima UnitedHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored69%69%69%74%75%73%
Over 1.5 Scored48%56%38%42%44%40%
Over 2.5 Scored28%31%23%23%19%27%
Failed To Score31%31%31%26%25%27%

Goals Conceded

Matsumoto YamagaHomeAwayKagoshima UnitedHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded72%75%69%65%75%53%
Over 1.5 Conceded38%50%23%10%6%13%
Over 2.5 Conceded14%25%0%6%6%7%
Clean Sheets28%25%31%35%25%47%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Matsumoto YamagaKagoshima United
Over 0.586%90%
Over 1.576%55%
Over 2.559%42%
Over 3.534%26%
Over 4.517%10%
BTTS55%48%
BTTS & Win14%32%
BTTS & Draw28%10%
BTTS & Over 2.545%39%
BTTS No & Over 2.514%3%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Matsumoto YamagaKagoshima United
Win 1st Half34%37%
Draw 1st Half41%57%
Loss 1st Half24%7%
Scored 1st Half52%53%
Conceded 1st Half38%27%
Win 2nd Half34%40%
Draw 2nd Half41%33%
Loss 2nd Half24%27%
Scored 2nd Half59%50%
Conceded 2nd Half55%47%
Over 0.5 HT69%57%
Over 1.5 HT34%33%

Recent Venue Form

Matsumoto Yamaga (H)
LSagamihara1–3
DShonan Bellmare3–3
DOsaka0–0
DEhime FC2–2
LBiwako Shiga2–3
WVentforet Kofu3–0
Kagoshima United (A)
WBiwako Shiga2–1
WKamatamare Sanuki4–3
WAlbirex Niigata4–0
WNara Club3–1
WBlaublitz Akita2–0
WAlbirex Niigata1–0

Head to Head · 6 matches

1
Matsumoto Yamaga
17%
1
Draws
17%
4
Kagoshima United
67%
100%
Over 1.5
6/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
50%
Over 3.5
3/6
83%
BTTS
5/6
02/11/25
Kagoshima United
3–2
Matsumoto Yamaga
21/06/25
Matsumoto Yamaga
1–1
Kagoshima United
19/08/23
Kagoshima United
0–2
Matsumoto Yamaga
28/05/23
Matsumoto Yamaga
2–4
Kagoshima United
14/08/22
Kagoshima United
4–2
Matsumoto Yamaga
26/03/22
Matsumoto Yamaga
1–2
Kagoshima United
J3 League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Kagoshima United7610+819
2Ehime FC7511+1016
3Osaka7340+613
4Renofa Yamaguchi7412+413
5Biwako Shiga7403+312
6Sagamihara7322+411
7Parceiro Nagano7322011
8Nara Club7322-111
9FC Gifu7313+1010
10Roasso Kumamoto7241+210
11FC Ryukyu7313010
12Gainare Tottori7313-410
13Tochigi SC7232-29
14Kanazawa7214-27
15Kitakyushu7133-66
16Thespakusatsu Gunma7205-76
17Matsumoto Yamaga7052-35
18Kochi United7124-115
19Fukushima United7115-54
20Kamatamare Sanuki7115-64

Team Insights

Matsumoto Yamaga
  • ●Matsumoto Yamaga have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
  • ●Matsumoto Yamaga have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Matsumoto Yamaga have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●89% of Matsumoto Yamaga's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Kagoshima United
  • ●Kagoshima United have won their last 4 matches.
  • ●Kagoshima United have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
  • ●Kagoshima United have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Kagoshima United have won their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Kagoshima United have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga
DARoasso Kumamoto10º0–0
LHSagamihara6º1–3
DHShonan Bellmare3–3
DHOsaka3º0–0
DAKitakyushu15º1–1
DHEhime FC2º2–2
LHBiwako Shiga5º2–3
DAKochi United18º0–0
WHVentforet Kofu3–0
LHNara Club7º0–2
Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United
WHTochigi SC13º3–1
WABiwako Shiga5º2–1
WHFC Ryukyu11º2–1
LHConsadole Sapporo0–1
WAKamatamare Sanuki20º4–3
WAAlbirex Niigata4–0
DHFC Gifu9º0–0
WHRenofa Yamaguchi2–1
WANara Club8º3–1
WHThespakusatsu Gunma16º1–0

Season Schedule

Matsumoto Yamaga
DARoasso Kumamoto0–0
LHSagamihara1–3
DHOsaka0–0
DAKitakyushu1–1
DHEhime FC2–2
LHBiwako Shiga2–3
–ATochigi SC26/09
–HGainare Tottori03/10
–HKagoshima United11/10
Kagoshima United
WHTochigi SC3–1
WABiwako Shiga2–1
WHFC Ryukyu2–1
WAKamatamare Sanuki4–3
DHFC Gifu0–0
WANara Club3–1
–AKitakyushu26/09
–HFukushima United04/10
–AMatsumoto Yamaga11/10

Top Scorers

Matsumoto Yamaga
K. Fujieda6 ⚽
K. Murakoshi6 ⚽
K. Kaneko5 ⚽
I. Oda4 ⚽
A. Inoue4 ⚽
T. Kato4 ⚽
Kagoshima United
R. Arita7 ⚽
K. Kawamura6 ⚽
R. Saga6 ⚽
K. Yoshio3 ⚽
A. Takahashi3 ⚽
M. Fukuda3 ⚽

Cards Given

Matsumoto Yamaga
T. Shirai5 🟨
K. Murakoshi4 🟨
T. Kato4 🟨
D. Higuchi2 🟨
I. Oda2 🟨
D. Ogawa2 🟨
Kagoshima United
S. Inaba4 🟨
Y. Aoki3 🟨
K. Fujimura3 🟨
G. Egawa3 🟨
R. Saga3 🟨
Y. Yamada3 🟨