Gainare Tottori vs Thespakusatsu Gunma — J3 League
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Gainare Tottori and Thespakusatsu Gunma meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Gainare Tottori have recorded 14 wins from 35 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.31 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Thespakusatsu Gunma have won 29% of their 34 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 2.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Gainare Tottori and 1.31 for Thespakusatsu Gunma. The models give Gainare Tottori a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Thespakusatsu Gunma win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Gainare Tottori—
Thespakusatsu Gunma12º
Position
17º
1.30
PPG
0.90
40%
Win %
30%
1.20
Goals / game
1.00
1.90
Conceded / game
1.90
51%
BTTS %
68%
26%
Clean sheet %
9%
51%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Gainare Tottori
Home (5)
—
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Away (4)
0.80
PPG
0.75
20%
Win %
25%
1.00
Goals / game
0.75
1.80
Conceded / game
1.75
44%
BTTS %
71%
28%
Clean sheet %
6%
39%
Over 2.5 %
76%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Gainare Tottori | Home | Away | Thespakusatsu Gunma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 50% | 76% | 74% | 71% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 39% | 35% | 32% | 29% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 17% | 35% | 15% | 18% | 12% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 50% | 24% | 26% | 29% | 24% |
Goals Conceded
| Gainare Tottori | Home | Away | Thespakusatsu Gunma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 72% | 76% | 91% | 88% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 33% | 41% | 56% | 53% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 11% | 29% | 38% | 29% | 47% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 28% | 24% | 9% | 12% | 6% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gainare Tottori | Thespakusatsu Gunma | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 26% |
| BTTS | 51% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 62% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gainare Tottori | Thespakusatsu Gunma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 48% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 51% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 34% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Gainare Tottori (H)L
FC Gifu0–1
FC Gifu0–1D
Tokyo Verdy0–0
Tokyo Verdy0–0W
V-varen Nagasaki2–0
V-varen Nagasaki2–0L
Nara Club2–3
Nara Club2–3L
Renofa Yamaguchi0–3
Renofa Yamaguchi0–3W
Omiya Ardija3–1
Omiya Ardija3–1Thespakusatsu Gunma (A)L
Ehime FC1–3
Ehime FC1–3LRenofa Yamaguchi0–2
Renofa Yamaguchi0–2W
Parceiro Nagano2–1
Parceiro Nagano2–1LTokyo Verdy1–4
Tokyo Verdy1–4W
Tohoku Gakuin University3–1
Tohoku Gakuin University3–1L
Kagoshima United0–1
Kagoshima United0–1Head to Head · 11 matches
5
Gainare Tottori
45%
3
Draws
27%
3
Thespakusatsu Gunma
27%
82%
Over 1.5
9/11
55%
Over 2.5
6/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
55%
BTTS
6/11
20/09/25Thespakusatsu Gunma
Gainare Tottori
3–1Thespakusatsu Gunma16/03/25Gainare Tottori
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2–0Gainare Tottori20/10/19Thespakusatsu Gunma
Gainare Tottori
1–0Thespakusatsu Gunma09/06/19Gainare Tottori
Thespakusatsu Gunma
5–0Gainare Tottori11/11/18Gainare Tottori
Thespakusatsu Gunma
3–3Gainare Tottori28/07/18Thespakusatsu Gunma
Gainare Tottori
1–2Thespakusatsu Gunma10/11/13Thespakusatsu Gunma
Gainare Tottori
1–1Thespakusatsu Gunma10/03/13Gainare Tottori
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0–0Gainare Tottori30/09/12Thespakusatsu Gunma
Gainare Tottori
2–0Thespakusatsu Gunma09/09/12Thespakusatsu Gunma
Gainare Tottori
2–1Thespakusatsu Gunma24/06/12Gainare Tottori
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1–2Gainare Tottori| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 |  Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 7 | FC Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 16 |
| 8 |  Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Biwako Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Parceiro Nagano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 13 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 |  FC Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 |  Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 |  Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
Team Insights
Gainare Tottori- ●Gainare Tottori have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Gainare Tottori's points have been earned away.
Thespakusatsu Gunma- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●70% of Thespakusatsu Gunma's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Gainare TottoriLHFC Gifu0–1
FC Gifu0–1WAMatsumoto Yamaga1–0
Matsumoto Yamaga1–0LAKanazawa1–4
Kanazawa1–4LHNara Club2–3
Nara Club2–3WAKitakyushu4–2
Kitakyushu4–2LHRenofa Yamaguchi0–3
Renofa Yamaguchi0–3–HThespakusatsu Gunma17/10
Thespakusatsu Gunma17/10–ARoasso Kumamoto21/10
Roasso Kumamoto21/10–HKochi United25/10
Kochi United25/10Thespakusatsu GunmaWHFC Ryukyu2–1
FC Ryukyu2–1LAEhime FC1–3
Ehime FC1–3LHRoasso Kumamoto0–1
Roasso Kumamoto0–1WHKochi United1–0
Kochi United1–0LARenofa Yamaguchi0–2
Renofa Yamaguchi0–2LHFukushima United1–3
Fukushima United1–3–AGainare Tottori17/10
Gainare Tottori17/10–AMatsumoto Yamaga21/10
Matsumoto Yamaga21/10–HKamatamare Sanuki24/10
Kamatamare Sanuki24/10Top Scorers
Gainare TottoriD. Shinoda8 ⚽
6 ⚽
S. Yamamoto6 ⚽
N. Miki6 ⚽
K. Hoshi4 ⚽
S. Yajima4 ⚽
Thespakusatsu GunmaT. Nakashima9 ⚽
M. Hyakuda6 ⚽
S. Izuma3 ⚽
Y. Nishimura3 ⚽
R. Ohata2 ⚽
H. Konishi2 ⚽
Cards Given
Gainare TottoriM. Lorenz5 🟨
S. Jong5 🟨
S. Nikaido4 🟨
M. Kaneura3 🟨
K. Hombo3 🟨
A. Tojo3 🟨
Thespakusatsu GunmaS. Nose4 🟨
R. Fujimura4 🟨
T. Tamashiro3 🟨
T. Nakashima3 🟨
K. Kikuchi2 🟨
H. Konishi2 🟨