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Kitakyushu vs Osaka — J3 League

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Japan · J3 League · Regular Season - 11
Kitakyushu
Kitakyushu
20º · 0.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 26d 21h
vs
–
–
Osaka
Osaka
3º · 1.86 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 19h
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Kitakyushu and Osaka meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Kitakyushu have recorded 8 wins from 33 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.15 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Osaka have won 26% of their 31 matches, with 1.26 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 29%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for Kitakyushu and 1.24 for Osaka. The models give Kitakyushu a 32% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Osaka win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

Kitakyushu
—
Osaka
20º
Position
3º
0.50
PPG
1.86
0%
Win %
43%
1.17
Goals / game
1.86
2.33
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
52%
15%
Clean sheet %
29%
64%
Over 2.5 %
45%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Kitakyushu
Home (3)
—
Osaka
Away (3)
0.67
PPG
1.00
0%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
0.33
1.67
Conceded / game
0.33
71%
BTTS %
44%
21%
Clean sheet %
38%
64%
Over 2.5 %
31%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

KitakyushuHomeAwayOsakaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored79%86%74%61%73%50%
Over 1.5 Scored33%29%37%39%53%25%
Over 2.5 Scored3%0%5%16%20%13%
Failed To Score21%14%26%39%27%50%

Goals Conceded

KitakyushuHomeAwayOsakaHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded85%79%89%71%80%63%
Over 1.5 Conceded58%57%58%32%40%25%
Over 2.5 Conceded30%29%32%3%0%6%
Clean Sheets15%21%11%29%20%38%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

KitakyushuOsaka
Over 0.597%81%
Over 1.579%61%
Over 2.564%45%
Over 3.533%29%
Over 4.521%13%
BTTS67%52%
BTTS & Win12%16%
BTTS & Draw15%23%
BTTS & Over 2.558%42%
BTTS No & Over 2.56%3%

1st Half / 2nd Half

KitakyushuOsaka
Win 1st Half13%17%
Draw 1st Half40%57%
Loss 1st Half47%27%
Scored 1st Half37%33%
Conceded 1st Half60%43%
Win 2nd Half27%30%
Draw 2nd Half40%53%
Loss 2nd Half33%17%
Scored 2nd Half57%57%
Conceded 2nd Half57%50%
Over 0.5 HT67%60%
Over 1.5 HT37%23%

Recent Venue Form

Kitakyushu (H)
LGainare Tottori2–4
WIwaki1–0
DMatsumoto Yamaga1–1
LOkinawa SV1–2
DKamatamare Sanuki0–0
LKagoshima United1–5
Osaka (A)
DMatsumoto Yamaga0–0
DRenofa Yamaguchi0–0
LShimizu S-pulse1–2
WNara Club4–1
DGainare Tottori1–1
LAvispa Fukuoka2–3

Head to Head · 6 matches

2
Kitakyushu
33%
3
Draws
50%
1
Osaka
17%
33%
Over 1.5
2/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
17%
Over 3.5
1/6
17%
BTTS
1/6
19/09/25
Osaka
0–3
Kitakyushu
05/04/25
Kitakyushu
1–0
Osaka
19/10/24
Osaka
3–2
Kitakyushu
20/03/24
Kitakyushu
0–0
Osaka
24/09/23
Osaka
0–0
Kitakyushu
16/07/23
Kitakyushu
0–0
Osaka
J3 League
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Kagoshima United7610+819
2Ehime FC7511+1016
3Osaka7340+613
4Sagamihara6321+511
5Nara Club7322-111
6FC Gifu6312+1110
7FC Ryukyu6312+310
8Renofa Yamaguchi6312+310
9Roasso Kumamoto7241+210
10Gainare Tottori7313-410
11Biwako Shiga630309
12Tochigi SC7232-29
13Parceiro Nagano6222-18
14Kanazawa6213-17
15Thespakusatsu Gunma7205-76
16Matsumoto Yamaga7052-35
17Kochi United7124-115
18Fukushima United7115-54
19Kamatamare Sanuki7115-64
20Kitakyushu6033-73

Team Insights

Kitakyushu
  • ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●67% of Kitakyushu's goals have been scored away.
  • ●67% of Kitakyushu's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●67% of Kitakyushu's points have been earned away.
Osaka
  • ●Osaka have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Osaka have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Osaka have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Osaka have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Osaka have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
  • ●92% of Osaka's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●77% of Osaka's points have been earned at home.
KitakyushuKitakyushu
WASagamihara4º2–1
LHGainare Tottori10º2–4
LAFC Ryukyu7º0–3
LAEhime FC2º2–4
WHIwaki1–0
DHMatsumoto Yamaga16º1–1
DATochigi SC12º2–2
LHOkinawa SV1–2
DHKamatamare Sanuki19º0–0
LAYokohama FC2–3
OsakaOsaka
WHFukushima United18º4–1
WHEhime FC2º2–1
DAMatsumoto Yamaga16º0–0
WHVentforet Kofu3–0
DARenofa Yamaguchi8º0–0
LAShimizu S-pulse1–2
DHFC Ryukyu7º2–2
WANara Club4–1
WHParceiro Nagano13º4–2
DAGainare Tottori10º1–1

Season Schedule

Kitakyushu
WASagamihara2–1
LHGainare Tottori2–4
LAFC Ryukyu0–3
LAEhime FC2–4
DHMatsumoto Yamaga1–1
DATochigi SC2–2
–HKagoshima United26/09
–HKochi United03/10
–ANara Club10/10
Osaka
WHFukushima United4–1
WHEhime FC2–1
DAMatsumoto Yamaga0–0
DARenofa Yamaguchi0–0
DHFC Ryukyu2–2
WHParceiro Nagano4–2
–AKochi United26/09
–ASagamihara03/10
–HKanazawa09/10

Top Scorers

Kitakyushu
S. Watanabe3 ⚽
D. Takahashi3 ⚽
R. Tsubogo2 ⚽
F. Yoshihara2 ⚽
H. Izawa2 ⚽
M. Yoshinaga2 ⚽
Osaka
T. Shimada5 ⚽
R. Sugawara4 ⚽
T. Kitsui4 ⚽
R. Kubo3 ⚽
S. Tachino3 ⚽
Vinicius Souza3 ⚽

Cards Given

Kitakyushu
D. Takahashi5 🟨
R. Okano5 🟨
S. Hiramatsu4 🟨
K. Fukumori4 🟨
H. Izawa3 🟨
M. Yoshinaga3 🟨
Osaka
R. Kubo4 🟨
T. Kitsui3 🟨
S. Tachino3 🟨
S. Sumida2 🟨
R. Yamashita2 🟨
R. Sugawara2 🟨