FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC — J3 League
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FC Ryukyu and Tochigi SC meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 17 October 2026. FC Ryukyu have recorded 7 wins from 30 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Tochigi SC have won 28% of their 29 matches, with 1.28 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for FC Ryukyu and 1.07 for Tochigi SC. The models give FC Ryukyu a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Tochigi SC win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| FC Ryukyu | Home | Away | Tochigi SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 60% | 67% | 66% | 69% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 33% | 27% | 34% | 50% | 15% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 13% | 7% | 17% | 25% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 40% | 33% | 34% | 31% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Ryukyu | Home | Away | Tochigi SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 73% | 87% | 76% | 69% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 47% | 53% | 48% | 44% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 27% | 13% | 14% | 6% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 27% | 13% | 24% | 31% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Ryukyu | Tochigi SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 34% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS | 53% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Ryukyu | Tochigi SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 7% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 52% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 14 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 16 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 10 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 10 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +2 | 7 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -10 | 5 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 4 | |
| 17 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 4 | |
| 19 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7 | 3 | |
| 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●FC Ryukyu have won their last 2 matches.
- ●FC Ryukyu have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●FC Ryukyu have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●FC Ryukyu have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●FC Ryukyu have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●67% of FC Ryukyu's goals have been scored at home.
- ●90% of FC Ryukyu's points have been earned at home.
- ●Tochigi SC have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●78% of Tochigi SC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Tochigi SC's points have been earned at home.
- ●Tochigi SC have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.