Fukushima United vs Kitakyushu — J3 League
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Fukushima United and Kitakyushu meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 21 October 2026. Fukushima United have recorded 9 wins from 34 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 2.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 74% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Kitakyushu have won 24% of their 37 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.84 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.94 for Fukushima United and 1.59 for Kitakyushu. The models give Fukushima United a 46% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Kitakyushu win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Fukushima United—
Kitakyushu18º
Position
16º
0.80
PPG
1.00
20%
Win %
20%
2.00
Goals / game
1.20
2.50
Conceded / game
1.80
74%
BTTS %
65%
12%
Clean sheet %
16%
79%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Fukushima United
Home (5)
—
Kitakyushu
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
0.80
20%
Win %
20%
2.00
Goals / game
1.20
2.20
Conceded / game
2.40
78%
BTTS %
60%
6%
Clean sheet %
10%
89%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Fukushima United | Home | Away | Kitakyushu | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 83% | 81% | 78% | 88% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 38% | 32% | 29% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 3% | 0% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 17% | 19% | 22% | 12% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Fukushima United | Home | Away | Kitakyushu | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 94% | 81% | 84% | 76% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 71% | 83% | 56% | 57% | 53% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 41% | 39% | 44% | 30% | 29% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 6% | 19% | 16% | 24% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fukushima United | Kitakyushu | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 59% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 41% | 19% |
| BTTS | 74% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 68% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fukushima United | Kitakyushu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 12% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 35% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 32% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Fukushima United (H)D
Biwako Shiga2–2
Biwako Shiga2–2L
Mito Hollyhock0–7
Mito Hollyhock0–7W
Parceiro Nagano4–3
Parceiro Nagano4–3L
Roasso Kumamoto1–2
Roasso Kumamoto1–2W
Vegalta Sendai4–3
Vegalta Sendai4–3D
Nara Club2–2
Nara Club2–2Kitakyushu (A)LNara Club0–2
Nara Club0–2W
Sagamihara2–1
Sagamihara2–1L
FC Ryukyu0–3
FC Ryukyu0–3L
Ehime FC2–4
Ehime FC2–4D
Tochigi SC2–2
Tochigi SC2–2L
Yokohama FC2–3
Yokohama FC2–3Head to Head · 14 matches
6
Fukushima United
43%
4
Draws
29%
4
Kitakyushu
29%
71%
Over 1.5
10/14
50%
Over 2.5
7/14
7%
Over 3.5
1/14
57%
BTTS
8/14
09/11/25Fukushima United
Kitakyushu
1–2Fukushima United12/04/25Kitakyushu
Fukushima United
1–0Kitakyushu31/08/24Kitakyushu
Fukushima United
1–0Kitakyushu29/06/24Fukushima United
Kitakyushu
2–1Fukushima United26/11/23Fukushima United
Kitakyushu
1–2Fukushima United22/07/23Kitakyushu
Fukushima United
1–1Kitakyushu25/09/22Kitakyushu
Fukushima United
2–1Kitakyushu12/06/22Fukushima United
Kitakyushu
1–1Fukushima United15/09/19Kitakyushu
Fukushima United
1–2Kitakyushu16/06/19Fukushima United
Kitakyushu
2–0Fukushima United02/12/18Fukushima United
Kitakyushu
0–0Fukushima United24/06/18Kitakyushu
Fukushima United
2–2Kitakyushu09/09/17Fukushima United
Kitakyushu
0–1Fukushima United18/06/17Kitakyushu
Fukushima United
0–3Kitakyushu| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 |
| 3 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 | Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 |  Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 7 |  FC Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 16 |
| 8 |  Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 | Roasso Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | Biwako Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Parceiro Nagano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 13 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | FC Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 |  Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
Team Insights
Fukushima United- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Fukushima United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Kitakyushu- ●Kitakyushu have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Kitakyushu's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Fukushima UnitedDHBiwako Shiga2–2
Biwako Shiga2–2LAKagoshima United2–3
Kagoshima United2–3WHParceiro Nagano4–3
Parceiro Nagano4–3LAOsaka1–4
Osaka1–4LHRoasso Kumamoto1–2
Roasso Kumamoto1–2WAThespakusatsu Gunma3–1
Thespakusatsu Gunma3–1–AFC Gifu17/10
FC Gifu17/10–HKitakyushu21/10
Kitakyushu21/10–AEhime FC25/10
Ehime FC25/10KitakyushuLANara Club0–2
Nara Club0–2WHKochi United2–0
Kochi United2–0DHKagoshima United1–1
Kagoshima United1–1WASagamihara2–1
Sagamihara2–1LHGainare Tottori2–4
Gainare Tottori2–4LAFC Ryukyu0–3
FC Ryukyu0–3–HOsaka17/10
Osaka17/10–AFukushima United21/10
Fukushima United21/10–HParceiro Nagano25/10
Parceiro Nagano25/10Top Scorers
Fukushima UnitedY. Okada16 ⚽
K. Shimizu10 ⚽
U. Uehata4 ⚽
K. Ashibe4 ⚽
H. Higuchi3 ⚽
K. Kano2 ⚽
KitakyushuS. Watanabe3 ⚽
S. Yasumitsu3 ⚽
D. Takahashi3 ⚽
S. Koh3 ⚽
K. Yoshida2 ⚽
H. Izawa2 ⚽
Cards Given
Fukushima UnitedK. Shimizu5 🟨
K. Ashibe4 🟨
T. Nakamura3 🟨
T. Anzai3 🟨
Jung Sung-Ryong2 🟨
T. Fujitani2 🟨
KitakyushuR. Okano6 🟨
K. Fukumori5 🟨
D. Takahashi5 🟨
S. Hiramatsu4 🟨
H. Izawa3 🟨
M. Yoshinaga3 🟨