Roasso Kumamoto vs Gainare Tottori — J3 League
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Egao Kenko Stadium·Kumamoto·Japan·30,504
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Roasso Kumamoto and Gainare Tottori meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 21 October 2026. Roasso Kumamoto have recorded 14 wins from 37 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 35% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 32%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Gainare Tottori have won 39% of their 36 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.29 for Gainare Tottori. The models give Roasso Kumamoto a 40% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Gainare Tottori win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Roasso Kumamoto—
Gainare Tottori9º
Position
12º
1.40
PPG
1.30
30%
Win %
40%
0.70
Goals / game
1.20
0.60
Conceded / game
1.90
35%
BTTS %
53%
35%
Clean sheet %
25%
32%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Roasso Kumamoto
Home (5)
—
Gainare Tottori
Away (5)
0.60
PPG
1.80
0%
Win %
60%
0.40
Goals / game
1.40
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
29%
BTTS %
59%
24%
Clean sheet %
24%
35%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Roasso Kumamoto | Home | Away | Gainare Tottori | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 59% | 41% | 75% | 64% | 53% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 35% | 30% | 39% | 42% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 12% | 0% | 25% | 16% | 35% |
| Failed To Score | 41% | 59% | 25% | 36% | 47% | 24% |
Goals Conceded
| Roasso Kumamoto | Home | Away | Gainare Tottori | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 76% | 55% | 75% | 74% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 29% | 20% | 39% | 37% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 12% | 10% | 22% | 16% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 24% | 45% | 25% | 26% | 24% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Roasso Kumamoto | Gainare Tottori | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 59% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 32% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 17% |
| BTTS | 35% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Roasso Kumamoto | Gainare Tottori | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 23% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 34% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 49% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 49% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Roasso Kumamoto (H)L
Ehime FC0–2
Ehime FC0–2L
Kawasaki Frontale0–1
Kawasaki Frontale0–1D
Matsumoto Yamaga0–0
Matsumoto Yamaga0–0D
Nara Club2–2
Nara Club2–2W
Oita Trinita2–0
Oita Trinita2–0L
Parceiro Nagano0–1
Parceiro Nagano0–1Gainare Tottori (A)WMatsumoto Yamaga1–0
Matsumoto Yamaga1–0L
Kanazawa1–4
Kanazawa1–4W
Kitakyushu4–2
Kitakyushu4–2W
Biwako Shiga1–0
Biwako Shiga1–0W
Nagoya Grampus3–1
Nagoya Grampus3–1LEhime FC0–4
Ehime FC0–4Head to Head · 14 matches
6
Roasso Kumamoto
43%
4
Draws
29%
4
Gainare Tottori
29%
71%
Over 1.5
10/14
50%
Over 2.5
7/14
21%
Over 3.5
3/14
64%
BTTS
9/14
19/08/26Roasso Kumamoto
Gainare Tottori
2–2Roasso Kumamoto25/04/26Roasso Kumamoto
Gainare Tottori
0–2Roasso Kumamoto15/03/26Gainare Tottori
Roasso Kumamoto
0–1Gainare Tottori28/08/21Roasso Kumamoto
Gainare Tottori
1–2Roasso Kumamoto20/06/21Gainare Tottori
Roasso Kumamoto
1–1Gainare Tottori20/12/20Roasso Kumamoto
Gainare Tottori
2–1Roasso Kumamoto29/07/20Gainare Tottori
Roasso Kumamoto
1–1Gainare Tottori27/07/19Roasso Kumamoto
Gainare Tottori
3–1Roasso Kumamoto19/05/19Gainare Tottori
Roasso Kumamoto
3–2Gainare Tottori09/09/15Gainare Tottori
Roasso Kumamoto
1–0Gainare Tottori04/08/13Roasso Kumamoto
Gainare Tottori
0–0Roasso Kumamoto03/03/13Gainare Tottori
Roasso Kumamoto
1–2Gainare Tottori28/10/12Roasso Kumamoto
Gainare Tottori
0–1Roasso Kumamoto11/03/12Gainare Tottori
Roasso Kumamoto
2–1Gainare Tottori| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 |
| 3 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 |  Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 7 |  FC Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 16 |
| 8 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 | Roasso Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | Biwako Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Parceiro Nagano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 |  FC Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 |  Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 |  Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
Team Insights
Roasso Kumamoto- ●Roasso Kumamoto have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●79% of Roasso Kumamoto's points have been earned away.
Gainare Tottori- ●Gainare Tottori have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Gainare Tottori have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Gainare Tottori's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Roasso KumamotoLHEhime FC0–2
Ehime FC0–2DABiwako Shiga0–0
Biwako Shiga0–0WAThespakusatsu Gunma1–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma1–0DHMatsumoto Yamaga0–0
Matsumoto Yamaga0–0WAFukushima United2–1
Fukushima United2–1DHNara Club2–2
Nara Club2–2–AKamatamare Sanuki18/10
Kamatamare Sanuki18/10–HGainare Tottori21/10
Gainare Tottori21/10–HFC Gifu25/10
FC Gifu25/10Gainare TottoriLHFC Gifu0–1
FC Gifu0–1WAMatsumoto Yamaga1–0
Matsumoto Yamaga1–0LAKanazawa1–4
Kanazawa1–4LHNara Club2–3
Nara Club2–3WAKitakyushu4–2
Kitakyushu4–2LHRenofa Yamaguchi0–3
Renofa Yamaguchi0–3–HThespakusatsu Gunma17/10
Thespakusatsu Gunma17/10–ARoasso Kumamoto21/10
Roasso Kumamoto21/10–HKochi United25/10
Kochi United25/10Top Scorers
Roasso KumamotoY. Katori6 ⚽
5 ⚽
Bae Jeong-Min5 ⚽
Y. Omoto3 ⚽
A. Iihoshi3 ⚽
W. Iwashita2 ⚽
Gainare TottoriD. Shinoda8 ⚽
S. Yamamoto6 ⚽
6 ⚽
N. Miki6 ⚽
S. Yajima4 ⚽
K. Hoshi4 ⚽
Cards Given
Roasso KumamotoK. Nasu6 🟨
T. Ri4 🟨
Y. Omoto3 🟨
O. Ishihara3 🟨
W. Iwashita3 🟨
K. Fujii2 🟨
Gainare TottoriS. Jong5 🟨
M. Lorenz5 🟨
M. Kaneura4 🟨
S. Nikaido4 🟨
K. Hombo3 🟨
A. Tojo3 🟨