Kitakyushu vs Parceiro Nagano — J3 League
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Kitakyushu and Parceiro Nagano meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Kitakyushu have recorded 9 wins from 37 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.84 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Parceiro Nagano have won 24% of their 34 matches, with 0.94 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Kitakyushu and 1.47 for Parceiro Nagano. The models give Kitakyushu a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Parceiro Nagano win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Kitakyushu—
Parceiro Nagano16º
Position
11º
1.00
PPG
1.40
20%
Win %
40%
1.20
Goals / game
1.40
1.80
Conceded / game
1.40
65%
BTTS %
50%
16%
Clean sheet %
32%
59%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Kitakyushu
Home (5)
—
Parceiro Nagano
Away (5)
1.20
PPG
1.40
20%
Win %
40%
1.20
Goals / game
2.00
1.20
Conceded / game
2.00
71%
BTTS %
41%
24%
Clean sheet %
35%
59%
Over 2.5 %
41%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Kitakyushu | Home | Away | Parceiro Nagano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 88% | 70% | 65% | 71% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 29% | 35% | 24% | 12% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 3% | 0% | 5% | 6% | 0% | 12% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 12% | 30% | 35% | 29% | 41% |
Goals Conceded
| Kitakyushu | Home | Away | Parceiro Nagano | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 76% | 90% | 68% | 71% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 53% | 60% | 41% | 41% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 29% | 30% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 24% | 10% | 32% | 29% | 35% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kitakyushu | Parceiro Nagano | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 21% |
| BTTS | 65% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kitakyushu | Parceiro Nagano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 12% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 47% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 32% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Kitakyushu (H)W
Kochi United2–0
Kochi United2–0L
Nagoya Grampus1–3
Nagoya Grampus1–3D
Kagoshima United1–1
Kagoshima United1–1L
Gainare Tottori2–4
Gainare Tottori2–4W
Iwaki1–0
Iwaki1–0D
Matsumoto Yamaga1–1
Matsumoto Yamaga1–1Parceiro Nagano (A)WKochi United3–1
Kochi United3–1L
Fukushima United3–4
Fukushima United3–4D
Sagamihara1–1
Sagamihara1–1L
FC Tokyo0–6
FC Tokyo0–6W
Roasso Kumamoto1–0
Roasso Kumamoto1–0L
Osaka2–4
Osaka2–4Head to Head · 15 matches
2
Kitakyushu
13%
8
Draws
53%
5
Parceiro Nagano
33%
80%
Over 1.5
12/15
33%
Over 2.5
5/15
20%
Over 3.5
3/15
67%
BTTS
10/15
30/08/25Kitakyushu
Parceiro Nagano
1–1Kitakyushu22/02/25Parceiro Nagano
Kitakyushu
2–0Parceiro Nagano16/11/24Parceiro Nagano
Kitakyushu
1–1Parceiro Nagano27/04/24Kitakyushu
Parceiro Nagano
3–2Kitakyushu19/11/23Kitakyushu
Parceiro Nagano
2–2Kitakyushu24/06/23Parceiro Nagano
Kitakyushu
1–1Parceiro Nagano28/08/22Kitakyushu
Parceiro Nagano
1–0Kitakyushu13/03/22Parceiro Nagano
Kitakyushu
0–2Parceiro Nagano04/08/19Kitakyushu
Parceiro Nagano
2–1Kitakyushu06/07/19Parceiro Nagano
Kitakyushu
2–2Parceiro Nagano25/08/18Parceiro Nagano
Kitakyushu
1–0Parceiro Nagano01/04/18Kitakyushu
Parceiro Nagano
1–1Kitakyushu03/12/17Kitakyushu
Parceiro Nagano
1–1Kitakyushu25/06/17Parceiro Nagano
Kitakyushu
1–2Parceiro Nagano13/10/13Kitakyushu
Parceiro Nagano
0–0Kitakyushu| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ehime FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 |
| 3 |  Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 | Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 7 |  FC Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 16 |
| 8 |  Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 | Roasso Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Biwako Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Parceiro Nagano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 |  FC Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 |  Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
Team Insights
Kitakyushu- ●Kitakyushu have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Kitakyushu's goals conceded were conceded away.
Parceiro Nagano- ●Parceiro Nagano have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Parceiro Nagano failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Parceiro Nagano have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●71% of Parceiro Nagano's goals have been scored away.
- ●71% of Parceiro Nagano's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
KitakyushuLANara Club0–2
Nara Club0–2WHKochi United2–0
Kochi United2–0DHKagoshima United1–1
Kagoshima United1–1WASagamihara2–1
Sagamihara2–1LHGainare Tottori2–4
Gainare Tottori2–4LAFC Ryukyu0–3
FC Ryukyu0–3–HOsaka17/10
Osaka17/10–AFukushima United21/10
Fukushima United21/10–HParceiro Nagano25/10
Parceiro Nagano25/10Parceiro NaganoWAKochi United3–1
Kochi United3–1LHNara Club0–1
Nara Club0–1LAFukushima United3–4
Fukushima United3–4WHFC Gifu1–0
FC Gifu1–0DHTochigi SC1–1
Tochigi SC1–1DASagamihara1–1
Sagamihara1–1–HMatsumoto Yamaga18/10
Matsumoto Yamaga18/10–HFC Ryukyu21/10
FC Ryukyu21/10–AKitakyushu25/10
Kitakyushu25/10Top Scorers
KitakyushuS. Watanabe3 ⚽
S. Yasumitsu3 ⚽
D. Takahashi3 ⚽
S. Koh3 ⚽
K. Yoshida2 ⚽
H. Izawa2 ⚽
Parceiro NaganoS. Yoshizawa5 ⚽
K. Fujikawa5 ⚽
K. Nojima5 ⚽
T. Kondo3 ⚽
E. Gyotoku3 ⚽
K. Yoshida2 ⚽
Cards Given
KitakyushuR. Okano6 🟨
K. Fukumori5 🟨
D. Takahashi5 🟨
S. Hiramatsu4 🟨
H. Izawa3 🟨
M. Yoshinaga3 🟨
Parceiro NaganoH. Hasegawa4 🟨
Y. Hasegawa4 🟨
Z. Watanabe3 🟨
K. Fujikawa3 🟨
Y. Ono3 🟨
K. Makino2 🟨