Osaka vs Kagoshima United — J3 League
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Osaka and Kagoshima United meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Osaka have recorded 9 wins from 35 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Kagoshima United have won 54% of their 35 matches, with 1.46 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 49%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Osaka and 1.51 for Kagoshima United. The models give Osaka a 41% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Kagoshima United win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Osaka | Home | Away | Kagoshima United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 76% | 50% | 71% | 76% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 47% | 28% | 40% | 47% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 18% | 17% | 23% | 24% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 24% | 50% | 29% | 24% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Osaka | Home | Away | Kagoshima United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 82% | 61% | 69% | 76% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 41% | 22% | 14% | 12% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 3% | 0% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 18% | 39% | 31% | 24% | 39% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Osaka | Kagoshima United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS | 51% | 49% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Osaka | Kagoshima United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 59% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 32% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 26% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 6 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 | |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 20 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 17 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 16 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 13 | |
| 13 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 | |
| 17 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 9 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 | |
| 19 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 5 | |
| 20 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Osaka have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Osaka have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Osaka have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●72% of Osaka's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Osaka's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Kagoshima United have won 3 of their 5 away matches.