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Osaka vs Kagoshima United — J3 League

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Osaka
Osaka
6º · 1.70 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 19h
vs
–
–
Kagoshima United
Kagoshima United
2º · 2.30 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 13d 1h
Hanazono Rugby Stadium·Higashiosaka·Japan·26,544
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Osaka and Kagoshima United meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Osaka have recorded 9 wins from 35 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Kagoshima United have won 54% of their 35 matches, with 1.46 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 49%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 31%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Osaka and 1.51 for Kagoshima United. The models give Osaka a 41% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Kagoshima United win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.

Season Statistics

Osaka
—
Kagoshima United
6º
Position
2º
1.70
PPG
2.30
40%
Win %
70%
1.80
Goals / game
1.90
0.90
Conceded / game
1.10
51%
BTTS %
49%
29%
Clean sheet %
31%
46%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Osaka
Home (5)
—
Kagoshima United
Away (5)
2.20
PPG
2.00
60%
Win %
60%
2.60
Goals / game
2.00
1.40
Conceded / game
1.40
65%
BTTS %
39%
18%
Clean sheet %
39%
59%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

OsakaHomeAwayKagoshima UnitedHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored63%76%50%71%76%67%
Over 1.5 Scored37%47%28%40%47%33%
Over 2.5 Scored17%18%17%23%24%22%
Failed To Score37%24%50%29%24%33%

Goals Conceded

OsakaHomeAwayKagoshima UnitedHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded71%82%61%69%76%61%
Over 1.5 Conceded31%41%22%14%12%17%
Over 2.5 Conceded3%0%6%6%6%6%
Clean Sheets29%18%39%31%24%39%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

OsakaKagoshima United
Over 0.583%91%
Over 1.563%57%
Over 2.546%40%
Over 3.529%26%
Over 4.511%11%
BTTS51%49%
BTTS & Win14%31%
BTTS & Draw23%11%
BTTS & Over 2.540%37%
BTTS No & Over 2.56%3%

1st Half / 2nd Half

OsakaKagoshima United
Win 1st Half18%35%
Draw 1st Half59%56%
Loss 1st Half24%9%
Scored 1st Half32%50%
Conceded 1st Half38%26%
Win 2nd Half29%35%
Draw 2nd Half50%32%
Loss 2nd Half21%32%
Scored 2nd Half59%50%
Conceded 2nd Half53%53%
Over 0.5 HT56%56%
Over 1.5 HT21%32%

Recent Venue Form

Osaka (H)
DKanazawa1–1
LAvispa Fukuoka1–2
WFukushima United4–1
WEhime FC2–1
WVentforet Kofu3–0
DFC Ryukyu2–2
Kagoshima United (A)
LMatsumoto Yamaga0–1
LCerezo Osaka0–2
DKitakyushu1–1
WBiwako Shiga2–1
WKamatamare Sanuki4–3
WAlbirex Niigata4–0

Head to Head · 6 matches

1
Osaka
17%
0
Draws
0%
5
Kagoshima United
83%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
17%
Over 3.5
1/6
50%
BTTS
3/6
21/07/25
Kagoshima United
2–1
Osaka
31/05/25
Osaka
3–0
Kagoshima United
05/10/23
Osaka
2–3
Kagoshima United
04/03/23
Kagoshima United
2–1
Osaka
13/09/15
Kagoshima United
2–0
Osaka
07/06/15
Osaka
0–1
Kagoshima United
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Ehime FC10721+1423
2Kagoshima United10721+823
3Renofa Yamaguchi10622+720
4Nara Club10622+520
5Sagamihara10532+618
6Osaka10451+917
7FC Gifu10514+1016
8Kanazawa10424+314
9Roasso Kumamoto10352+114
10Biwako Shiga10424014
11Parceiro Nagano10424014
12Gainare Tottori10415-713
13Matsumoto Yamaga10253-211
14FC Ryukyu10325-311
15Tochigi SC10244-410
16Kitakyushu10244-610
17Thespakusatsu Gunma10307-99
18Fukushima United10226-58
19Kamatamare Sanuki10127-85
20Kochi United10127-195

Team Insights

Osaka
  • ●Osaka have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Osaka have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Osaka have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●72% of Osaka's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●78% of Osaka's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Kagoshima United
  • ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Kagoshima United have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Kagoshima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Kagoshima United have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
DHKanazawa8º1–1
LASagamihara5º0–1
WAKochi United20º4–0
WHFukushima United18º4–1
WHEhime FC1º2–1
DAMatsumoto Yamaga13º0–0

Season Schedule

Osaka
DHKanazawa1–1
LASagamihara0–1
WAKochi United4–0
WHFukushima United4–1
WHEhime FC2–1
DAMatsumoto Yamaga0–0
–AKitakyushu17/10
–HNara Club21/10
–HKagoshima United24/10
Kagoshima United
LAMatsumoto Yamaga0–1
WHFukushima United3–2
DAKitakyushu1–1
WHTochigi SC3–1
WABiwako Shiga2–1
WHFC Ryukyu2–1
–HEhime FC17/10
–HKochi United21/10
–AOsaka24/10

Top Scorers

Osaka
T. Shimada5 ⚽
S. Sumida4 ⚽
S. Tachino4 ⚽
R. Sugawara4 ⚽
T. Kitsui4 ⚽
R. Kubo3 ⚽
Kagoshima United
R. Arita9 ⚽
K. Kawamura6 ⚽
R. Saga6 ⚽
K. Yoshio3 ⚽
A. Takahashi3 ⚽
M. Fukuda3 ⚽

Cards Given

Osaka
T. Kitsui4 🟨
R. Kubo4 🟨
Vinicius Souza3 🟨
S. Sumida3 🟨
S. Tachino3 🟨
Y. Minakuchi3 🟨
Kagoshima United
S. Inaba4 🟨
R. Saga3 🟨
G. Egawa3 🟨
K. Fujimura3 🟨
K. Kawamura3 🟨
Y. Aoki3 🟨