Sagamihara vs Tochigi SC — J3 League
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Sagamihara and Tochigi SC meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Sagamihara have recorded 14 wins from 31 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 1.81 goals scored and 1.65 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Tochigi SC have won 24% of their 33 matches, with 1.18 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Sagamihara and 1.06 for Tochigi SC. The models give Sagamihara a 48% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Tochigi SC win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sagamihara | Home | Away | Tochigi SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 83% | 85% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 44% | 62% | 30% | 44% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 28% | 31% | 15% | 22% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 17% | 15% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Sagamihara | Home | Away | Tochigi SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 67% | 77% | 76% | 72% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 39% | 62% | 48% | 44% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 26% | 22% | 31% | 15% | 6% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 33% | 23% | 24% | 28% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sagamihara | Tochigi SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 12% |
| BTTS | 61% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sagamihara | Tochigi SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 48% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 10 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 | |
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 20 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 17 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 16 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 13 | |
| 13 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 | |
| 17 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 9 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 | |
| 19 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 5 | |
| 20 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Sagamihara have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Sagamihara have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Sagamihara have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Sagamihara have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sagamihara have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sagamihara failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Sagamihara have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Tochigi SC have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Tochigi SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●73% of Tochigi SC's goals have been scored at home.