Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kitakyushu — J3 League
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Ishin Me-Life Stadium·Yamaguchi·Japan·15,115
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Renofa Yamaguchi and Kitakyushu meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Renofa Yamaguchi have recorded 14 wins from 32 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.34 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Kitakyushu have won 24% of their 37 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.84 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.09 for Kitakyushu. The models give Renofa Yamaguchi a 54% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Kitakyushu win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Renofa Yamaguchi—
Kitakyushu3º
Position
16º
2.00
PPG
1.00
60%
Win %
20%
1.40
Goals / game
1.20
0.70
Conceded / game
1.80
53%
BTTS %
65%
28%
Clean sheet %
16%
50%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Renofa Yamaguchi
Home (4)
—
Kitakyushu
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
0.80
50%
Win %
20%
1.25
Goals / game
1.20
0.50
Conceded / game
2.40
36%
BTTS %
60%
43%
Clean sheet %
10%
29%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Home | Away | Kitakyushu | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 64% | 83% | 78% | 88% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 39% | 32% | 29% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 7% | 17% | 3% | 0% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 36% | 17% | 22% | 12% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Home | Away | Kitakyushu | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 57% | 83% | 84% | 76% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 14% | 44% | 57% | 53% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 17% | 30% | 29% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 43% | 17% | 16% | 24% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Kitakyushu | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 19% |
| BTTS | 53% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Renofa Yamaguchi | Kitakyushu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 12% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 32% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 34% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Renofa Yamaguchi (H)D
Sagamihara2–2
Sagamihara2–2W
Thespakusatsu Gunma2–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma2–0L
Fujieda MYFC0–2
Fujieda MYFC0–2D
Osaka0–0
Osaka0–0W
FC Ryukyu1–0
FC Ryukyu1–0D
Roasso Kumamoto1–1
Roasso Kumamoto1–1Kitakyushu (A)L
Nara Club0–2
Nara Club0–2WSagamihara2–1
Sagamihara2–1LFC Ryukyu0–3
FC Ryukyu0–3L
Ehime FC2–4
Ehime FC2–4D
Tochigi SC2–2
Tochigi SC2–2L
Yokohama FC2–3
Yokohama FC2–3Head to Head · 10 matches
5
Renofa Yamaguchi
50%
2
Draws
20%
3
Kitakyushu
30%
60%
Over 1.5
6/10
50%
Over 2.5
5/10
40%
Over 3.5
4/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
25/04/26Renofa Yamaguchi
Kitakyushu
2–2Renofa Yamaguchi22/03/26Kitakyushu
Renofa Yamaguchi
0–1Kitakyushu03/06/24Kitakyushu
Renofa Yamaguchi
2–1Kitakyushu25/02/24Kitakyushu
Renofa Yamaguchi
3–1Kitakyushu13/11/21Kitakyushu
Renofa Yamaguchi
0–1Kitakyushu21/04/21Renofa Yamaguchi
Kitakyushu
0–0Renofa Yamaguchi06/12/20Kitakyushu
Renofa Yamaguchi
4–1Kitakyushu25/07/20Renofa Yamaguchi
Kitakyushu
2–0Renofa Yamaguchi10/07/16Kitakyushu
Renofa Yamaguchi
5–1Kitakyushu06/03/16Renofa Yamaguchi
Kitakyushu
0–1Renofa Yamaguchi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 |  Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 | Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 7 |  FC Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 16 |
| 8 |  Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 | Roasso Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Biwako Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 |  Parceiro Nagano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 13 |  Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | FC Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 |  Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
Team Insights
Renofa Yamaguchi- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Renofa Yamaguchi's goals have been scored away.
- ●60% of Renofa Yamaguchi's points have been earned away.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Kitakyushu- ●Kitakyushu have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Kitakyushu failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Kitakyushu's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Renofa YamaguchiWATochigi SC1–0
Tochigi SC1–0WAFC Gifu2–0
FC Gifu2–0DHSagamihara2–2
Sagamihara2–2WAKanazawa2–1
Kanazawa2–1WHThespakusatsu Gunma2–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma2–0WAGainare Tottori3–0
Gainare Tottori3–0–HKochi United18/10
Kochi United18/10–AEhime FC21/10
Ehime FC21/10–AMatsumoto Yamaga25/10
Matsumoto Yamaga25/10KitakyushuLANara Club0–2
Nara Club0–2WHKochi United2–0
Kochi United2–0DHKagoshima United1–1
Kagoshima United1–1WASagamihara2–1
Sagamihara2–1LHGainare Tottori2–4
Gainare Tottori2–4LAFC Ryukyu0–3
FC Ryukyu0–3–HOsaka17/10
Osaka17/10–AFukushima United21/10
Fukushima United21/10–HParceiro Nagano25/10
Parceiro Nagano25/10Top Scorers
Renofa YamaguchiS. Yamamoto8 ⚽
D. Furukawa5 ⚽
S. Watanabe4 ⚽
K. Tanabe4 ⚽
K. Fujioka3 ⚽
S. Kobayashi3 ⚽
KitakyushuS. Watanabe3 ⚽
S. Yasumitsu3 ⚽
D. Takahashi3 ⚽
S. Koh3 ⚽
K. Yoshida2 ⚽
H. Izawa2 ⚽
Cards Given
Renofa YamaguchiY. Wakasa6 🟨
R. Ozawa5 🟨
K. Oiwa3 🟨
K. Nakashima3 🟨
T. Itakura3 🟨
K. Yoshioka2 🟨
KitakyushuR. Okano6 🟨
K. Fukumori5 🟨
D. Takahashi5 🟨
S. Hiramatsu4 🟨
H. Izawa3 🟨
M. Yoshinaga3 🟨