Tochigi SC vs Fukushima United — J3 League
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Tochigi SC and Fukushima United meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Tochigi SC have recorded 8 wins from 33 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Fukushima United have won 26% of their 34 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 2.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 74%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 12%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Tochigi SC and 1.51 for Fukushima United. The models give Tochigi SC a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Fukushima United win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Tochigi SC—
Fukushima United15º
Position
18º
1.00
PPG
0.80
20%
Win %
20%
1.10
Goals / game
2.00
1.50
Conceded / game
2.50
55%
BTTS %
74%
24%
Clean sheet %
12%
55%
Over 2.5 %
79%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tochigi SC
Home (5)
—
Fukushima United
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
0.60
40%
Win %
20%
1.60
Goals / game
2.00
1.40
Conceded / game
2.80
50%
BTTS %
69%
28%
Clean sheet %
19%
56%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tochigi SC | Home | Away | Fukushima United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 67% | 60% | 82% | 83% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 44% | 13% | 44% | 50% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 22% | 7% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 33% | 40% | 18% | 17% | 19% |
Goals Conceded
| Tochigi SC | Home | Away | Fukushima United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 72% | 80% | 88% | 94% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 44% | 53% | 71% | 83% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 6% | 27% | 41% | 39% | 44% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 28% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 19% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tochigi SC | Fukushima United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 41% |
| BTTS | 55% | 74% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 68% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tochigi SC | Fukushima United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Tochigi SC (H)L
Renofa Yamaguchi0–1
Renofa Yamaguchi0–1L
Matsumoto Yamaga1–2
Matsumoto Yamaga1–2L
Montedio Yamagata0–1
Montedio Yamagata0–1W
Kochi United2–0
Kochi United2–0D
Kitakyushu2–2
Kitakyushu2–2W
Urayasu2–0
Urayasu2–0Fukushima United (A)L
Kagoshima United2–3
Kagoshima United2–3L
Osaka1–4
Osaka1–4W
Thespakusatsu Gunma3–1
Thespakusatsu Gunma3–1L
Yokohama F. Marinos0–1
Yokohama F. Marinos0–1L
Gainare Tottori1–2
Gainare Tottori1–2L
Kanazawa3–4
Kanazawa3–4Head to Head · 6 matches
4
Tochigi SC
67%
1
Draws
17%
1
Fukushima United
17%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
67%
BTTS
4/6
12/10/25Fukushima United
Tochigi SC
1–0Fukushima United15/06/25Tochigi SC
Fukushima United
2–2Tochigi SC22/10/17Tochigi SC
Fukushima United
0–2Tochigi SC21/05/17Fukushima United
Tochigi SC
2–1Fukushima United16/10/16Fukushima United
Tochigi SC
3–1Fukushima United10/04/16Tochigi SC
Fukushima United
2–1Tochigi SC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ehime FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 7 |  FC Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +10 | 16 |
| 8 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 9 |  Roasso Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Biwako Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 |  Parceiro Nagano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 13 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 |  FC Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
Team Insights
Tochigi SC- ●Tochigi SC have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Tochigi SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●73% of Tochigi SC's goals have been scored at home.
Fukushima United- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Fukushima United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Fukushima United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Fukushima United have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Tochigi SCLHRenofa Yamaguchi0–1
Renofa Yamaguchi0–1DAKamatamare Sanuki0–0
Kamatamare Sanuki0–0LHMatsumoto Yamaga1–2
Matsumoto Yamaga1–2LAKagoshima United1–3
Kagoshima United1–3DAParceiro Nagano1–1
Parceiro Nagano1–1WHKochi United2–0
Kochi United2–0–AFC Ryukyu17/10
FC Ryukyu17/10–HBiwako Shiga21/10
Biwako Shiga21/10–ASagamihara24/10
Sagamihara24/10Fukushima UnitedDHBiwako Shiga2–2
Biwako Shiga2–2LAKagoshima United2–3
Kagoshima United2–3WHParceiro Nagano4–3
Parceiro Nagano4–3LAOsaka1–4
Osaka1–4LHRoasso Kumamoto1–2
Roasso Kumamoto1–2WAThespakusatsu Gunma3–1
Thespakusatsu Gunma3–1–AFC Gifu17/10
FC Gifu17/10–HKitakyushu21/10
Kitakyushu21/10–AEhime FC25/10
Ehime FC25/10Top Scorers
Tochigi SCT. Nishino6 ⚽
Y. Kondo5 ⚽
T. Nagai5 ⚽
K. Nakano5 ⚽
W. I. Suzuki3 ⚽
K. Osone2 ⚽
Fukushima UnitedY. Okada16 ⚽
K. Shimizu10 ⚽
U. Uehata4 ⚽
K. Ashibe4 ⚽
H. Higuchi3 ⚽
K. Kano2 ⚽
Cards Given
Tochigi SCK. Osone5 🟨
H. Tsutsumi5 🟨
H. Iwasaki5 🟨
Y. Yanagi4 🟨
S. Sato3 🟨
S. Kawata3 🟨
Fukushima UnitedK. Shimizu5 🟨
K. Ashibe4 🟨
T. Nakamura3 🟨
T. Anzai3 🟨
Jung Sung-Ryong2 🟨
T. Fujitani2 🟨