Roasso Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi — J3 League
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Egao Kenko Stadium·Kumamoto·Japan·30,504
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Roasso Kumamoto and Renofa Yamaguchi meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Roasso Kumamoto have recorded 15 wins from 38 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.05 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 34% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 34%; and clean sheets in 37% of games. Renofa Yamaguchi have won 45% of their 33 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.02 for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.29 for Renofa Yamaguchi. The models give Roasso Kumamoto a 32% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Renofa Yamaguchi win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Roasso Kumamoto—
Renofa Yamaguchi8º
Position
3º
1.55
PPG
2.09
36%
Win %
64%
0.91
Goals / game
1.45
0.55
Conceded / game
0.64
34%
BTTS %
52%
37%
Clean sheet %
30%
34%
Over 2.5 %
48%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Roasso Kumamoto
Home (5)
—
Renofa Yamaguchi
Away (6)
0.60
PPG
2.00
0%
Win %
67%
0.40
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
0.83
29%
BTTS %
67%
24%
Clean sheet %
17%
35%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Roasso Kumamoto | Home | Away | Renofa Yamaguchi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 41% | 76% | 76% | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 35% | 33% | 45% | 53% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 12% | 5% | 12% | 7% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 59% | 24% | 24% | 33% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Roasso Kumamoto | Home | Away | Renofa Yamaguchi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 76% | 52% | 70% | 53% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 29% | 19% | 30% | 13% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 37% | 24% | 48% | 30% | 47% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Roasso Kumamoto | Renofa Yamaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 61% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 34% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 9% |
| BTTS | 34% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 26% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Roasso Kumamoto | Renofa Yamaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 11% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Roasso Kumamoto (H)L
Ehime FC0–2
Ehime FC0–2L
Kawasaki Frontale0–1
Kawasaki Frontale0–1D
Matsumoto Yamaga0–0
Matsumoto Yamaga0–0D
Nara Club2–2
Nara Club2–2W
Oita Trinita2–0
Oita Trinita2–0L
Parceiro Nagano0–1
Parceiro Nagano0–1Renofa Yamaguchi (A)W
Tochigi SC1–0
Tochigi SC1–0W
FC Gifu2–0
FC Gifu2–0W
Kanazawa2–1
Kanazawa2–1W
Gainare Tottori3–0
Gainare Tottori3–0LNara Club1–3
Nara Club1–3L
Kagoshima United1–2
Kagoshima United1–2Head to Head · 16 matches
8
Roasso Kumamoto
50%
4
Draws
25%
4
Renofa Yamaguchi
25%
81%
Over 1.5
13/16
50%
Over 2.5
8/16
25%
Over 3.5
4/16
69%
BTTS
11/16
23/05/26Roasso Kumamoto
Renofa Yamaguchi
1–1Roasso Kumamoto08/02/26Renofa Yamaguchi
Roasso Kumamoto
2–1Renofa Yamaguchi02/11/25Renofa Yamaguchi
Roasso Kumamoto
0–1Renofa Yamaguchi23/03/25Roasso Kumamoto
Renofa Yamaguchi
0–1Roasso Kumamoto20/10/24Renofa Yamaguchi
Roasso Kumamoto
1–1Renofa Yamaguchi03/04/24Roasso Kumamoto
Renofa Yamaguchi
1–2Roasso Kumamoto12/11/23Renofa Yamaguchi
Roasso Kumamoto
3–1Renofa Yamaguchi11/03/23Roasso Kumamoto
Renofa Yamaguchi
1–3Roasso Kumamoto18/07/22Renofa Yamaguchi
Roasso Kumamoto
1–0Renofa Yamaguchi20/02/22Roasso Kumamoto
Renofa Yamaguchi
1–1Roasso Kumamoto25/07/18Renofa Yamaguchi
Roasso Kumamoto
2–2Renofa Yamaguchi25/02/18Roasso Kumamoto
Renofa Yamaguchi
4–1Roasso Kumamoto05/08/17Roasso Kumamoto
Renofa Yamaguchi
1–2Roasso Kumamoto25/06/17Renofa Yamaguchi
Roasso Kumamoto
0–2Renofa Yamaguchi02/10/16Roasso Kumamoto
Renofa Yamaguchi
0–2Roasso Kumamoto09/04/16Renofa Yamaguchi
Roasso Kumamoto
1–2Renofa Yamaguchi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 23 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 |  Sagamihara | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 21 |
| 6 | FC Gifu | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 7 |  Osaka | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 9 | Parceiro Nagano | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 | Kanazawa | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Biwako Shiga | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  FC Ryukyu | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 |  Kitakyushu | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Tochigi SC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 |  Thespakusatsu Gunma | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -9 | 10 |
| 18 |  Fukushima United | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 5 |
| 20 |  Kochi United | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -21 | 5 |
Team Insights
Roasso Kumamoto- ●Roasso Kumamoto have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●80% of Roasso Kumamoto's goals have been scored away.
- ●82% of Roasso Kumamoto's points have been earned away.
- ●Roasso Kumamoto have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Renofa Yamaguchi- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Renofa Yamaguchi have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Roasso KumamotoWAKamatamare Sanuki3–0
Kamatamare Sanuki3–0LHEhime FC0–2
Ehime FC0–2DABiwako Shiga0–0
Biwako Shiga0–0WAThespakusatsu Gunma1–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma1–0DHMatsumoto Yamaga0–0
Matsumoto Yamaga0–0WAFukushima United2–1
Fukushima United2–1–HGainare Tottori21/10
Gainare Tottori21/10–HFC Gifu25/10
FC Gifu25/10–AKagoshima United31/10
Kagoshima United31/10Renofa YamaguchiWHKochi United2–0
Kochi United2–0WATochigi SC1–0
Tochigi SC1–0WAFC Gifu2–0
FC Gifu2–0DHSagamihara2–2
Sagamihara2–2WAKanazawa2–1
Kanazawa2–1WHThespakusatsu Gunma2–0
Thespakusatsu Gunma2–0–AEhime FC21/10
Ehime FC21/10–AMatsumoto Yamaga25/10
Matsumoto Yamaga25/10–HKitakyushu31/10
Kitakyushu31/10Top Scorers
Roasso KumamotoBae Jeong-Min6 ⚽
Y. Katori6 ⚽
5 ⚽
A. Iihoshi3 ⚽
Y. Omoto3 ⚽
K. Fujii2 ⚽
Renofa YamaguchiS. Yamamoto9 ⚽
D. Furukawa5 ⚽
S. Watanabe4 ⚽
K. Tanabe4 ⚽
K. Fujioka3 ⚽
S. Kobayashi3 ⚽
Cards Given
Roasso KumamotoK. Nasu6 🟨
T. Ri4 🟨
Y. Omoto3 🟨
O. Ishihara3 🟨
W. Iwashita3 🟨
K. Fujii2 🟨
Renofa YamaguchiR. Ozawa6 🟨
Y. Wakasa6 🟨
K. Oiwa3 🟨
K. Nakashima3 🟨
T. Itakura3 🟨
K. Yoshioka2 🟨