Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Osaka — J3 League
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Thespakusatsu Gunma and Osaka meet in the J3 League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Thespakusatsu Gunma have recorded 10 wins from 36 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.28 goals scored and 2.03 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Osaka have won 27% of their 37 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 51%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.23 for Thespakusatsu Gunma and 1.42 for Osaka. The models give Thespakusatsu Gunma a 30% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Osaka win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Thespakusatsu Gunma—
Osaka18º
Position
7º
0.83
PPG
1.67
25%
Win %
42%
0.92
Goals / game
1.75
1.83
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
51%
8%
Clean sheet %
30%
64%
Over 2.5 %
46%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Home (6)
—
Osaka
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
17%
1.17
Goals / game
1.00
2.00
Conceded / game
0.83
65%
BTTS %
42%
12%
Clean sheet %
37%
59%
Over 2.5 %
37%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | Home | Away | Osaka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 71% | 74% | 65% | 78% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 29% | 32% | 38% | 50% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 18% | 11% | 16% | 17% | 16% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 29% | 26% | 35% | 22% | 47% |
Goals Conceded
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | Home | Away | Osaka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 88% | 95% | 70% | 78% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 53% | 58% | 32% | 39% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 29% | 42% | 5% | 0% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 12% | 5% | 30% | 22% | 37% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 11% |
| BTTS | 67% | 51% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 49% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 66% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 49% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 49% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Thespakusatsu Gunma (H)W
FC Ryukyu2–1
FC Ryukyu2–1L
Roasso Kumamoto0–1
Roasso Kumamoto0–1W
Kochi United1–0
Kochi United1–0L
Fukushima United1–3
Fukushima United1–3L
Albirex Niigata1–2
Albirex Niigata1–2L
Biwako Shiga2–3
Biwako Shiga2–3Osaka (A)L
Kitakyushu1–3
Kitakyushu1–3L
Sagamihara0–1
Sagamihara0–1WKochi United4–0
Kochi United4–0D
Matsumoto Yamaga0–0
Matsumoto Yamaga0–0D
Renofa Yamaguchi0–0
Renofa Yamaguchi0–0L
Shimizu S-pulse1–2
Shimizu S-pulse1–2Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Osaka
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
16/08/25Osaka
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2–0Osaka18/04/25Thespakusatsu Gunma
Osaka
4–3Thespakusatsu Gunma| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kagoshima United | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 29 |
| 2 |  Ehime FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 |  Nara Club | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 5 |  FC Gifu | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +12 | 22 |
| 6 | Sagamihara | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 21 |
| 7 | Osaka | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +9 | 20 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 9 |  Parceiro Nagano | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Ryukyu | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Kanazawa | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Biwako Shiga | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 |  Gainare Tottori | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 |  Tochigi SC | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 16 | Kitakyushu | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 | Fukushima United | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 10 |
| 19 |  Kamatamare Sanuki | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -23 | 5 |
Team Insights
Thespakusatsu Gunma- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Thespakusatsu Gunma's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Thespakusatsu Gunma have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Osaka- ●Osaka have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Osaka have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Osaka have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Osaka failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Osaka have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Osaka have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Osaka's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Thespakusatsu GunmaLAMatsumoto Yamaga0–2
Matsumoto Yamaga0–2DAGainare Tottori1–1
Gainare Tottori1–1WHFC Ryukyu2–1
FC Ryukyu2–1LAEhime FC1–3
Ehime FC1–3LHRoasso Kumamoto0–1
Roasso Kumamoto0–1WHKochi United1–0
Kochi United1–0–HKamatamare Sanuki24/10
Kamatamare Sanuki24/10–AKanazawa31/10
Kanazawa31/10–ANara Club03/11
Nara Club03/11OsakaWHNara Club2–0
Nara Club2–0LAKitakyushu1–3
Kitakyushu1–3DHKanazawa1–1
Kanazawa1–1LASagamihara0–1
Sagamihara0–1WAKochi United4–0
Kochi United4–0WHFukushima United4–1
Fukushima United4–1–HKagoshima United24/10
Kagoshima United24/10–AFC Gifu31/10
FC Gifu31/10–HRoasso Kumamoto04/11
Roasso Kumamoto04/11Top Scorers
Thespakusatsu GunmaT. Nakashima9 ⚽
M. Hyakuda7 ⚽
S. Izuma3 ⚽
Y. Nishimura3 ⚽
R. Ohata2 ⚽
H. Konishi2 ⚽
OsakaT. Shimada6 ⚽
S. Sumida5 ⚽
S. Tachino4 ⚽
R. Sugawara4 ⚽
T. Kitsui4 ⚽
R. Kubo3 ⚽
Cards Given
Thespakusatsu GunmaS. Nose4 🟨
R. Fujimura4 🟨
T. Tamashiro3 🟨
T. Nakashima3 🟨
K. Kikuchi2 🟨
H. Konishi2 🟨
OsakaS. Tachino5 🟨
T. Kitsui4 🟨
R. Kubo4 🟨
S. Morimura3 🟨
S. Sumida3 🟨
Vinicius Souza3 🟨